UFC on ESPN+ 30: Kattar v Ige Official Bets

GigaOuts said:
I like discussion here lot better, you known who is the REAL bettor is, who lay down real money on their picks. Never ever I want to discuss fight with someone who doesn't put in the work and bet for fun.
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keep the discussion to the designated thread Or take it to PM’s. There’s only two of you who apparently don’t want to respect the unwritten rules.
 
Crimp_Keeper said:
keep the discussion to the designated thread Or take it to PM’s. There’s only two of you who apparently don’t want to respect the unwritten rules.
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While your point is pretty solid and respectable -- the way you approach it is kind of cringe.

Relax, put the EPO down and have a Truly bud.
 
I have a double on McCann and Rivera, 22 to win 49

Got Shore ITD at -210 (not great odds, but pretty confident in the outcome) 27 to win 13

Betonline gave me a 15$freeplay for betting on the last card, put it on Fishgold to win 18.45 (think he might have the best shot as an underdog, and I learned last card that betting with a freeplay, you only get the profit and not the stake, so might as well go with a dog

I've got 5 on Fishgold, Belbita, Bukauskas, and Ramos to win 37

Main event over 2.5 + Alhassan fight under 1.5, 10 to win 16

Fishgold/Gordon over 2.5 + Belbita/Jojua over 2.5, 8 to win 17

I did pretty well last card, think I was wrong on three fights, this one though is way harder to pick as I am mostly wikicapping because I don't even know who most of these fighters are
 
Kattar -214 $800
Kattar/Ige O2.5 -145 $400

Benoit +165 $500
Benoit/Elliot DNGTD +125 $300

Santos +379 $400

Alhassan -222 $1500
Alhassan/Lazzez U1.5 -165 $500

Murphy +154 $800

Bukauskas/Michalidis O1.5 -115 $1200
Bukauskas RD3 +1000 $80

Gordon -120 $800
Gordon RD2 +1000 $80
Gordon RD3 +1600 $80
Gordon/Fishgold DNGTD -110 $300
Fishgold KO +625 $80

Belbita/Jojua O2.5 -190 $730

Shore KO +400 $150


Been conflicted about the Santos play. Caught an early line and arbed down to get .5u +379, but I love Molly at the odds I could get, I just can't give up that price on Santos so I'm riding it out. Initially just had 2k Gordon, but between BOL voiding, Fishgold missing weight, and prop prices, I ended up here.
 
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I'll post my other bets tomorrow.
 
Shore SUB 200 to win 260
Shore + Khamzat RD1 or 2 200 to win 200
Philips KO 50 to win 275

Gordon 500 to win 330
Fishgold RD 1 150 to win 600

Michalidis KO RD1 50 to win 450

Murphy 100 to win 130

Ribas + Alhassan 580 to win 400

Molly R3/DEC 200 to win 200

Rivera/Cody GTD + Katar 570 to win 400

Elliot 400 to win 260
Beniot DEC 100 to win 260
Beniot KO RD1 50 to win 450

Ribas + Kattar 555 to win 300

Elliot fight is absolute shambles. Thought his line was going to improve but everyone bet Beniot. Can't cash out, and then I bet Beniot by DEC by accident instead of KO lol.

Don't feel a PB card like last week, but il be happy with +3u with these plays.
 
Difficult card to bet Imo with a lot of fighters making their debut. Therefore only a small amount of bets for me.

€40 on Fishgold @ 2.25
€30 on Shore via submission @ 2.00
€30 on Kattar via TKO @ 2.05
 
PuertoRican said:
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I'll post my other bets tomorrow.
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Hey can you post a BD of Murphy/Ramos in the other thread? One of the fights I won't get to, want someone that I know breaks down fights well to give some insight and saw you are on Murphy. Thanks brother if you can find the time. @Me when you post it if you do!
 
Dear god, my bets are random as fuck. It would be a miracle if I come out ahead. Only betting a little over 2u so at least there are limits to how catastrophically it can go wrong!

0.25u Dan Ige DEC at +600

0.1u Benoit R3 at +1600

1u McCann at -125

0.075u Lazzez T/KO R1 at +1400
0.1u Alhassan DEC at +800

0.1u Phillips T/KO at +550
0.05u Phillips T/KO R1 at +1200

0.5u Bukauskas vs. Michailidis starts R3 at +150
0.2u Bukauskas R3 at +1600

0.15u Fishgold T/KO R1 at +1400

0.125 Shore vs. Phillips GTD at +240

Good luck fellow degenerates!
 
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Kattar itd -105
Kattar rd 4 +1025
Kattar rd 5 +1425
Elliott dec +160
Stamman dec +215
Meatball ML -125
Lazeez/Alhassan no straight bet pre fight
Chimaev KO/TKO +434
Murphy dec +300 (blind f'ing bet LOL)
Michalidas/Bukausskas u2.0
Gordon dec +180
Fishgold NSC -160
Fishgold rd 1 +350
Fishgold KO/TKO +625
Jojua/Belbita...who? No pre fight bet
Shore KO/TKO +325
Shore rd 3 +785
Total subs o2.5 +135
Total subs o3.5 +405
Total subs o4.5 +1373
Total subs o5.5 +5850
Total subs o6.5 +39000

Edit: Of course I have some random parlays with props and stuff too. After hitting some nice ones recently, I'm going back to that well again ha ha. Will post in the pbp thread if any get close to hitting.
 
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Gordon 2u at -150
McCann 2u at -143
Michailasis/Buskaukas (or whatever the fuck you spell their names) o1.5 1u at -125
Jojua/Belbita o1.5 1u at -231

Keeping it small, it's hard to have a read on many fights since many fighters are making their ufc debut.
Wanted to bet on Kattar but not at -300 odds.
 
mkess101 said:
Hey can you post a BD of Murphy/Ramos in the other thread? One of the fights I won't get to, want someone that I know breaks down fights well to give some insight and saw you are on Murphy. Thanks brother if you can find the time. @Me when you post it if you do!
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Listen from 55:50 to 1:02:30.
 
Ramos – Murphy FGD No +140 0.5U
Ramos Sub +350 0.2U
Jared Gordon ML -120 1.5U
Bakauskas RD3 +1600 0.2U
Michailidis ML +148 0.5U
Bakauskas – Michailidis O1.5 -120 1U
Stamann Dec +187 1.5U
Kattar – Ige O1.5 -150 3U
Kattar Dec +260 0.3U
Kattar RD3 +750 0.1U
Kattar RD2 +550 0.2U
Kattar RD1 +450 0.2U
 
Was surprisingly energetic watching tape the past few days, going through 6 full fights. Surprisingly, nearly every single one had good lines, in contrast to this past weekend. One got cancelled (Brenegh-Gonzalez), but for now I have

2.5u on Fishgold at +120 (amazed this price went as high as +140)
2.3u on Belbita at -165
0.4u on Bukauskus round 3 +900
3u on Rivera at -120 (might add)

Will probably play the Santos-McCann fight and add a certain bet on Bukauskus-Michailidis.
 
Ok, some pure gambling here.

Kattar ITD 2u +100

Benoit (T)KO 0.3u +350

Stamann DEC 1u +180

Santos DEC 0.5u +240
I know everybody is on McCann, and her offensive wrestling could well be too much for Santos. That being said, if the fight stays standing I actually give the edge to Santos. I know most disagree and I could be dead wrong, but I have to go with my own gut here. I'll admit that McCann has made huge improvements since her Cage Warrior days and maybe I'm just being biased against her. But it is what it is.

Ramos SUB 0.3u +350

Bukauskas RD3 0.25u +900

Gordon 3u -125
Santos (won) + Gordon 1u +170
Fishgold RD1 0.5u +400
Fishgold (T)KO 0.3u +600
The hedges are a bit of a mess. So Fishgold RD2 sub incoming. Fishgold not even trying to make weight has me worried.

Stamann/Rivera GTD + Alhassan/Lazzez under 1.5 1u -102

Chandler (won) + Santos (won) + Gordon + Alhassan 0.25u +451
 
Not much here, mainly just going to enjoy watching this one. I'll take a small bite of the Meatball and Chimaev though.

●Molley+ Chimaev 1u for 1u

●Molley+ Chimaev+ Stamann+ Kattar+ Lazzez .5u for 10u
 
Shore itd -175
Belbita by dec +150
Gordon -138
Andreas +160
Lerone +147
Chimaev/Alhassan -144
Molly -145
Rivera -135
Benoit +123
Kattar by ko/tko -105
 
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