Have 5u on him,
I am very confident he'll win. Feel the scenario I described above is the worst that this fight can look for Martin and he still can win even in that type of mess. I am not high on Matthews at all. He's been the favourite in almost all of his UFC fights, he was favourite even v K.Lee and I remember that fight - I was not into predictions and breaking down fights in that period, I didn't know better and thought this is great win for Lee, big surprise! A lot of people I remember were surprised. Just because that kid Matthews is hyped so much. In reality he doesn't offer much besides athleticism. I think Anthony is making big leaps in his striking and with his gameplanning too, which is not a small thing either. Matthews' leaps are more physical. He is so much more muscular than before that this gives him confidence. His striking is not developed much for all the years he's competing, but because now he have confidence, he is using it more and more. But his fears of getting hit or whatever it is, are still there and his father has to scream at him to keep him striking when he has clear advantage there, his comfort zone is grappling and wants to just hug you or go to the ground when the first opportunity shows itself. That's why he lost to bumass Holbrook.
Stick with your initial prediction,
if you were very confident in it to begin with. Often it's more accurate. Let me give you me as an example: If my initial prediction was somewhant unsure like a 60-70 confidence, it maybe was that way with a legit reason. So with little more thinking, watching tape, taking tips from you guys here, I change it. If initial prediction was 90-100% confident, when I change it often it turns out I should stay with the first pick. This is with me, I don't know with others how it is.