UFC on ESPN 5 Covington vs Lawler Official Bets

What’s your opinion on guida? Does he grind it out?

Wanted to parlay but I am unsure.

I am so torn on Colby vs Robbie

I’m just afraid Lawler will come out juiced and raging
 
Robbie
Clay
Trevin
Holtzman/Nasrat
Stosic
Mickey
Shevchenko
Schnell
Borella/Claudio
Goldy
 
Lawler ML- 2u for 3.8u
Lawler r1 ko - .25u for 3u
Lawler r4 ko- .1u for 2.5u

Miller Sub - 1u for 2.75u (will consider guida live bet after r1)

Pulidova ML - 1u for 1.55u

Stosic ML - 2u for 1.56u

Schnell ML - 1u for 1.23u

GM3 ML - 1u for 1.35u

Touhari ML - 1u for 1.23u

Little Dong ML 1u for 3.3u -love overweight underdogs

Williams ML 1u for 3.2u
Williams ko .25u for 3u

Granger ML 1u for 1.45u

Good Luck!
 
$200 on Stosic at an average of 1.84
$10 Lawler KO round one at 10

Good luck everybody!
 
1u Lawler +200
0.4u Lawler KO +333
0.5u Colby Dec +130

0.5u Guida Dec +210

3u Big Shev -160
0.5u Big Shev Dec +115
2u Over 2.5 + Zoila (Combate) -167

2.5u Haqparast -208

1u Toahari +147

0.1u Holtzman R3 Sub +3300
0.25u Holtzman R3 KO +1100
1u Holtzman Dec +175
Freeroll to win 1.1u on Ma

1u Giles -137

2u Stosic -125

1u Murphy +145
0.5u Murphy Dec +240

1u Silva Sub -120
0.25u Silva KO +2500

0.5u Granger +175
2u Granger-Goldy FGTD -188

Freeroll to win 0.65u on Espinosa
What site are you using to get odds this good?
 
Cole Williams:
£445 win @ 4.1 (pre missing weight)
£400 win by ko @10.0
£150 win by finish @8.0
£452 u1.5rds @2.01

For me Silva is very poor on the feet and with the ko odds in this range, I'm going in hard. He's great on the ground of course, hence the u1.5rds, which could work out as some cover if he gets a takedown. Wish I hadn't put so much on the moneyline as the value is certainly on the ko. Admittedly I've little knowledge on Williams, but enough on Silva, and I don't think you need to be much of a striker to have a decent ko chance. Others would have finished him before this if they hadn't followed him to the ground after stunning him badly, so I'm taking my shot here, lets see how it pans out.
Yeah I just put a few on Williams for the KO, like 2$ to win 36$, I'm happy.
 
Added bets
0.33u on Lauren Murphy NSC at 1.95 to profit 0.31u
0.33u on Stosic on points at 6.15 to profit 1.7u
0.5u on Covington unanimous decision at 2.65 to profit 0.83u

Usually dont do these, so trying it out.
 
2 units on all
Lawler +200 : Too good standing up, and doesnt take damage on ground. Will do more overall damage.
Gall +106 : Wish I could fade Gall, but Salim looks terrible, just spams the left hook. Even stand up, with ground adv to gall
Nasrat -230 : Will be a boxing fight. Have to give it to the younger, bigger, faster, higher volume, better defence
A. Shev -140 : Stand up fight, where AS has more tools. AS to win in clinch.
Stosic -120 : Kennedy only wins if he doesnt get KO'd, avoids body kicks, outworks, avoids TD.
Granger +110 : Both look terrible, but long grappler (7 inch reach and better grappling) means she dominates most areas.
 
1u Lawler ML +205 to win 2.05u
0.1u Lawler R1 +1000 to win 1u

1.4u Miller ML -140 to win 1u
0.2u Guida (SC=NA) +507 to win 1.14u

0.5u J Silva ML +248 to win 1.24u
0.5u J Silva (SC=NA) +320 to win 1.6u

3.45u Stosic ML -115 to win 3u
0.28u Stosic (SC=NA) -140 to win 0.2u
0.1u Stosic R1 +350 to win 0.35u
0.05u Stosic - Nzechukwu draw +8500 to win 4.25u

1u Gall ML +107 to win 1.07u
0.1u Gall KO/TKO/DQ +1045 to win 1.045u

1.23u Espinosa ML -123 to win 1u

0.1u Pudilova ITD +955 to win 0.955u

5.2u Romero Borella ML -130 to win 4u
0.2u Romero Borella ITD +500 to win 1u

0.2u C Silva KO/TKO/DQ +542 to win 1.084u

0.5u Granger +140 to win 0.7u
 
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Lawler NSC -143 $215
Lawler +5.5 -155 $155
Covington/Lawler GTD -115 $400

Haqparast -211 $700

Giles/Meerschaert O1.5 -147 $300

Stosic -120 $750
Nzechukwu DEC +400 $50

Touhari +167 $150

Shevchenko/Pudilova O2.5 -400 $750

Holtzman -210 $300
Holtzman DEC +175 $150

Granger +160 $500

Holtzman (-210) + Cyborg (-600) -138 $700

Going back and forth between $500 and $700 units, but not really using units, basically operating with 3500 as my max bet and betting within that for now. Arbed out of most of my Salim action after tape. Still considering Miller but I need closer to -120.
Sick, you got 4 out of 5 line movement correctly. Love your jedi skill, wish we could be friend......lol. I hope you don't mind, I am going to tail your Nzechukwu prop bet.
 
Just a couple small parlays
C. Silva
Shevchenko
Colby
4u for 8u

Stosic
Giles
Holtz man
2U for 4u

Thinking about hedging with Lawler
 
UFC on ESPN 5 Risk $2,275.00

Robbie Lawler (+215) vs Colby Covington $100.00 for $215.00
Robbie Lawler wins by TKO/KO (+313) $75.00 for $234.75
Robbie Lawler wins in round 1 (+1000) $25.00 for $250.00

Jim Miller (-140) vs Clay Guida $350.00 for $250.00
Jim Miller wins by submission (+250) $40.00 for $100.00

Nasrat Haqparast/Jaoquim Silva Under 2½ (+152) $100.00 for $152.00

Trevin Giles (-160) vs Gerald Meerschaert $160.00 for $100.00

Scott Holtzman/Dong Hyun Ma Over 2½ (-150) $150.00 for $100.00

Kennedy Nzechukwu (+100) vs Darko Stosic $100.00 for $100.00

Salim Touahri/Mickey Gall Under 2½ (-135) $135.00 for $100.00

Antonina Shevchenko (-130) vs Lucie Pudilova $260.00 for $200.00

Matt Schnell/Jordan Espinosa Over 2½ (-180) $180.00 for $100.00

Lauren Murphy (+170) vs Mara Romero Borella $100.00 for $170.00

Claudio Silva/Cole Williams Under 1½ (+107) $100.00 for $107.00

Hannah Goldy/Miranda Granger Over 2½ Rounds (-200) $400.00 for $200.00
 
UFC on ESPN 5 Risk $2,275.00

Robbie Lawler (+215) vs Colby Covington $100.00 for $215.00
Robbie Lawler wins by TKO/KO (+313) $75.00 for $234.75
Robbie Lawler wins in round 1 (+1000) $25.00 for $250.00

Jim Miller (-140) vs Clay Guida $350.00 for $250.00
Jim Miller wins by submission (+250) $40.00 for $100.00

Nasrat Haqparast/Jaoquim Silva Under 2½ (+152) $100.00 for $152.00

Trevin Giles (-160) vs Gerald Meerschaert $160.00 for $100.00

Scott Holtzman/Dong Hyun Ma Over 2½ (-150) $150.00 for $100.00

Kennedy Nzechukwu (+100) vs Darko Stosic $100.00 for $100.00

Salim Touahri/Mickey Gall Under 2½ (-135) $135.00 for $100.00

Antonina Shevchenko (-130) vs Lucie Pudilova $260.00 for $200.00

Matt Schnell/Jordan Espinosa Over 2½ (-180) $180.00 for $100.00

Lauren Murphy (+170) vs Mara Romero Borella $100.00 for $170.00

Claudio Silva/Cole Williams Under 1½ (+107) $100.00 for $107.00

Hannah Goldy/Miranda Granger Over 2½ Rounds (-200) $400.00 for $200.00

Damn, I'm on pretty much everything you are and you're on an impressive shit streak...
 
Cole Williams:
£445 win @ 4.1 (pre missing weight)
£400 win by ko @10.0
£150 win by finish @8.0
£452 u1.5rds @2.01

For me Silva is very poor on the feet and with the ko odds in this range, I'm going in hard. He's great on the ground of course, hence the u1.5rds, which could work out as some cover if he gets a takedown. Wish I hadn't put so much on the moneyline as the value is certainly on the ko. Admittedly I've little knowledge on Williams, but enough on Silva, and I don't think you need to be much of a striker to have a decent ko chance. Others would have finished him before this if they hadn't followed him to the ground after stunning him badly, so I'm taking my shot here, lets see how it pans out.

<6>
 
UFC on ESPN 5 Risk $2,275.00

Robbie Lawler (+215) vs Colby Covington $100.00 for $215.00
Robbie Lawler wins by TKO/KO (+313) $75.00 for $234.75
Robbie Lawler wins in round 1 (+1000) $25.00 for $250.00

Jim Miller (-140) vs Clay Guida $350.00 for $250.00
Jim Miller wins by submission (+250) $40.00 for $100.00

Nasrat Haqparast/Jaoquim Silva Under 2½ (+152) $100.00 for $152.00

Trevin Giles (-160) vs Gerald Meerschaert $160.00 for $100.00

Scott Holtzman/Dong Hyun Ma Over 2½ (-150) $150.00 for $100.00

Kennedy Nzechukwu (+100) vs Darko Stosic $100.00 for $100.00

Salim Touahri/Mickey Gall Under 2½ (-135) $135.00 for $100.00

Antonina Shevchenko (-130) vs Lucie Pudilova $260.00 for $200.00

Matt Schnell/Jordan Espinosa Over 2½ (-180) $180.00 for $100.00

Lauren Murphy (+170) vs Mara Romero Borella $100.00 for $170.00

Claudio Silva/Cole Williams Under 1½ (+107) $100.00 for $107.00

Hannah Goldy/Miranda Granger Over 2½ Rounds (-200) $400.00 for $200.00


I owe you a beer my dude. <{danawhoah}>
 
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