UFC on ESPN 1 Ngannou vs Velasquez Official Bets

[null]

UFC on ESPN 1 Risk $4,429.25

Cain Velasquez wins by submission (+900) $50.00 for $450.00
Cain Velasquez/Francis Ngannou won’t start round 4 (-295) $295.00 for $100.00
Cain Velasquez/Francis Ngannou won’t start round 5 (-485) $242.50 for $50.00

James Vick (+100) vs Paul Felder $200.00 for $200.00
James Vick wins by submission (+815) $40.00 for $326.00
James Vick/Paul Felder Under 2½ (+117) $100.00 for $117.00

Cortney Casey/Cynthia Calvillo goes 3 round distance (-160) $160.00 for $100.00

Kron Gracie (-250) vs Alex Caceres $250.00 for $100.00
Kron Gracie (-315) vs Alex Caceres $315.00 for $100.00
Kron Gracie wins by submission (-136) $136.00 for $100.00
Kron Gracie wins by submission (-150) $150.00 for $100.00
Kron Gracie/Alex Caceres Under 1½ (-103) $103.00 for $100.00
Kron Gracie/Alex Caceres won’t start round 3 (-185) $92.50 for $50.00

Vicente Luque -3½ points (-205) vs Bryan Barberena $82.00 for $40.00
Vicente Luque wins inside distance (+113) $40.00 for $45.20

Andre Fili +3½ points (-195) vs Myles Jury $78.00 for $40.00

Aljamain Sterling (+130) vs Jimmie Rivera $200.00 for $260.00
Aljamain Sterling wins by submission (+653) $30.00 for $195.90

Benito Lopez (+170) vs Manny Bermudez $100.00 for $170.00
Benito Lopez/Manny Bermudez won't go 3 round distance (-280) $210.00 for $75.00

Ashlee Evans-Smith (+155) vs Andrea Lee $100.00 for $155.00
Ashlee Evans-Smith +3½ points (-165) $206.25 for $125.00
Ashlee Evans-Smith/Andrea Lee goes 3 round distance (-190) $142.50 for $75.00

Nik Lentz (+155) vs Scott Holtzman $200.00 for $310.00
Nik Lentz/Scott Holtzman goes 3 round distance (-260) $260.00 for $100.00

Luke Sanders (-177) vs Renan Barao $354.00 for $200.00
Luke Sanders wins in round 3 (+1300) $20.00 for $260.00

Aleksandra Albu (+100) vs Emily Whitmire $100.00 for $100.00
Aleksandra Albu wins by 3 round decision (+275) $75.00 for $206.25
Emily Whitmire +3½ points (-195) $97.50 for $50.00

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

3.5u on Albu-Whitmire GTD at -210
1.5u on Whitmire winning by decision at +175
1u on Lentz ML at +160
2.5u on Lee-Evans-Smith GTD at -190
1u on Lee winning by decision at +161
3u on N'Gannou ML at +210
0.3u on N'Gannou by TKO/KO at +200

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Francis
Felder
Caceres
Cynthia/Luque
Jury
Aljo
Lentz
Lee
Lopez
Barao

 

[LiquidNuke]

Best of luck, everyone.

 

[Dooze]

1U Ngannou @ 2.63
0.5U Cain + Francis tie on takedowns @ 8.00
1U Jury @ 1.72
0.5U Luque KO @ 3.25
0.5U (free bet) - Bruce Leeroy dec @ 5.5
1U Sanders @ 1.62
0.5U Sanders dec @ 2.88

Accumulator:

0.5U (free bet) - Ngannou // Felder // Jury // Rivera //Holtzmann // Sanders @ 32.9

 

[Ruthfella]

Ngannou 10u +220

Told ya moofokas!

 

[benson733]

Soo glad I just put $55 on Ngannou @ +170

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

3.5u on Albu-Whitmire GTD at -210
1.5u on Whitmire winning by decision at +175
1u on Lentz ML at +160
2.5u on Lee-Evans-Smith GTD at -190
1u on Lee winning by decision at +161
3u on N'Gannou ML at +210
0.3u on N'Gannou by TKO/KO at +200

Awful start to the night, but I roughly broke even afterwards, throwing away an additional 0.3u live-betting Vick after round 1 at +175.

Then I made a lot of money on the main event and wish I had put even more, in retrospect. Oh well, it's a nice +6.2u profit and I'm very close to quadrupling my initial deposit from middle October of last year now.

 

[Sadistics]

Velasquez/Ngannou DNGTD -350 $350
Ngannou RD1 KO +400 $125
Ngannou RD2 KO +900 $50
Ngannou KO or DEC +225 $200

Calvillo/Casey GTD -165 $75

Gracie -285 $285

Rivera -135 250
Rivera NSC -107 $250
Rivera/Sterling O2.5 -255 $500

Lopez +225 $45
Lopez/Bermudez DNGTD -155 $155

Lee -177 $200

Holtzman/Lentz GTD -275 $500

Esquibel +150 $400
Esquibel DEC +200 $100
Esquibel/Penne GTD -280 $500
Penne NSC -235 $590

Sanders -167 $1250

Whitmire +160 $100


Young (-210) + De La Rosa (-205) + Lee (-185) +238 $300


May arb out some Esquibel ML action, otherwise I'm about set. Expecting livebet to be very profitable on this card.

+$3275. Adds to a very profitable weekend and month, +$12.3k since Feb 1st.

Gz to all winners, next week looks very promising betting-wise

 

[Cockadoodle]

Ngannou ML 2u for 4.04u
Cain sub .5u for 4.5u

Vick ML 2u for 2.5u
Vick Dec 1u for 1.8u
Felder ko 1u for 2u

Calvillo Sub 1u for 2.3u

Caceres ML 1u for 2.9u

Barbarena ML 1u for 2.86u
FGTD 1u for 1.23u
Barbarena r3 tko .2u for 6u

Jury R3/Dec 2u for 2.8u

Rivera ML 2u for 1.34u
Stirling sub .5u for 3u

Bermudez ML 4.5u for 2u
Bermudez sub 1u for 1u
Lopez KO .5u for 2.5u

AES 2.5u for 4u

Lentz ML 1u for 1.53u

Esquibel ML 2u for 2.88u

Barao sub .5u for 3u

Whitmire ML 1u for 1.38u

geeze im on every fight.. highly suspect behavior
Good Luck

Officially my worst betting night yet, down 6.7 units
Not actually that bad but I was up over 5 units after the Bermudez fight but then lost the rest until Ngannou.
The two bets which really pissed me off were Rivera and Jury who imo didnt try hard enough.
Had Luque and Barb to go the distance which hurt and potentially the Barb decision.
anyway, no sweat looking forward to Prague!

 

[ClipYourDirtyWings]

Another good card, up about 30u on the last four cards.

 

[Soccer Steve]

Ngganou ML - 2u for 2.9u

Vick ML - 5u for 5.5u
Vick Decision - 1.5u for 2.6u

Calvillo ML - 8u for 2.78u

Jury ML - 5u for 3u
Jury Decision - 1.5u for 2.5u
Jury Round 3 - 0.5u for 7u

Sterling ML - 3.5u for 4.9u
Sterling Sub - 0.5u for 3u

Lopez KO - 0.5u for 1.6u

Lee ML - 1u for 0.5u

Barao ML - 1u for 1.6u
Barao Sub - 0.5u for 2.6u

Lentz ML - 2u for 3u
Lentz Sub - 0.5u for 3u

Penne Sub - 0.5u for 1.8u

Whitemire ML - 2u for 3.1u

Gracie + Luque - 3u for 2u

Whitmire+Sanders+Penne+Lentz+Lee+Aljo+Jury+Vick+Nggannou - 0.2u for 50u

Roller-coaster of a night. Vick fought fine, took some good shots, gave some good shots, and lost to the better man; plain and simple. Fili fought smart, I'll give him that, but Jury with no urgency or plan in Round 3 was bewildering.

Thanks to everyone who argued for Ngganou. I was originally thinking Cain and changed my side because of the forum.

19u and Family Day tomorrow in my province so no work, cherry on top!

 

[Guffman]

Whitmire ML +150 2u
Albu KO/TKO/DQ +675 .5u
Lentz ML +155 1u
Lentz SUB +875 .5u
Jury ML -150 1u
Barberena/Luque FGTD +115 .5u
Felder ML -115 1u
Lee/Bermudez/Gracie .5u
added..
Lee Dec +155 1u

...Up 3.6u for the card.

 

[null]

Underdog bets on Nik Lentz & Aljamain Sterling got the prelims started right, and UFC debutante Kron Gracie made it look easy on the main card- only wish I bet him bigger. A last minute bet on Francis Ngannou in the main event capped off the night nicely for another 12.43 units profit.

UFC on ESPN 1 Results Risk $4,429.25

Francis Ngannou (+185) vs Cain Velasquez $200.00 for $370.00= $370.00
Cain Velasquez wins by submission (+900) $50.00 for $450.00= -$50.00
Cain Velasquez/Francis Ngannou won’t start round 4 (-295) $295.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Cain Velasquez/Francis Ngannou won’t start round 5 (-485) $242.50 for $50.00= $50.00

James Vick (+100) vs Paul Felder $200.00 for $200.00= -$200.00
James Vick wins by submission (+815) $40.00 for $326.00= -$40.00
James Vick/Paul Felder Under 2½ (+117) $100.00 for $117.00= -$100.00

Cortney Casey/Cynthia Calvillo goes 3 round distance (-160) $160.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Live In-Play Cortney Casey (+379) vs Cynthia Calvillo $100.00 for $379.00= -$100.00

Kron Gracie (-250) vs Alex Caceres $250.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Kron Gracie (-315) vs Alex Caceres $315.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Kron Gracie wins by submission (-136) $136.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Kron Gracie wins by submission (-150) $150.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Kron Gracie/Alex Caceres Under 1½ (-103) $103.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Kron Gracie/Alex Caceres won’t start round 3 (-185) $92.50 for $50.00= $50.00

Vicente Luque -3½ points (-205) vs Bryan Barberena $82.00 for $40.00= $40.00
Vicente Luque wins inside distance (+113) $40.00 for $45.20= $45.20

Andre Fili +3½ points (-195) vs Myles Jury $78.00 for $40.00= $40.00

Aljamain Sterling (+130) vs Jimmie Rivera $200.00 for $260.00= $260.00
Aljamain Sterling wins by submission (+653) $30.00 for $195.90= -$30.00

Benito Lopez (+170) vs Manny Bermudez $100.00 for $170.00= -$100.00
Benito Lopez/Manny Bermudez won't go 3 round distance (-280) $210.00 for $75.00= $75.00

Ashlee Evans-Smith (+155) vs Andrea Lee $100.00 for $155.00= -$100.00
Ashlee Evans-Smith +3½ points (-165) $206.25 for $125.00= -$206.25
Ashlee Evans-Smith/Andrea Lee goes 3 round distance (-190) $142.50 for $75.00= $75.00

Nik Lentz (+155) vs Scott Holtzman $200.00 for $310.00= $310.00
Nik Lentz/Scott Holtzman goes 3 round distance (-260) $260.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Luke Sanders (-177) vs Renan Barao $354.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Luke Sanders wins in round 3 (+1300) $20.00 for $260.00= -$20.00

Aleksandra Albu (+100) vs Emily Whitmire $100.00 for $100.00= -$100.00
Aleksandra Albu wins by 3 round decision (+275) $75.00 for $206.25= -$75.00
Emily Whitmire +3½ points (-195) $97.50 for $50.00= $50.00
-----
Total Profit= $1,243.95

 

[null]

Roller-coaster of a night. Vick fought fine, took some good shots, gave some good shots, and lost to the better man; plain and simple. Fili fought smart, I'll give him that, but Jury with no urgency or plan in Round 3 was bewildering.

Thanks to everyone who argued for Ngganou. I was originally thinking Cain and changed my side because of the forum.

19u and Family Day tomorrow in my province so no work, cherry on top!

How does that come to 19u, isn't it less than 2.5 u?

 

[Jordan3399]

Down about 3u, been on a decent run so been expecting it and after yesterday I'm not too bothered. Well done all and on to the next one.

 

[Shoulder]

Feeling cute, might add later. Regret not going bigger on Vick.

Updated with some more Francis action, overs and props. Love those odds.

View attachment 525837

+149

Luque - Barb was some sour stuff.

 

[Soccer Steve]

How does that come to 19u, isn't it less than 2.5 u?

Live betting and adding during the event are both to blame for the bad math there. I rarely add different bets from the ones I’ve posted here pre-event (ie chase) but I do quite often add to my existing bets. I’ve always liked to see the fighter walk out and get a gut read on them. It seems to have served me well to date. My small unit to dollar size let’s me get away with it but I realize it’s a habit that I’m going to have to reign in a bit.

For transparency purposes, it would be a waste of my and everyone’s time to post an accurate list of bets after the fact. Alternatively, to post who I’m betting on beforehand with no wager amount at all is equally uninteresting. I guess I meet it in the middle.

Ngganou was the one who I had planned to add more to so he was my main in-event play last night. We know how that went...

I try my best to be a useful, transparent contributor here so apologies if it didn't come across that way. Appreciate the question.

 

[Larthus]

$1K return from betting Aljo only. I’ve officially made more from him than any other fighter

 

[RichB5868]

+$3275. Adds to a very profitable weekend and month, +$12.3k since Feb 1st.

Gz to all winners, next week looks very promising betting-wise

*Picks up diary as tears stream from face*

“I’m not jealous...I’m not jealous...I’m not jealous...”

But seriously...congrats...