UFC Poirier vs. Hooker Official Bets

2u Griffin 1,91
2u Hansen 1,69
2u Sato/Witt starts R2 1,44 (my favourite prop)
2u Pena 1,40 (my favourite ML)
2u Woodson/Erosa starts R2 1,47
2u Lins 1,94
2u Poirier 1,50

I am not as confident as last week
 
Hooker +180 $400

Perry KO -150 $600
Perry/Gall u1.5 -110 $215
Perry/Gall DNGTD -255 $1200

Allen/Daukaus o1.5 -135 $600

Villante +185 $200
Villante/Green o1.5 -132 $400

Pena -230 $800
Pena KO +455 $200

Sato -165 $330

Woodson/Erosa o1.5 -150 $600

Boser -111 $500
Boser/Lins o2.5 -211 $1000
Boser/Lins GTD -185 $600

Griffin -115 $600
Griffin/Zalal GTD -135 $300

Frey +153 $800
Frey/Hansen o2.5 -200 $400

Some ugly bets in there, don't have a great feeling about this card
 
Didn't get to tape much this week. Let's see where it goes.

●Perry+ Allen -3 1/2
1u for 1u

●Sato+ Allen
2u for 1.75u

●Perry+ Boser
1u for 1.5u

●Allen+ Perry+ Greene
1u for 1.5u
 
Perry/Gall u1.5 1u -103

Lins dec 0.5u +240

Pena sub 0.5u +250

Frey 0.5u +165

Also have Poirier in a parlay for a unit.
 
Bit late to the party. Average card and research this card:

Griffin 300 to win 300
Zelal DEC 150 to win 300

Hansen SUB/DEC 278 to win 200
Frey DEC 130 to win 251

Hansen/Frey start RD3 + Erosa/Woodson start RD2 298 to win 200

Sato KO 220 to win 200

Pena + Perry 460 to win 500
Worthy KO 100 to win 450

Green + Bosser/Lins start RD3 395 to win 350

Sato, Perry, Allen KO + Green + Lins 40 to win 587

Perry 965 to win 384

Dustin 379 to win 200
 
I am too old to cap fight correctly, lost 1g on Roxanne Modafferi, lost back to back event. I got to tail the super star of this forum.


The outcome didn't end well but still a good bet, solid capping Zhaydenx

Time to chase, follow another super star Saidstic.
zzzz-Sadistic2.png

 
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Can not pull the trigger, just $100 bet here and there. Still $827 cnd wins, crazy to win that much on mini bet.
 
Whoa...Maurice green by sub is +1450 on dimes. He has 2x more subs then KOs and fatboy villante hardly looks like a cardio machine on the scale today..hammered it into a few parlays. Villantes never been subbed but I expect him to be huffing and puffing by round 2


Remember when I posted this?? Dollar dollar bills yal!
 
i have lost every single bet I made but i'm not even mad. Great night of fights so far.
 
A combination of wanting to take a week off from capping, canceled fights, and a few fights being correctly capped (Lins-Boser, among others) leaves me with just one bet for now;

3.2u on Not Zalal ITD at -395

Might make a play on the main event and will certainly be hoping for good live-bet lines.

Won my sole pre-bet for a whopping 0.8u profit.

Sadly, there just weren't any good live-bet spots I could find. Made a slightly looser than normal bet on Hooker at -150 after round 3 (thinking it was either 2-1 or 3-0 and he had a clear wrestling advantage if he needed it), but only put 0.6u on it, recognizing the danger.

+0.2u overall.

Nice to relax this week, make a tiny profit, and hopefully, get back to capping in earnest for the big PPV card.
 
R1: Hooker
R2: Hooker
R3: Poirier (Poirier landed a bunch of strikes before being taken down for 2 minutes and bring laid on.)
R4: Poirier
R5: Poirier

Won all my bets except for the Lins bets. +$994 profit, not counting my live bets and smaller bets that I didn't post, like Hansen R3, Greene submission, Zalal live bets, and Worthy pre-fight and live bets.

I admit I hedged on Hooker for $400 during the fight, so I profited $800 instead of $1200 from that fight.
 
Perry/Gall u1.5 1u -103

Lins dec 0.5u +240

Pena sub 0.5u +250

Frey 0.5u +165

Also have Poirier in a parlay for a unit.
Well that happened. Got Erosa live, but gave that back by betting Villante live (some refs would have given him the tko) and betting Hooker just before the fight (+185 was too much).

So around -2.5u. Awesome main event, though.
 
Hooker +180 $400

Perry KO -150 $600
Perry/Gall u1.5 -110 $215
Perry/Gall DNGTD -255 $1200

Allen/Daukaus o1.5 -135 $600

Villante +185 $200
Villante/Green o1.5 -132 $400

Pena -230 $800
Pena KO +455 $200

Sato -165 $330

Woodson/Erosa o1.5 -150 $600

Boser -111 $500
Boser/Lins o2.5 -211 $1000
Boser/Lins GTD -185 $600

Griffin -115 $600
Griffin/Zalal GTD -135 $300

Frey +153 $800
Frey/Hansen o2.5 -200 $400

Some ugly bets in there, don't have a great feeling about this card

-$2988, bloodbath. So many square bets, fell back into some bad habits after a good streak. Was an exciting card, though a bit of a minefield imo
 
Bit late to the party. Average card and research this card:

Griffin 300 to win 300
Zelal DEC 150 to win 300

Hansen SUB/DEC 278 to win 200
Frey DEC 130 to win 251

Hansen/Frey start RD3 + Erosa/Woodson start RD2 298 to win 200

Sato KO 220 to win 200

Pena + Perry 460 to win 500
Worthy KO 100 to win 450

Green + Bosser/Lins start RD3 395 to win 350

Sato, Perry, Allen KO + Green + Lins 40 to win 587

Perry 965 to win 384

Dustin 379 to win 200

-306
Wowwee what a rollercoaster.

Pre bet added a 600 dollar chase on Woodson by RD3 or DEC for 600+ ( jesus )
Another chase on Green + Allen 600 for 468 (sweat )

Added Prorier by KO
200 for 260
Hooker KO
50 for 120

In the end il take that small loss, was 1,330 down after Pena and Woodson :O.
 
Had 2.5k on Woodson, Allen, and Perry to win. Lost that in the first leg with Woodson. I saw him fade against Bochniak, and I did wonder if that would be a problem, but I just sorta passed it off when I was researching. In hindsight, that was pretty stupid.

After that 2.5k loss, I put another 2.5k down on Allen, Perry, and Dustin all to win. Allen's fight was closer than I would have liked. Perry won with grappling and got outstruck which I totally got wrong. Hooker broke around the third round like I thought he would, but I didn't think Dustin was going to have as much trouble as he did, so I read that one alright but not great.

Didn't really do enough research for this card, clearly.

Came into that main event looking at a 5k loss for the day if Dustin didn't win. That was some pretty nervous times, especially when Hooker was winning early like I thought he might. Almost cashed out for a -$600 loss for the day before the fight, but let it ride. Ended the day $800 up. Not great of course, but it's better than a 2.5k or 5k loss.

3.3k profit from the last 2 cards. 26 out of 35 bets right since I started 11 months ago so that's a 74% win rate. All my bets have been 3-4 leg multi's. Only done one single, which was last week.
 
Prebets
£100 Porier / Hooker over 2.5 rds +100 to win £100

Live bets
£10 Griffin +700 end of rd 3 to win £70 -£10
£10 Daukus +500 end of rd 1 to win £5 -£10
£10 Perry decision +580 end of rd 1 to win £58

Total profit: £138

 
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