UFC on ESPN+ 33 Smith vs Teixeira Official Bets

[RuthlessRich]

I recognize the color, it is bet$3.65. Winning $80 might be too much, they might not pay you. gl.

Never had any issue with payouts with B365, this whole COVID 19 shit got my shook so I literally withdrew 85% of my account.

Only have about a grand in the account so didn't go too crazy with these lotto parlays.

Usually I throw around $2-5 on these long shot lotto tickets, in hindsight wish I bet at least a fiver on this one zzzzzz

 

[Kamais_Ookin]

3.5u Simon ML (-170) to win 2.06u
2.5u Dober ML (-125) to win 2u
1.6u Sherman ML (-160) to win 1u
1.2u Eubanks via Decision (-120) to win 1u
1u Arlovski ML (+150) to win 1.5u
0.5u Benitez ML (+162) to win 0.81u
0.3u Sherman via Decision (+450) to win 1.35u

0.15u OSP via Decision & Dober via ITD & Simon via Decision & Teixeira ML (+10000~) to win 10u

0.1u Moras Round 3 (+3300) to win 3.3u
0.1u Rothwell Round 2 (+850) to win 0.85u
0.1u Rothwell Round 3 (+1800) to win 1.8u
0.1u Teixeira Round 1 via Sub (+1100) to win 1.1u
0.1u Teixeira Round 2 via Sub (+1400) to win 1.4u

0.05u Smith Round 3 via Sub (+8000) to win 4u
0.05u Smith Round 4 via Sub (+10000) to win 5u
0.05u Smith Round 5 via Sub (+10000) to win 5u

Also added teixeira ITD at +240 to win 1.2u for a total of +7.17u and around 3u livebet for +10u~ profit today! Needed that bounceback after being down 5.5u in ufc 249. And I'm miffed about my +10,000 parlay dying solely by OSP running for first half of fight he could have easily won decision with more urgency. Oh well hard to complain excited for saturday's card!

 

[SolarSeiko]

Also added teixeira ITD at +240 to win 1.2u for a total of +7.17u and around 3u livebet for +10u~ profit today! Needed that bounceback after being down 5.5u in ufc 249. And I'm miffed about my +10,000 parlay dying solely by OSP running for first half of fight he could have easily won decision with more urgency. Oh well hard to complain excited for saturday's card!

I secretly tailed your bets tonight. Thank you.

 

[Kamais_Ookin]

I secretly tailed your bets tonight. Thank you.

Better today than ufc 249 haha. Np!

 

[Sadistics]

Teixera +160 $400

Rothwell +165 $300

Dober -112 $300
Dober/Hernandez GTD -136 $300

Simon -152 $2400
Simon DEC +125 $100

Roberson +140 $500

Lins -140 $1500
Lins/Arlovski O2.5 +110 $400
Arlovski DEC +320 $150

Johnson +135 $200

Morales -145 $400

Sherman +120 $860
Sherman/Villanueva O1.5 -117 $800
Sherman DEC +450 $250

Hate the Roberson bet, it's what I get for betting before taping. Betting Rothwell and MJ doesn't feel good but I think I have an edge at those odds.

+3683. I feel for anyone on any kind of under in the ME, that was violent. 30-27 x2 on Arlovski was wild, had it fairly clear Lins but wouldn't argue hard with AA getting 2 and 3. Thanks to MJ for showing us everything is back to normal.

 

[benebox]

£100 Johnson +100 to win £100 -£100
£50 Lins decision +450 to win £225 -£50
£50 OSP decision +300 to win £150 -£50
Feel a bit unlucky that neither decision went my way but oh well. Also annoyed I ended up not betting on Dober even though I originally had planned to.

Messed up by not hedging my Johnson bet after rd 1 at 4.00
£5 on Benitez at 5.00 after rd 2 -£5
£20 on AA at 4.00 to win +£60 should have bet more but I really thought Lins was winning comfortably.
Then somehow ended up betting £10 on Smith 16.00 when he was getting brutally murdered. -£10

Prebets: -£200
LiveBetting: +£45
Net Profit: -£165

 

[GigaOuts]

Never had any issue with payouts with B365, this whole COVID 19 shit got my shook so I literally withdrew 85% of my account.

Only have about a grand in the account so didn't go too crazy with these lotto parlays.

Usually I throw around $2-5 on these long shot lotto tickets, in hindsight wish I bet at least a fiver on this one zzzzzz

Oh it is a joke, they limit me to $10 cdn base win, enough for a happy meal. But SBR community don't cal it
bet365, it is call bet$3.65.

 

[Naught2Sixty]

4u Smith/Tex DNGTD -280
1.5u G. Benitez ML +155
2u M. Vetorri ML -170

-.07u

 

[The Eagle]

Nice night. Lost a bunch of money on fighters who looks like didn't even train for this event and were gassed after just 1 round.

 

[Sono07]

Shame that Vettori fight got called off. Baby K was looking rough on the scale oh well.
Feels good to be back so soon.

●Azure 5u for 2.5u
I think Hunters boxing and TDD should help control the pace.

●Dober 1.25u for 1u
Looks like Hernandez may have had a rough weight cut

●Simon 2.5u for 1.5u
I think his power will be a big factor here. Hopefully his conditioning holds up.

Parlays
●Simon +Eubanks 1.5u for 1.5u
●Smith + Eubanks + Simon NSC 3u for 6u
●Smith + Eubanks + Azure + Sherman + Dober NSC 1.5u for 11.5u
●Dober+ Simon NSC+ Eubanks NSC 1.5u for 5u

Knew I should have passed on Smith or at least hedged. Glover is no joke. I barely got to watch the main card due to my Internet being garbage.

Decent reads on Sherman, Dober, Simon, and Eubanks. Smith and Azure killed me though. Managed to bet Omar live to ease things a bit.

Prebets
-4.5u

Live bet + Prebet total
-2u
(Omar live +2.5u)

Could have been worse. Hopefully I can fix my Internet before Saturday.

 

[xhaydenx]

This was probably my worst day ever betting.

Wanted Sijara, Kelleher and either SImon or the guy that beat Benetiz in a multi-bet. Meant to put the bet on in the morning.

Insomnia the night before fucked me over. Didn't sleep all night, when I finally did, woke up mid-morning and the fights had already started. Missed Sijara, Kelleher and the Benetiz fight so couldn't put them on. Looked and saw 5 mins until MJ fight. Had lots of doubts about MJ, but I wanted to put something on and then go back to bed, so I panicked and put 1k on MJ, the one I was worried about, and Simon to win.

Lost 1k.

Could have picked pretty much any other combo that I had been thinking out of 8 fights. I had all those picks right, instead I panic and go for MJ for literally no reason other than it was up next lol.

Rookie stuff by me haha. Still up 2.3k for the week though, and I'll be smarter on the weekend.

 

[BigSteve]

Ike KO $43 to win 100

Morales KO/Dec $278 to win 200
Benitez DEC $24 to win 100

Eubanks + Dern $218 for 200 ( cashed out after Eubanks win 60 profit )

Kelleher/Azure start RD2 + Borg/Simon rd3 $356 to win 200

Kelleher/Azure start RD3 + Arlovski/Lins start RD2 + Borg/Simon RD2 $87 to win 100

Lins $264 to win 150
Arlovski DEC $40 to win 120

Vettori/Robertson start RD3 + Borg/Simon RD3 $121 to win 100 ( 35 profit )

Smith $282 to win 200 Cashed out pre fight for 26 profit

No livebetting as I was stuck at work.

Pre bet during event:

Johnson DEC : -40 ( Kick in the fucking balls, predicted the fight to a tee but couldn't help my self lol )
Big chase on Simon $352 : 200.

+363.
Il take that, was super sloppy and playing stupid shit. Also found this card kinda hard.
See ya all in 3 days.

 

[mma sharingan]

hail mary hit just about hit haha still won $325 off of $20

 

[markys00]

One of my dreams is to move outside Vegas like maybe Henderson or Summerlin area and then just cap fights and chill by the pool. Every Friday head into the city and place bets at the sports books. If you spend the time capping there is no reason you couldn't do pretty well. The hard part is that for the most part betting in Vegas really restricts playing any props. You are stuck with betting over/unders and ML plays.

have u ever done it? its totally different imo. u get these gambling freaks that start scaring u away "i heard this guy is hurt" "this guy is sick/missing weight". it feels a lot safer from my bunker haha.

 

[lyndon955]

I had
Sherman via KO/TKO
Kelleher outright and Kelleher by Sub or TKO
Morales outright and Morales by KO/TKO
Morales and Sijara in a double
Had Lins by Rd1 TKO/KO and a Lins/Smith double, live bet Arlovski around the time of his nut shot so got most of my stake back from that
Moises by sub, although after the first round I thought he was going to get pasted
Big Ben outright
Had a Rothwell/Dober double and a Rothwell/Simon double

Also had money on Smith itd, Smith/Simon double and Smith/Rothwell double so him losing cost me a fair bit of cash but overall it was a successful event

 

[2020Tracked]

Omar Morales at 1.67 for 1 unit and Omar Morales ITD at 3.25 for 0.5 unit

Vettori at 1.55 for 2 unit

Simon by decision or submission at 2.00 for 1 unit

OSP/Rothwell over 1.5 rounds at 1.62 for 1 unit

Cheesecake at 4.00 for 0.25 unit

Double of Anthony Smith and Walt Harris on the next card at 2.67 for 1 unit

6.75 unit risked.

Hit Rothwell live at 2.10 for 1 unit also.

Anthony Smith was an absolute shambles

 

[mkess101]

Smith itd -115 to win $20--LOSS
Rothwell NSC -105 to win $20--PUSH
OSP dec +305 for $20--LOSS
Dober dec +275 for $20--LOSS
Simon -157 to win $20--WIN
Simon dec +120 for $20--WIN
Roberson +170 for $20--CANCELLED
Lins rd 1 +275 for $20--LOSS
Lins dec +355 for $20--LOSS
Johnson dec +175 for $20--LOSS
Eubanks dec -135 to win $20--WIN
Morales -175 to win $20--WIN
Azure dec +125 for $20--LOSS
Sherman -155 for $20--WIN
Smith rd 5 +2100 for $10--LOSS
Texiera sub +475 for $10--LOSS
Moras sub +1600 for $5--LOSS
Moras rd 3 +3400 for $5--LOSS
Rothwell/OSP goes distance +130 for $20--WIN
Fights go the distance over 5.5 +140 for $20--LOSS
Dober NSC -150 to win $20--WIN
Fights go the distance over 7.5 +1250 for $10--LOSS
Fights go the distance over 8.5 +5750 for $10--LOSS
Azure -3.5 for $20--LOSS
Arlovski live (only live bet I made, tried to resist but had to do it because the line was stupid)--+425 for $20--WIN
Also added a bet on Glover pre fight when his line went over +200. Took Glover +205 for $20--WIN

Overall about broke even, up a paltry amount. And only because the books totally f'd up that Arlovski live line. Still better than last Sat.

Not sure how much I'll do for this Sat, but some for sure.

 

[avid1]

Pretty good event overall, my favourite bet that i'm having most success with is start r2/r3 bets in higher weightclasses (HW, LHW).

Chase Sherman @1.65 - WIN
-start r3 @2.55 - LOSS
-Chase decision @4.75 - LOSS

Arlovski @4.3 - WIN
-start r3 @1.86 - WIN
-Lins sub @16 - LOSS

Drew Dober ML @1.8 - WIN
-GTD @1.74 - LOSS
-dober sub @ 19 - LOSS

Ben Rothwell/OSP
-start r3 @1.89 - WIN
-Ben ML @2,13, 2.38 - WIN
-sub @5.5 - LOSS

Johnson
-GTD @1.6 - LOSS

Smith/Teixeira:
-o1.5 @1.68 - WIN
-start r3 @1.85 - WIN
-start r4 @2.4 - WIN
-teixera ML @2.75, 3.8, 5 - WIN
-teixera TKO/KO @7.25 - WIN
-R5 sub @41 - LOSS
-R5 TKO/KO @ 19 - WIN

Omar Morales + Azure hunter @2.4 - LOSS

Ray Borg @4.3 - LOSS
-DNGTD @3.55

Benitez @3.9 - LOSS

Eubanks
-R3 eubanks @ 14 - LOSS
-sub @7 - LOSS
-eubanks scorecards @1.75 - WIN

 

[2bet]

2u Sherman 1,88
2u Kelleher 2,49
2u Moras 3,85
2u Arlovski/Lins starts R2 1,38
2u Dober 1,88
2u Rothwell/OSP starts R2 1,40
2u Teixeira/Smith starts R2 1,38
2u Teixeira/Smith starts R3 1,73

What a beautiful night that was, I won every bet except Moras.
I hadn't considered any forum info for this so I actually made a final 2u bet on Simon as well since a few respected forum members won me over with their plausible arguments.
Thanks for that!

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

$100 on Dober

$100 on Dober WIN
$20 on Rothwell @+160/+110 WIN
$10 on Glover @+195 WIN
1/2u Benitez vs Morales under 2.5 +150 LOSE
1/4u on Johnson ITD @+350 LOSE

My unit size is $10.

+9u