Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Jan 20, 2020.
A lot of fun matchups on this card.
Michel Pereira will knock Sanchez out... Right?
He has the worst cardio I've ever seen and from memory his TDD isn't all that flash...
You expecting a replay of the Connerly fight essentially?
I suppose it's either that or Diego getting knocked out by something wild.
Some caution is required on this card. I believe it's only the 2nd time the UFC has visited New Mexico, the last card was full of controversy due to poor officiating. It had the Sanchez/Pearson robbery, Moraga losing via dr. stoppage due to a bloody nose, and Caraway fish hooking to get a RNC.
But that card was 6 years ago, you'd think it would be better now right? Last week LFA held an event there that was just full of controversy start to finish. Phantom taps, unwarranted stand ups, and ridiculously early stoppages. Beware.
Can't remember where but I'm pretty sure I read an interview from Pereira where he said he won't stop his clownfest acrobatics during fights even after getting humiliated by Connelly. Hard to place hard earned money on a clown.
Not really 'expecting it' but Connelly was 1-2 weight classes smaller and still wrestled his way to decision (going off memory here). Diego has almost no chin and is washed so he's harder to judge but essentially the same PTV...
I'd want a bigger number on Diego so pass for now but I'd keep an eye on the line movement.
See nathaniel wood around -160, have a feeling his line is going to get steamed soon. Dodson has had better days though he only loses to top fighters. Any thoughts on this fight?
Huge step up from Quinonez to Dodson...
That said, Dodson throws no volume and can't remember the last time he hurt someone? -160 seems fair but if it does get steamed I'd still play Dodson at +220 or more I think
He dropped Yan in his last fight and Moraes a couple fights before that.
Dodson is historically a tricky fight for everyone he faces, but he is definitely past his prime now, a lot of what he did well relied on being very quick and powerful. The speed has faded over the years and now he's in a weird spot, he can avoid a lot of damage and very difficult to track down and hit but he doesn't do much offensively himself.
Should be a boring close decision fight, but it could easily go either way
Dodson at dog odds is always fun.
he’s just such a low volume fighter.
I don’t see where he’s really slowed down
if he was aggressive he would be a contender
the best card of the year.
Na he gonna lose a dec
Wood sub2 and hes -150 now
Anyone else liking Montano as a dog?
Paiva is Great parlay material, he will smoke Mark De Larosa. Mark is a bum, I always make money on him . I picked him only against Jobby Sanchez
Probably should seeing as how Macy was outwrestled by the great Lina lansberg
Might go with Daniel Rodriguez over Means. He should be the dog. Tapology has the reach identical giving up 2" in height. His contender series bout was a disappointment but more because his opponent did not want to engage. Means will stay in the pocket and trade giving Rodriguez the fight he wants.
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