UFC on ESPN 1 Ngannou vs Velasquez Official Bets
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1.5u Ngannou ML +200
0.6u Ngannou R1 KO +400
0.25u Ngannou R2 KO +900
0.1u Ngannou R3 KO +3300
3u Vick ML +138
0.5u Vick Dec +175
1u Felder KO +250
1u Fili ML +175
2u Evans-Smith ML +165
0.25u Evans-Smith ITD +850
1u Esquibel ML +150
0.5u Esquibel Dec +175
2u Whitmire ML +162
2u Holtzman ML -175
1u Lopez ML +200
1u Luque-Barbarena - FGTD +138
2u Rivera ML -143
0.5u Rivera Dec +125
0.5u Barao ML +162
0.25u Barao Dec +450
0.25u Caceres Dec +600
0.6u Ngannou R1 KO +400
0.25u Ngannou R2 KO +900
0.1u Ngannou R3 KO +3300
3u Vick ML +138
0.5u Vick Dec +175
1u Felder KO +250
1u Fili ML +175
2u Evans-Smith ML +165
0.25u Evans-Smith ITD +850
1u Esquibel ML +150
0.5u Esquibel Dec +175
2u Whitmire ML +162
2u Holtzman ML -175
1u Lopez ML +200
1u Luque-Barbarena - FGTD +138
2u Rivera ML -143
0.5u Rivera Dec +125
0.5u Barao ML +162
0.25u Barao Dec +450
0.25u Caceres Dec +600
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Texecutioner 10u @ 2.20 (+120)
I don't care what everybody think, live or die with this bet. I am 110% sure he is winning this. I waited so long for this fight to bet. (I'll hedge it with some money on Felder via decision, Vick has a tendency to get the fights close if he doesn't finish them, but this is I believe the worst case scenario)
I don't care what everybody think, live or die with this bet. I am 110% sure he is winning this. I waited so long for this fight to bet. (I'll hedge it with some money on Felder via decision, Vick has a tendency to get the fights close if he doesn't finish them, but this is I believe the worst case scenario)
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3U Myles Jury -195. ML
3 U Manny Bermudez -260 ML
1 U Ngannou+180 ML
3 U Manny Bermudez -260 ML
1 U Ngannou+180 ML
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why hedge if you're that confident?
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now we're gambling!
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Cain KO: 1.2u to win 1u
Ngannou round 1. 1u to win 2.58u
Vick: 1u to win 1.02u
Barao: 1u to win 1.52u
Caceres: 1u to win 2.28u
Lentz: 1u to win 1.33u
0.33u down.
Ngannou round 1. 1u to win 2.58u
Vick: 1u to win 1.02u
Barao: 1u to win 1.52u
Caceres: 1u to win 2.28u
Lentz: 1u to win 1.33u
0.33u down.
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Velasquez/Ngannou DNGTD -350 $350
Calvillo/Casey GTD -165 $75
Gracie -285 $285
Rivera -135 $250
Lopez +225 $45
Lopez/Bermudez DNGTD -155 $155
Lee -177 $200
Esquibel +150 $400
Sanders -167 $1250
Whitmire +160 $100
Young (-210) + De La Rosa (-205) + Lee (-185) +238 $300
Tiny card for me, waiting on a couple totals and props.
Calvillo/Casey GTD -165 $75
Gracie -285 $285
Rivera -135 $250
Lopez +225 $45
Lopez/Bermudez DNGTD -155 $155
Lee -177 $200
Esquibel +150 $400
Sanders -167 $1250
Whitmire +160 $100
Young (-210) + De La Rosa (-205) + Lee (-185) +238 $300
Tiny card for me, waiting on a couple totals and props.
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Vick ML - 3u for 3.6u
Calvillo ML - 4u for 1.5u
Jury ML - 3.5u for 2u
Lee ML - 1u for 0.5u
Barao ML - 1u for 1.6u
Whitemire ML - 2u for 3.1u
Gracie + Luque - 1u for 0.6u
First wave is small. Looked forward to betting a bunch of dogs but I think a lot of them are in over their heads - Casey, Fili, Caceres, Barbarena - these four are a combined 54-28. They're just not very good.
Calvillo ML - 4u for 1.5u
Jury ML - 3.5u for 2u
Lee ML - 1u for 0.5u
Barao ML - 1u for 1.6u
Whitemire ML - 2u for 3.1u
Gracie + Luque - 1u for 0.6u
First wave is small. Looked forward to betting a bunch of dogs but I think a lot of them are in over their heads - Casey, Fili, Caceres, Barbarena - these four are a combined 54-28. They're just not very good.
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Ngganou ML - 2u for 2.9u
Vick ML - 5u for 5.5u
Vick Decision - 1.5u for 2.6u
Calvillo ML - 8u for 2.78u
Jury ML - 5u for 3u
Jury Decision - 1.5u for 2.5u
Jury Round 3 - 0.5u for 7u
Sterling ML - 3.5u for 4.9u
Sterling Sub - 0.5u for 3u
Lopez KO - 0.5u for 1.6u
Lee ML - 1u for 0.5u
Barao ML - 1u for 1.6u
Barao Sub - 0.5u for 2.6u
Lentz ML - 2u for 3u
Lentz Sub - 0.5u for 3u
Penne Sub - 0.5u for 1.8u
Whitemire ML - 2u for 3.1u
Gracie + Luque - 3u for 2u
Whitmire+Sanders+Penne+Lentz+Lee+Aljo+Jury+Vick+Nggannou - 0.2u for 50u
(Have a whole swath of ohmbet doubles and lottos to get through their rollover requirement on new deposits. For fun/action but will post if a nice one hits)
Frankly too heavy on Calvillo. That got away on me. She'll win but I'll be sweating it.
Went with Francis in the end, in spite of my early posts about leaning Cain. It's the correct betting play. Depending on how Bellator goes tonight might add to him but otherwise I'm set. Keeping props very small by design. In the past I've spread myself too thin on those.
And waiting on the event prop: fights to go to decision. Over 10 has a decent chance here imo. We'll see.
Good luck everyone.
Vick ML - 5u for 5.5u
Vick Decision - 1.5u for 2.6u
Calvillo ML - 8u for 2.78u
Jury ML - 5u for 3u
Jury Decision - 1.5u for 2.5u
Jury Round 3 - 0.5u for 7u
Sterling ML - 3.5u for 4.9u
Sterling Sub - 0.5u for 3u
Lopez KO - 0.5u for 1.6u
Lee ML - 1u for 0.5u
Barao ML - 1u for 1.6u
Barao Sub - 0.5u for 2.6u
Lentz ML - 2u for 3u
Lentz Sub - 0.5u for 3u
Penne Sub - 0.5u for 1.8u
Whitemire ML - 2u for 3.1u
Gracie + Luque - 3u for 2u
Whitmire+Sanders+Penne+Lentz+Lee+Aljo+Jury+Vick+Nggannou - 0.2u for 50u
(Have a whole swath of ohmbet doubles and lottos to get through their rollover requirement on new deposits. For fun/action but will post if a nice one hits)
Frankly too heavy on Calvillo. That got away on me. She'll win but I'll be sweating it.
Went with Francis in the end, in spite of my early posts about leaning Cain. It's the correct betting play. Depending on how Bellator goes tonight might add to him but otherwise I'm set. Keeping props very small by design. In the past I've spread myself too thin on those.
And waiting on the event prop: fights to go to decision. Over 10 has a decent chance here imo. We'll see.
Good luck everyone.
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Velasquez/Ngannou DNGTD -350 $350
Ngannou RD1 KO +400 $125
Ngannou RD2 KO +900 $50
Ngannou KO or DEC +225 $200
Calvillo/Casey GTD -165 $75
Gracie -285 $285
Rivera -135 250
Rivera NSC -107 $250
Rivera/Sterling O2.5 -255 $500
Lopez +225 $45
Lopez/Bermudez DNGTD -155 $155
Lee -177 $200
Holtzman/Lentz GTD -275 $500
Esquibel +150 $400
Esquibel DEC +200 $100
Esquibel/Penne GTD -280 $500
Penne NSC -235 $590
Sanders -167 $1250
Whitmire +160 $100
Young (-210) + De La Rosa (-205) + Lee (-185) +238 $300
May arb out some Esquibel ML action, otherwise I'm about set. Expecting livebet to be very profitable on this card.
Ngannou RD1 KO +400 $125
Ngannou RD2 KO +900 $50
Ngannou KO or DEC +225 $200
Calvillo/Casey GTD -165 $75
Gracie -285 $285
Rivera -135 250
Rivera NSC -107 $250
Rivera/Sterling O2.5 -255 $500
Lopez +225 $45
Lopez/Bermudez DNGTD -155 $155
Lee -177 $200
Holtzman/Lentz GTD -275 $500
Esquibel +150 $400
Esquibel DEC +200 $100
Esquibel/Penne GTD -280 $500
Penne NSC -235 $590
Sanders -167 $1250
Whitmire +160 $100
Young (-210) + De La Rosa (-205) + Lee (-185) +238 $300
May arb out some Esquibel ML action, otherwise I'm about set. Expecting livebet to be very profitable on this card.
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Barry's UFC Fight Night Velasquez vs Ngannou Picks
Risking: 11.25U
- Barry
- Jodie Esquibel ML +120 1U
- Renan Barao Points +3.5 -125 1.25U
- Emily Whitmire ML +110 1U
- Nick Lentz Wins Inside Distance +550 0.25U
- Ashley Evans Smith By Decision +220 1U
- Benito Lopez Points +3.5 +120 1U
- Jimmy Rivera By KO/TKO +610 0.25U
- Miles Jury Points -3.5 +160 1U
- Bryan Barbarena Points +3.5 165 1U
- Caceres/Gracie Fight Goes To Decision +275 0.5U
- Courtney Casey Points +3.5 +130 1U
- Felder/Vick Fight Doesn't Go To Decision -110 1U
- Velasquez/Ngannou Fight Won't Start RD.2 +125 1U
- Barry
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Y'all don't post W-L-P and Unit Records here?
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Ngannou ML 2u for 4.04u
Cain sub .5u for 4.5u
Vick ML 2u for 2.5u
Vick Dec 1u for 1.8u
Felder ko 1u for 2u
Calvillo Sub 1u for 2.3u
Caceres ML 1u for 2.9u
Barbarena ML 1u for 2.86u
FGTD 1u for 1.23u
Barbarena r3 tko .2u for 6u
Jury R3/Dec 2u for 2.8u
Rivera ML 2u for 1.34u
Stirling sub .5u for 3u
Bermudez ML 4.5u for 2u
Bermudez sub 1u for 1u
Lopez KO .5u for 2.5u
AES 2.5u for 4u
Lentz ML 1u for 1.53u
Esquibel ML 2u for 2.88u
Barao sub .5u for 3u
Whitmire ML 1u for 1.38u
geeze im on every fight.. highly suspect behavior
Good Luck
Cain sub .5u for 4.5u
Vick ML 2u for 2.5u
Vick Dec 1u for 1.8u
Felder ko 1u for 2u
Calvillo Sub 1u for 2.3u
Caceres ML 1u for 2.9u
Barbarena ML 1u for 2.86u
FGTD 1u for 1.23u
Barbarena r3 tko .2u for 6u
Jury R3/Dec 2u for 2.8u
Rivera ML 2u for 1.34u
Stirling sub .5u for 3u
Bermudez ML 4.5u for 2u
Bermudez sub 1u for 1u
Lopez KO .5u for 2.5u
AES 2.5u for 4u
Lentz ML 1u for 1.53u
Esquibel ML 2u for 2.88u
Barao sub .5u for 3u
Whitmire ML 1u for 1.38u
geeze im on every fight.. highly suspect behavior
Good Luck
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