UFC on ESPN 68 underdog pick of the night

[doozer]

Virtually every card there is a fighter who beats the odds. Which fighter do you think is most likely to this card?

• Erin Blanchfield -250 vs. Maycee Barber +200
• Mateusz Gamrot -163 vs. Ludovit Klein +130
• Ramiz Brahimaj +260 vs. Billy Ray Goff -350
• Dustin Jacoby -200 vs. Bruno Lopes +162
• Macy Chiasson -140 vs. Ketlen Vieira +115
• Dusko Todorovic +200 vs. Zachary Reese -250
• Jafel Filho +105 vs. Allan Nascimento -130
• Kurt Holobaugh +190 vs. Jordan Leavitt -250
• Michael Aswell +300 vs. Bolaji Oki -400
• Alice Ardelean +165 vs. Rayanne Dos Santos -210

After 2 weeks of Santos’ getting me wins last card a Santos wreaked my pick bringing my picks down to 8-9. This week my pick will be Jafel Filho

Shoutout to lady cards winners @mkess101 congrats! Tough night for the dogs.

 

[Kowboy On Sherdog]

 

[Kowboy On Sherdog]

Ramiz Brahimaj​

The Fortis MMA product has demonstrated recently that he is no longer a one-trick pony, as he laid waste to Mickey Gall, not with a consciousness-depriving submission but with his fists. Capitalizing on Gall’s tall-man defense of leaning back to avoid blows instead of using head movement, Brahimaj knocked his block off and proved that he does have hands. When a submission specialist learns that he can knock someone out, he may fall in love with that power to his detriment. Overconfidence in landing that big right hand could spell issues in the future, and the bettors believe that Connecticut’s Billy Goff is going to be the one to take full advantage. It might not be quite that cut-and-dry.

Goff is of a similar mold to a fair number of New England-based competitors, termed “face-first, Boston-based strikers” in reference to the overreliance on their chin. Ready to take two on the jaw to give one mighty blow back, it has not always worked out for those athletes. Goff, who comes out of his corner like his hair is on fire, is going to throw everything and the kitchen sink at Brahimaj. It’s up to the New Yorker to decide his approach right out of the gate: swing back and let the chips fall where they may, or use Goff’s momentum against him to wrangle him to the mat. It should be noted that Brahimaj is a grappler and not a wrestler, meaning that his entries are not rock-solid and depend in part on the level of defense Goff has at his disposal. Still, Brahimaj could easily catch an overaggressive Goff with a clutch guillotine choke or trip out his legs and flatten him out with an arm-triangle. With respect to the Dexter MMA combatant, Goff should not be a favorite around -350 against anyone on the roster, Brahimaj included.

Prime Picks: UFC Vegas 107 ‘Blanchfield vs. Barber’

Sherdog soothsayer Jay Petter sifts through the duds to come up with four options of varied intrigue, culminating with a one-two punch to profit on the main attraction.

www.sherdog.com

 

[mkess101]

Gonna go with Klein this week. Think he can possibly sprawl enough to keep it standing and win minutes the way Hooker did vs Gamrot.

Was gonna go with Barber but she looked like death on the scale and missed weight. The miss isn't the red flag, her looking so drawn out is.

 

[doozer]

I definitely am cheering for the TUF fighter.

 

[doozer]

Gonna go with Klein this week. Think he can possibly sprawl enough to keep it standing and win minutes the way Hooker did vs Gamrot.

Was gonna go with Barber but she looked like death on the scale and missed weight. The miss isn't the red flag, her looking so drawn out is.

Klein is heavily supported by the pro bettors of ufc on the line, a solid pick.

 

[BEATDOWNS]

Holobaugh to beat Leavitt

 

[Deltron 6060]

Lopes and under 4.5 in the main.

 

[BEATDOWNS]

Gonna go with Klein this week. Think he can possibly sprawl enough to keep it standing and win minutes the way Hooker did vs Gamrot.

Was gonna go with Barber but she looked like death on the scale and missed weight. The miss isn't the red flag, her looking so drawn out is.

I got Klein too. I picked Barber before I knew she missed weight and still haven't seen how she looks. I rarely go back and change my picks but I am thinking about it. Not really feeling my Jacoby pick either I had Lopes but made a last minute switch probably recency bias due to Jacoby's last KO win but lopes only has one loss but less experience. Hmmmm

 

[Serge421]

Bruno lopes and Ludovic Klein

 

[mkess101]

I got Klein too. I picked Barber before I knew she missed weight and still haven't seen how she looks. I rarely go back and change my picks but I am thinking about it. Not really feeling my Jacoby pick either I had Lopes but made a last minute switch probably recency bias due to Jacoby's last KO win but lopes only has one loss but less experience. Hmmmm

Lopes really hasn't fought anyone. Jacoby **should** be much faster and crisper striking. I like him by KO here.

 

[BEATDOWNS]

Lopes really hasn't fought anyone. Jacoby **should** be much faster and crisper striking. I like him by KO here.

Yeah but Jacoby has only won 2 of his last 6. I made the change to Lopes. lol

 

[mkess101]

Yeah but Jacoby has only won 2 of his last 6. I made the change to Lopes. lol

Level of competition bro LOL. Look at who each guy is fighting. Jacoby split decision loss to Rountree, decision loss to Azamat who's 5-0 in the UFC, decision loss to Menifield, KO loss to Dom (who looks like he's all the way back to being a killer). Lopes...the last win was fine over Madz who's okay and Lopes grappled him. Otherwise he's fought nobody decent. He CAN win (probably by getting TD's if he can) but I favor Dustin for sure.

 

[BEATDOWNS]

Level of competition bro LOL. Look at who each guy is fighting. Jacoby split decision loss to Rountree, decision loss to Azamat who's 5-0 in the UFC, decision loss to Menifield, KO loss to Dom (who looks like he's all the way back to being a killer). Lopes...the last win was fine over Madz who's okay and Lopes grappled him. Otherwise he's fought nobody decent. He CAN win (probably by getting TD's if he can) but I favor Dustin for sure.

dammit!