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UFC on ESPN+ 26 Felder vs Hooker Official Bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Jan 20, 2020.

  1. null Gold Belt

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    post 'em
     
  2. 2020Tracked Green Belt

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    Song Kenan at 1.61 for 2 unit
    Mustafaev at 1.61 for 1 unit
    Tyson Nam at 2.90 for 0.5 unit
    Polish Princes at 2.80 for 0.5 unit

    Angela Hill + Lord Michael at 2.68 for 1 unit

    Considering Felder and possibly Aguilar.

    Don't have great expectations for this card.
     
  3. Broe. Brown Belt

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    900$ hooker x 1.85
    400$ kenan song x 1.67
    300$ dobson x 1.67
    100$ aguilar x 1.9
    150$ hill x 1.57
    100$ riddell x 2.15
    150$ lima x 1.7
     
  4. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Xiaonan Yan $1,000 -250
    Marcos Rogerio de Lima $ 400 -145
    Lima/Sosoli O1.5 $152 -152
    Jalin Turner $250 -200
    Shana Dobson $1,000 -196
    Takashi Sato $200 -125
     
    Last edited: Feb 21, 2020
  5. 2020Tracked Green Belt

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    Added

    Felder at 2.25 for 2 unit
    Yan by KO/TKO at 8.50 for 0.25 unit
    Yan by KO/TKO + Felder decision at 32.00 for 0.1 unit
     
  6. Cockadoodle Blue Belt

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    Hooker 2u for 1.56u
    Crute 2.5u for 4.12u
    Yan 2u for .96u
    Solisi 1u for 1.35u
    Mustafaev 3u for 2.16u
    Agular 1u for .87u
    Hill 2u for 1.1u
    KKF 3u for 1.41u
    Every main card fight to reach r2 1u for 2.2u
    Every main card fight to reach r3 .5u for 6.5u
    Every main card fight goes to decision .25u for 15u
    I have some other action in parlays and small props but would take too long to type. Got a bit excited on this one. My first UFC live event since Nate marquart smoked James Tehuna and the crowd started rioting.
     
  7. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    Xiaonan -211 $3200

    Lima -145 $725
    Lima/Sosoli O1.5 -147 $500

    Riddell +412 $100

    Turner -154 $1600

    Potter +225 $250

    Kara-France DEC -125 $360

    Dobson -137 $3000

    I'm about set. Bet slips always available if anyone cares, I know my prices are sometimes unrealistic.
     
  8. Sono07 Brown Belt

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    Not doubting ya. Just outta curiosity is that +412 on Riddell ML?
    I'm tempted to play his points handicap but I don't see it (or any points lines) on dimes yet.
     
  9. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    Yeah, I caught +240 pretape, then reduced from $250 to $100 with Mustafaev -125 for a consolidated +412
     
  10. Broe. Brown Belt

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    I dont really understand this process. So you just reduced your action a little with a little arbitrage. But your bet of 100 on riddel will not pay out a profit of 412 now when he wins....
     
  11. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    $250 Riddell +240 pays $600
    $187 Mustafaev -125 pays $149.6

    Risk: $250 - $149.6 = $100.4
    Payout: $600 - $187 = $413

    Makes sense?
     
  12. Broe. Brown Belt

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    No not really I don't get it, lets say riddle wins then you bet 250+187= 437 for a 600-437= 163 profit

    while if mustafaev wins you get 149.6-250 = a loss of 100.4, I really dont understand how you got to +414
     
  13. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Admittedly, math is not my strong suit. I have also struggled to figure out consolidated prices for my own bets.
     
  14. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    So I've placed 2 bets on this fight:
    $250 Riddell +240
    $187 Mustafaev -125

    If Riddell wins I win $600 profit from the Riddell bet, but lose $187 from the Mustafaev bet, for a total profit of $413.

    If Mustafaev wins I lose $250 from the Riddell bet, but win $150 from the Mustafaev bet, for a total loss of $100.

    $100 at risk for potential profit of $413
     
  15. Broe. Brown Belt

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    oh yeah you are right, kind of insane you got +240.
     
  16. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    Whats crazier is he opened +325.
     
  17. 2020Tracked Green Belt

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    What's crazy is they're close to even money now, Mustafaev is taking a head home
     
  18. Bastaille Yellow Belt

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    KKF dec 200$ to win 190$

    Hill dec 150$ to win 180$

    Yan 2k to win 840$

    Riddell 100$ to win 120$

    Crute 100$ to win 110$

    Lima/sosoli O1.5 400$ To win 244$

    felder ko or decision 200$ to win 324$

    Turner 300$ To win 141$

    And I got wilder by ko tonight. Good luck
     
  19. 2bet Green Belt

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    2u Hooker 2,08 (had him parlayed with Cyborg)
    2u Felder/Hooker U4.5 1,74
    2u de Lima 1,67
    2u Sosoli/de Lima U1.5 2,4
    2u Mustafaev 1,79
    2u Turner 1,50
    2u Hill 1,57
    2u Dobson 1,51
     
  20. Sono07 Brown Belt

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    Excited to see what the Kickboxing Kiwi's bring to the table.

    ●Felder 1.5u for 2u
    ●Felder NSC 1u for 1.5u
    I haven't seen him back down in the octagon yet, solid chin, pressure, and hell of a game face

    ●Hill 2.5u for 1.5u
    Didn't realize she signed late. Hope she isn't looking past Loma. If she can't get her boxing going I may be looking at the Thai live.

    ●France 1u for .5u
    Honestly I thought his last fight was good, Moreno just showed up better. I like Kai's power and fluid boxing, that right might blast Nam

    ●Yan 2.5u for 1u
    I like her boxing and movement here. As far as I can see she is in better shape and has taken much less damage.

    Props/Parlays
    ●Nam vs France .25u for 17.5u
    Couldn't help myself Nam's striking could make this close

    ●Yan+France 1.5u for 1.3u
    ●Yan DEC + France DEC 1.5u for 3u
    ●Yan + France + Felder NSC + Riddell points handicap 1.5u for 12.5u

    ●Yan DEC + France ML + Riddell points handicap 1.5u for 4.25u
     
    Last edited: Feb 22, 2020

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