UFC on ESPN+ 30: Kattar v Ige Official Bets

It take me over an hour and half, 3 fights to convince 5dimes that they graded my Gordon/Fishgold o2.5 wrong.



I have to give 5dimes live support Leo not hanging up on me and check with the grading team few times.
 
im so glad i didnt go all out on mccann. i only put a hundo on her. sheesh, santos looked like crap in her first fight, against a worse opponent. i duno

75 to win 73 kattar/ige over 2.5 rounds + stamman/rivera goes to decision
 
markys00 said:
im so glad i didnt go all out on mccann. i only put a hundo on her. sheesh, santos looked like crap in her first fight, against a worse opponent. i duno
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this is why I don’t bet low level WMMA any longer. Too unpredictable. Macy crushes Gillian Robertson and then loses to grandma Modaferi.

I only putting money on Zhang, Nunes and Shevchenko now.
 
Crimp_Keeper said:
this is why I don’t bet low level WMMA any longer. Too unpredictable. Macy crushes Gillian Robertson and then loses to grandma Modaferi.

I only putting money on Zhang, Nunes and Shevchenko now.
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yea, i rarely do it on the money lines, but even betting the rounds is getting a little crazy. i like playing the better girls going to decision, but even then u just dont know. its getting more and more difficult betting wmma, but it shouldnt be.. ud imaigine as wmma develops, ud get better women, but ufc likes putting in these scrub wmma who dont belong and. ugh, yea frustrating.
 
GigaOuts said:
It take me over an hour and half, 3 fights to convince 5dimes that they graded my Gordon/Fishgold o2.5 wrong.



I have to give 5dimes live support Leo not hanging up on me and check with the grading team few times.
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the fight went* to decision, not when to decision...
 
Sono07 said:
Not much here, mainly just going to enjoy watching this one. I'll take a small bite of the Meatball and Chimaev though.

●Molley+ Chimaev 1u for 1u

●Molley+ Chimaev+ Stamann+ Kattar+ Lazzez .5u for 10u
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Got a little lazy with my action but it was a fun card.

●Molley+ Chimaev 1u for 1u

●Molley+ Chimaev+ Stamann+ Kattar+ Lazzez .5u for 10u

Total -1.5u
 
Picked every single fight right on Live bets last week, only bit on one and won 220.

Picked every single fight right today as well on Live Bets but wasn't betting yet, but had 3k on Alahassan going in. Lost that. Would have bet on the other guy when I saw Alahassan unloading against him on the cage, doing no damage and depleting himself. So, fucked that up completely because I wanted to follow me mates with the multi I gave them haha fuck.

Told my boys to go on Molly lol but I waited to see with Live Betting. Knew about a minute in that Santos was going to smash her. I could tell when she stuffed the first TD and threw a clinch knee. Molly was still winning on points at that point, but I still fucking knew. Had a feeling last night after watching their old fights. Did Live bet on this with 2k on Santos at that point so won back a little.

I've lost like 2.2k today, but I've lead the boys following me all to nothing but big losses. I lost 6k in 15 minutes once over two fights on a stupid decision once, but this one sucks so much more.

I started with 3k and didn't jump on any Live bets. If I'd started with that same 3k and rolled it into a live multi off live bets, before the Elliot fight it would have been an 84k day lol. Instead it's a 2.2k loss. I could have risked 500 and won 7k, which still would have been a bigger payday than any I've ever had before.

I picked Elliot half way through, and could have even made back all my losses with a Live Bet while he was still the dog, but my heart wasn't in it at that point.

What a fucking shit day this has been.

Only doing Live Bets for while now.
 
PolarBearPaulVarelans said:
Was surprisingly energetic watching tape the past few days, going through 6 full fights. Surprisingly, nearly every single one had good lines, in contrast to this past weekend. One got cancelled (Brenegh-Gonzalez), but for now I have

2.5u on Fishgold at +120 (amazed this price went as high as +140)
2.3u on Belbita at -165
0.4u on Bukauskus round 3 +900
3u on Rivera at -120 (might add)

Will probably play the Santos-McCann fight and add a certain bet on Bukauskus-Michailidis.
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Added

1.32u on Bukaukus at -132
1u on Santos at +175
1u on Kattar by TKO/KO at +105

Belbita loss was fine and the exact reason I only bet 2.5u or less on low-level WMMA. She was stronger, a better striker, and better wrestler, but lost to an armbar people with zero BJJ training could avoid. Amazingly, she almost got out of THAT multiple times simply because of how much stronger she was than Jojua, despite horrid technique.

Fishgold had a striking and wrestling edge, but is horrible on the bottom and has zero top control, while Gordon is good at getting up and has a good top-game. I knew this and thought there was still value at +120, especially if Fishgold fought smart.

Alas, he was a complete idiot, dooming himself with those two awful guillotine attempts. No regrets there, though.

What I do regret is becoming too timid from those 2 early losses and not going heavier on Bukaukus, Santos, and adding to Rivera as I had wanted to.

I left a number of units on the table there.

Anywho, after all that carnage, I end up -0.95u. The next card is in less than 3 days but I'm not excited by much there.
 
Didn't tape at all so winged some bets this event

£50 Ige decision +720 to win £360 -£50

I wrongfully thought Ige would be able to secure a TD or 2 to steal rounds.

Added during event...

£10 Fishgold ITD +650 -£10
£10 Bukauskas > Michailidis 1.67 to win £6.70
£20 McCann decision Santos +114 -£20
£20 Rivera > Stanmann 1.97 to win £19.40
£20 Rivera > Stanmann +204 to win £20.80

Net Profit: -£33.10

Will add spreadsheet tomorrow
 
Crimp_Keeper said:
Post em

$100 on kattar @ -280** WIN $35.70
$70 on Kattar vs Ige over 2.5 rounds @ -140 WIN $50
$15 on Gordon @ -140 WIN $10.70
$5 on Gordon round 2 LOSE
$5 on Gordon round 3 LOSE
$2 on Santos by sub @ + 900 LOSE
$2 on Benoit to win in round 2 (+900)/round 3 (+ 1400) LOSE
$10 Santos @ +180 live bet WIN

+$80.40
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+$80.40
 
Sadistics said:
Kattar -214 $800
Kattar/Ige O2.5 -145 $400

Benoit +165 $500
Benoit/Elliot DNGTD +125 $300

Santos +379 $400

Alhassan -222 $1500
Alhassan/Lazzez U1.5 -165 $500

Murphy +154 $800

Bukauskas/Michalidis O1.5 -115 $1200
Bukauskas RD3 +1000 $80

Gordon -120 $800
Gordon RD2 +1000 $80
Gordon RD3 +1600 $80
Gordon/Fishgold DNGTD -110 $300
Fishgold KO +625 $80

Belbita/Jojua O2.5 -190 $730

Shore KO +400 $150


Been conflicted about the Santos play. Caught an early line and arbed down to get .5u +379, but I love Molly at the odds I could get, I just can't give up that price on Santos so I'm riding it out. Initially just had 2k Gordon, but between BOL voiding, Fishgold missing weight, and prop prices, I ended up here.
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+$996, I'm only up due to LB, Rivera and Lazzez being big contributors. It keeps seeming like my annual summer slump is here but I've squeaked out wins the last two, let's hope it's not a thing.
 
Krieg the Psycho said:
Ok, some pure gambling here.

Kattar ITD 2u +100

Benoit (T)KO 0.3u +350

Stamann DEC 1u +180

Santos DEC 0.5u +240
I know everybody is on McCann, and her offensive wrestling could well be too much for Santos. That being said, if the fight stays standing I actually give the edge to Santos. I know most disagree and I could be dead wrong, but I have to go with my own gut here. I'll admit that McCann has made huge improvements since her Cage Warrior days and maybe I'm just being biased against her. But it is what it is.

Ramos SUB 0.3u +350

Bukauskas RD3 0.25u +900

Gordon 3u -125
Santos (won) + Gordon 1u +170
Fishgold RD1 0.5u +400
Fishgold (T)KO 0.3u +600
The hedges are a bit of a mess. So Fishgold RD2 sub incoming. Fishgold not even trying to make weight has me worried.

Stamann/Rivera GTD + Alhassan/Lazzez under 1.5 1u -102

Chandler (won) + Santos (won) + Gordon + Alhassan 0.25u +451
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Added Murphy (T)KO, also added to Santos and hedged a little with Kattar DEC. But lost the live bet on Benoit. All in all, I'm pretty much break even for the night. I gambled on Kattar ITD and lost. I'm really happy about my Santos bets, because for once I had the guts to go against the consensus. I don't consider myself a good capper so I'm sometimes easily influenced by others' opinions.
 
BigSteve said:
Shore SUB 200 to win 260
Shore + Khamzat RD1 or 2 200 to win 200
Philips KO 50 to win 275

Gordon 500 to win 330
Fishgold RD 1 150 to win 600

Michalidis KO RD1 50 to win 450

Murphy 100 to win 130

Ribas + Alhassan 580 to win 400 ( Cashed out after round 1 for 510 loss)

Molly R3/DEC 200 to win 200

Rivera/Cody GTD + Katar 570 to win 400

Elliot 400 to win 260
Beniot DEC 100 to win 260
Beniot KO RD1 50 to win 450

Ribas + Kattar 555 to win 300

Elliot fight is absolute shambles. Thought his line was going to improve but everyone bet Beniot. Can't cash out, and then I bet Beniot by DEC by accident instead of KO lol.

Don't feel a PB card like last week, but il be happy with +3u with these plays.
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Pre bet added Shore RD3 or DEC 100

Bukaskas at 1.80 (insane odds ) 400 to win 320
Bukaskas RD 2 50
Bukaskas RD 3 50
Michalidis RD1 KO 100

Shore + Rivera/Cody RD3 + Kattar 800 to win 585

Ige RD 1 150

Live bet only added Munir after RD 1 800 to win 432

+1590 = 8u

Really stocked with this result, wasen't an easy card. Think we got the hang of this now. Might need to up the unit size to 400.

Gota thank everyone on here, game has gone through the roof since joining this sub. See you all in 3 days.
 
BaruchSpinoza said:
Dear god, my bets are random as fuck. It would be a miracle if I come out ahead. Only betting a little over 2u so at least there are limits to how catastrophically it can go wrong!

0.25u Dan Ige DEC at +600

0.1u Benoit R3 at +1600

1u McCann at -125

0.075u Lazzez T/KO R1 at +1400
0.1u Alhassan DEC at +800

0.1u Phillips T/KO at +550
0.05u Phillips T/KO R1 at +1200

0.5u Bukauskas vs. Michailidis starts R3 at +150
0.2u Bukauskas R3 at +1600

0.15u Fishgold T/KO R1 at +1400

0.125 Shore vs. Phillips GTD at +240

Good luck fellow degenerates!
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-2.65u, the only prediction I got right was that I needed a miracle, but unfortunately that didn't happen... Some ridiculously stupid bets...
 
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