UFC on ESPN 1 Ngannou vs Velasquez Official Bets

2u Lentz
2u Vick
2u Evans-Smith
2u Sterling
2u Whitmore
2u Ngannou
2u Cro Cop + Jury

If at least 3 out of those 7 bets win I will make at least small profit, total dog or pass card for me.
I only tailed the forum on Jury, initially I liked Fili
 
0.5u Barao +375 (last leg of Parlay for yesterday's Bellator triple)
 
Record: 0-0-0, +0U

1U Albu ML at 1.8
1U Penne ML at 1.67
1U Lee ML at 1.55
1U Bermudez ML at 1.53
1U Luque ITD at 1.7
1U Calvillo ITD at 2.5
1U Felder ITD at 2.65
1U Caceres ML at 3.4
 
Whitmire ML +150 2u
Albu KO/TKO/DQ +675 .5u
Lentz ML +155 1u
Lentz SUB +875 .5u
Jury ML -150 1u
Barberena/Luque FGD +115 .5u
Felder ML -115 1u
Lee/Bermudez/Gracie .5u
 
I'm starting to enjoy betting when I see the fighters come out instead of pre-betting.

That said, two max bets pre-card:
Felder ML
Ngannou ML
 
I like making my bets as the fights go on, because I'm a degenerate, anywho this is what I got so far

N'Gannou - 20 to win 32
Vick - 21 to win 20
Barao +3.5 - 37.50 to win 30(might go bigger on this, this price seems amazing)
 
1.5u Vick +140
0.15u Vick SUB +815

0.25u Caceres-Gracie FGTD +240

1u Jury -135

1u Rivera -135
0.5u Rivera NSC +110

0.45u Barao NSC +119
0.15u Barao RD1 +550
0.15u Barao SUB +692

0.1u Lee/Rivera/Jury/Vick/Velasquez +1243
 
I have never seen so much faith in a man with a clear glass mandible.
 
Ngannu 1u @ 2.5
Riviera 2u @ 1.75
Kron Gracie 2u @ 1.39
Luke Sanders 2u @ 1.62
Andrea Lee 2u @ 1.57
Nik Lentz 1u @ 2.62

Awesome card tonight. Lets gooooo!!!
 
Vick? Idk, it's a hard fight to predict tbh. No play

Yeah, I don't like how he reacts to punches. The way he was lights completely out cold from one punch for an extended period of time and even punchy for a bit afterwards, trying to wrestle with his opponent when he came over to check on him... The man just does not take a punch very well. He also was flat lined and basically knocked out a few times in one fight against Beneil a few years ago as well.

He has great size, with ok/competent striking and a sub game assisted by his long arms. His issue is his defensive lapses, like how he leaves his chin out there and never tucks up behind any kind of guard. He just uses his size to get away from punches. Felder isn't that much smaller than Vick and has good size at the weight himself. I think he gets ahold of the fragile Vick at some point and time and stops him.
 
.5U Gracie Sub
1U Gracie & Calvillo Parlay

.025U Ngannou RD 1
.01U Ngannou RD 2
.5U Ngannou

.015U Sterling Sub
.5U Sterling

.015U Felder KO
.5U Vick

Total Risk: 3.65U
 
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.5U Gracie Sub
1U Gracie & Calvillo Parlay

.025U Ngannou RD 1
.01U Ngannou RD 2
.5U Ngannou

.015U Sterling Sub
.5U Sterling

.015U Felder KO
.5U Vick

Total Risk: 3.65U
No odds?
 
Albu 1u for 2u

AES 1u for 2,6u

I also had 1u on Jodie.
 
Parlay Rivera/Felder/Velasquez-Ngannou will not go the distance - 2 units @+275
Felder - 1 unit @+100
Nganou-1 unit @+150
Velasquez-Ngannou-will not go the distance, VIck-Felder will not go the distance, Jimmi Reivera, Vincente Luque @+400 - 1 unit (just for fun)
 
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3U VICK +125
2U STERLNG +175
1U FILI +175
0.5U LOPEZ +210
0.5U ESQUIBEL +125
0.5U LENTZ +150
0.5U BARAO +175
0.3U LENTZ DEC +285
0.2U STERLING SUB +610
0.1U BARBARENA RD3 +1975
0.1U VICK RD3 +1700

Also have some lotto tickets featuring mostly Gracie SUB, Calvillo ITD, Luque ITD, Vick DEC, Sterling DEC, Fili DEC and Lentz DEC
 
Surprised more people aren't betting Bermudez submission...
 
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