UFC on ESPN 14: Whittaker vs. Till - Official Bets

[2020Tracked]

Post 'em

Bethe at 2.25 - 0.5 unit
Sobatta at 2.40 - 0.5 unit
Ronson at 3.50 - 0.5 unit
Boser by decision at 2.25 - 0.5 unit
Gus/Wedum over 2.5 round at 2.00 - 0.5 unit
Aspinal ITD at 2.10 for 0.5 unit



Some dog lines are getting crazy so I may have some more small plays

I like Wood ITD, Shogun/Nog either fighter by KO, Jai Herbert, Paul Craig, Rodriguez and Whittaker, could end up playing them all in some way

 

[TrueAscension]

Where you at @Sadistics

 

[Sadistics]

Where you at @Sadistics

Werdum +292 $400

Esparza +257 $650

Craig +105 $1050
Craig/Antigulov U1.5 +118 $500

Sobotta +168 $415
Sobotta SUB +850 $185

Chimaev/McKee O1.5 +185 $400

Trinaldo -139 $800
Trinaldo SUB +600 $80

Ronson +319 $400
Ronson/Dalby O2.5 -180 $600

Aspinall -170 $850

Boser -189 $1600
Boser DEC +121 $300
Boser/Pessoa O2.5 -128 $800

Correia +158 $800

Castaneda +340 $250
Castaneda/Wood O1.5 -182 $600

Idk if it was a glitch but DSI had Esparza +257 yesterday, I'm pretty sure they honour it. Botched the Castaneda line, but I expect major CLV on most other lines. Want to be on Whittaker at -110 or better, let's see where the line goes.

 

[GoatArtemLobov]

2u on Bobby at -130
3u on Marina at -175
2u Rua/Lil Nog o1.5 at -117
2u on Boser at -260
1u on Boser dec at +105


Really need to become better at understanding line movement, took Boser, Marina and Bobby at bad odds...

 

[DonQ94]

Evloev 50 @ 1.57
Antigulov 30 @ 2.05
Trinaldo 50 @ 1.74
Esparza 20 @ 2.50
Whittaker 35 @ 1.91

Might add some props later, but havent looked into them yet.

 

[Omni1]

Werdum +292 $400

Esparza +257 $650

Craig +105 $1050
Craig/Antigulov U1.5 +118 $500

Sobotta +168 $415
Sobotta SUB +850 $185

Chimaev/McKee O1.5 +185 $400

Trinaldo -139 $800
Trinaldo SUB +600 $80

Ronson +319 $400
Ronson/Dalby O2.5 -180 $600

Aspinall -170 $850

Boser -189 $1600
Boser DEC +121 $300
Boser/Pessoa O2.5 -128 $800

Correia +158 $800

Castaneda +340 $250
Castaneda/Wood O1.5 -182 $600

Idk if it was a glitch but DSI had Esparza +257 yesterday, I'm pretty sure they honour it. Botched the Castaneda line, but I expect major CLV on most other lines. Want to be on Whittaker at -110 or better, let's see where the line goes.

The only 2 plays I'm wondering about are Aspinall & Castaneda. I was really unimpressed with the footage of Aspinall. As bad as Collier may be he will be the best competition Tom will have faced. And I really like Wood over the Mexican newcomer.

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

$50 Whittaker @ -115
$10 on Werdum sub @ +700
$10 on Grundy @ +160
$7.25 on Grundy Dec @ +275
$10 on Aspinall wins in round 1 @ +250
$20 Trinaldo @ -110
$5 Herbert by KO/TKO @ + 400
$10 Boser + Trinaldo to win $15.19
$2.5 on Boser + Kinazad + Evloev to win $5

 

[Monster Meat]

$480/$400 Whittaker -120
$304/$200 emeev by dec -152
$275/$100 chimaev inside distance -275
$100/$130 Herbert +130

 

[GigaOuts]

$480/$400 Whittaker -120
$304/$200 emeev by dec -152
$275/$100 chimaev inside distance -152
$100/$130 Herbert +130

does not compute!

 

[BigSteve]

Wood/Castaneda start RD2 + Emeev 667 to win 400
Wood + Evloev RD3/DEC 400 to win 596
Wood + Dalby 822 to win 598
Wood SUB RD2 50 to win 425

Emeev RD3/DEC 404 to win 250

Kianzad RD3/DEC 220 to win 200
Kianzad/Beathe Start RD2 + Dalby/Ronson Start RD3 929 to win 600

Pessoa 100 to win 202

Grundy KO/DEC 296 to win 671

Trinaldo 400 to win 244

Chimaev RD1 224 to win 280
Chimaev RD1/2 800 to win 424
Chimaev + Nog/Rua Start RD2 400 to win 235

Olivera KO/DEC 600 to win 600
Sabota SUB/DEC 300 to win 600

Antigulov SUB RD1 100 to win 700

Rodriguez 1200 to win 736
Carla DEC 236 to win 424

Nog RD1 KO 50 to win 500
Nog/Rua to start RD3 200 to win 224

Long shot: Emeev RD3/DEC + Nog/Rua DEC + Gus/Werdum Start RD3 + Dalby/Ronson start RD3 75 to win 1000

 

[TrueAscension]

1500 Rua/Whit
1500 Whit -115

 

[NewLockGuy]

1500 Rua/Whit
1500 Whit -115

Any long shot parlays we can tail? Loved that parlay you had on the duo submission between Fig and Jack, that's amazing stuff. Had money on Jack sub myself!

 

[Monster Meat]

does not compute!

lol the odds are actually -275 on that I’ll edit

 

[HockeyBjj]

$30 on Whiteker @-120
$5 parley Whittaker, Chimaev, Gus/Werdum goes the distance @ +355
$10 Aspina by finish -110

 

[TrueAscension]

Any long shot parlays we can tail? Loved that parlay you had on the duo submission between Fig and Jack, that's amazing stuff. Had money on Jack sub myself!

Thanks man! No unfortunately I don’t see anything that stands out that has such good odds of happening with plus money behind it.

 

[BigSteve]

Added Aspinal KO RD1 100 for 230

 

[PuertoRican]

-

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[Papi]

Trinaldo -170 5.1u to win 3u

Till -105 2.10u to win 2u

Aspinall/emeev double 1.3u to win 1u

Ronson +220 1u to win 2.2u

Lil nog itd +200 .5u to win 1u

Grundy ko +1200 .1u to win 1.2u

Gus -265 to close out a triple to win 1u

Got fooked on line movement I would say that's by far my biggest flaw in betting is predicting that shit. If Esparza line keeps improving I might throw a little on her dec line.

 

[BaruchSpinoza]

After losing a little over 2u on a bunch of undisciplined bets on Fight Night 172, I sat out for Benavidez vs. Figuerdo. Trying to stay tight this event.

0.75 u Werdum vs. Gus GTD at +110

0.1 u Sobotta SUB at +900

1.5 u Chimaev vs. McKee starts R2 at +110 (I just can't accept a first round finish being a > 50% event)
0.125 u Chimaev SUB R2 at +850

EDIT: Trying to stay disciplined, but looked a little extra on fights scheduled before bedtime (the ME is 6 AM here...) and couldn't help adding:

1 u Wood vs. Castañada o.1.5 at -175
0.5 u Wood vs. Castañada Starts R2 at -250
0.375 u Wood Decision at +225

Thinking Wood should win but might be slightly tentative after being whacked continuously to the head by little man Dodson. Also, Castañada seems quite well-rounded and tough.

Good luck!

 

[2bet]

2.5u Wood + Emeev 1,56
2.5u Boser + Trinaldo 2,20
2.5u Till 2,20
2.5u Dalby/Ronson starts R2 1,20
2.5u Rodriguez ITD - no 1,21