UFC on Fox 31 Iaquinta vs Lee II - BETS

lefontes

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UFC on Fox 31 Iaquinta vs Lee II BETS

My bets:
Font ML 1.66 Pinnacle 1u
Barboza 2.00 Mollybet 1u
Griffin 2.50 Pinnacle 1u
GM3 2.40 Pinnacle 1u
O1.5 GM3/Hermansson 1.75 Pinnacle 1u
A.Lee + Grant 1.86 Pinnacle 1u
O1.5 Lee/Iaquinta 1.50 Bet365 2u
K.Lee by sub or dec 1.83 Bet365 1u

K.Lee by sub on Round 5 41.00 Bet365 - 0.05u
 
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2u Barboza +110

1u Font +105

5u A.Lee -228

0.5u Green +275

0.5u Meerschaert +210
 
For now:

Igle ML: 1.67u to win 1u
Gordon ML: 1.23u to win 1u
Green ML: 0.5u to win 1.35u
Meerschaert ML: 1u to win 2.025u
Hermansson ML: 2.025u to win 1.3u
Font ML: 1.75u to win 1u
Barboza ML: 1u to win 1.2u
Barboza dec: 0.5u to win 1.35u
Iaquinta ML: 1u to win 2.56u

3.83u up
 
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Lee/Iaquinta DNGTD -155 .5u

Barboza +130 .5u

Font -168 6u

Miller/Oliveira DNGTD -215 .7u

Silva +175 1u

Green/Klose GTD -195 .65u

Rodriguez +175 .7u

Griffin +164 .5u

Lee -248 7.1u


Being very flexible with my "max bet" amount as I'm postponing raising the units til Jan.
 
Font/Cummings to win
$20 to win $42.85

Font/Andrea Lee to win
$20 to win $42.85

Cummings/Andrea Lee to win
$26.89 to win $50

Barboza to win
$25 to win $50

Meerschaert to win
$20 to win $54

Ali Iaquinta to win
$5.89 to win $20.02
 
First run.

MMA Math: Unit size doubled + Very similar to many on here = Fully expect to get slaughtered...

Iaquinta ML - 1u for 2.5u
Barboza ML - 1u for 1.25u
Font ML - 2u for 1.15u
Green ML - 0.75u for 1.6u
Silva ML - 1.5u for 2u
Rodriguez ML - 0.25u for 0.33u
Griffin ML - 0.25u for 0.4u
Lee ML - 2u for 0.75u

A. Lee + Oliveira - 2u for 1.75u
 
Iaquinta 1u to win 2.57u
Iaquinta v lee goes round 4,5 or Dec 1u to win .9u

Barbosa ML 2u to win 2.34u (part decent deal, part emotional hedge)
Barbosa v Hooker GTD 1u to win 1.45u

Font ML 2u to win 1.16u
Font v Pettis GTD 5u to win 30u

Meerschaert ML 1.5u to win 3.15u

May bet on Griffin as listening to ige interview it sounds like he lives mma 24/7 being Alis right hand man. That does not lend to being at peak condition, you need a break. Otherwise I think ige takes it.
 
Won a shitload of money betting the chargers when they were down a couple touchdowns tonight so here's my big cock parlay for Sat. lol

$100.00 $9,222.59 Pending 5 Team Parlay
Pending 12/15/18 9:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1037 Iaquinta wins by TKO/KO +566* vs Any other result
Pending 12/15/18 8:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1235 Pettis / Font starts round 3 -252* vs Fight won’t start round 3
Pending 12/15/18 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1305 Miller wins inside distance +426* vs Not Miller inside distance
Pending 12/15/18 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1404 Fight won't go 3 round distance -240* vs Ottow / Grant goes 3 round distance
Pending 12/15/18 3:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2209 Adams wins inside distance -290* vs Not Adams inside distance
 
1U Iaquinta ML +250
2U Barboza ML +110
1U Barboza Dec +260
1U Green ML +260
0.4U Miller ITD
1.4U Font & Gordon +174
 
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MMA Math: Unit size doubled + Very similar to many on here = Still fully expect to get slaughtered...

Iaquinta ML - 1u for 2.5u
O2.5 rounds - 1u for 0.95u
O4 rounds - 0.5u for 0.6u
Distance - 0.5u for 1u

Barboza ML - 1u for 1.25u

Font ML - 2u for 1.15u

A. Lee + Oliveira - 2u for 0.73u
Miller - 1.5u for 4u
Miller Rd 2 - 0.25u for 2.4u
Miller Rd 3 - 0.2u for 3.2u

Green ML - 0.75u for 1.6u

Cummings ML - 2u for 0.7u

Silva ML - 1.5u for 2u
Silva ITD - 0.25u for 0.8u
Silva Rd 1 - 0.2u for 1.1u
Silva Rd 2 - 0.18u for 1.3u
U1.5 rounds - 0.5u for 0.7u

Rodriguez ML - 0.5u for 0.7u

Griffin ML - 0.5u for 0.75u

Adams Rd 1 - 0.5u for 0.4u
Adams Rd 2 - 0.2u for 0.9u

ITD Parlay (Adams, Ottow, Miller fights) - 0.5u for 0.55u

In spite of my posts about Charles - 'his fight to lose,' etc - I completely switched sides. All the value is on Jim and I hate betting on quitters.

Alright, good luck everyone. For whatever reasons, I have so little confidence in this to be honest.
 
Lee/Iaquinta DNGTD -155 .5u

Barboza +130 .5u
Barboza DEC +275 .15u

Font -167 6.7u
Font ITD +224 .3u
Font KO +235 .15u

Miller/Oliveira DNGTD -215 .7u

Ottow/Grant O1.5 -129 .5u
Ottow SUB +1315 .15u

Green/Klose GTD -195 .65u

Silva +175 1u
Silva NSC -136 2.3u
Silva ITD +335 .15u

Hermansson -154 2.5u
Hermansson DEC +300 .2u

Griffin +164 .5u

Rodriguez +175 .7u
Rodriguez NSC -106 .5u

Cummings ITD +215 .15u
Cummings SUB +350 .15u


Cummings NSC (-345) + Font NSC (-390) -161 1u
 
4U Barboza/Hooker FGTD @ 2.38
1U (Free Bet) - Ige ITD + Smith/Cummings FGTD + Herm/Meer ITD +Green/Klose o2.5 + Font/Pettis FGTD @ 12.25
 
2u Barboza Not ITD/Kevin Lee NOT Rd 1 to win a unit so far.
 
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Might add on Barboza if the line changes.
 
Baby Pettis ML +150 1u
D. Hooker ML -115 2.875u
Ragin' Al ML +250 1u

Oddly specific unit bet on Hooker but it's a bit of style change to win 2u. Good luck gents.
 
3 units on Klose at -245
3 units on Rodriguez KO/TKO at +280
1.25 units on Milstead decision at +246
 
Hermansson -160
Milstead -125
Font -161

Value Bets
Green 0.25U at +215
Ottow 0.25U at +245
Iaquinta 0.25U at +280

0.25U Parlay - Adams, Cummings, Milstead, Hermansson, Oliveira, Font. (for fun)

Still on the fence about picking Gordon def. Silva.
 
0.5u Iaquinta +300
0.5u Iaquinta NSC +320
0.05u Iaquinta RD4 +2450
0.05u Iaquinta RD5 +3200

2u Barboza +110
0.25u Barboza KO +411

1u Font +105

0.5u Miller +280

0.5u Green +275
0.15u Green ITD +700

0.5u Meerschaert +210

KGB was my favorite bet of the card so very disappointed with that fight being cancelled. Hopefully the dogs are barking tonight.
 
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