UFC ON ABC 8 underdog pick of the night

[doozer]

Virtually every card there is a fighter who beats the odds. Which fighter do you think is most likely to this card?

• MAIN CARD (ABC, 3 p.m. ET)
• Jamahal Hill -110 vs. Khalil Rountree Jr. -110
• Ignacio Bahamondes -148 vs. Rafael Fiziev +124 dog
• Curtis Blaydes -258 vs. Rizvan Kuniev +210 dog
• Tofiq Musayev +130 dog vs. Myktybek Orolbai -155
• Nikolas Motta +310 dog vs. Nazim Sadykhov -395
• MUHAMMADJON NAIMOV -265 vs. BOGDAN GRAD +215 dog

PRELIMINARY CARD (ESPN/ESPN+, noon ET)

• Oban Elliott -455 vs. Seok Hyun Ko +350 dog
• Ismail Naurdiev +160 dog vs. JunYong Park -192
• Melissa Mullins -238 vs. Daria Zhelezniakova +195 dog
• Irina Alekseeva -285 vs. Klaudia Sygula +230 dog
• Azat Maksum +350 dog vs. Tagir Ulanbekov -455
• Hamdy Abdelwahab -162 vs. Mohammed Usman +136 dog

Thank you Phil Rowe! Scary time for me, I thought for sure I was going to drop another one but he come through for me bringing my record to 9-11. This week I was looking at Hill and the Fiziev fight was a pick em, but now the Hill fight is a pick em and Fiziev is a slight dog. He was my second pick but I felt a lot more confident with Hill.

Note I previously said that any fighter that was less favoured I considered a dog. I’m now changing that to any fighter that can be found at plus money, because otherwise people can look around and find either as a dog depending on which website.

Shoutout to last weeks winners @FEDORFAN44 @Hymen Crusher @Deltron 6060 (not sure if you were posted your pick or applauding his win)

 

[Hymen Crusher]

Not an underdog but I just don't know if hill is going to be able to ko Khalil before Khalil gets to him. I think hill is pretty good but he looks like he doesn't care anymore. I cant see fiziev winning he is just giving up so much height here

 

[Hymen Crusher]

For the dogs id go against Curtis. Its hw and maybe the ufc sees something in this guy

 

[doozer]

Not an underdog but I just don't know if hill is going to be able to ko Khalil before Khalil gets to him. I think hill is pretty good but he looks like he doesn't care anymore. I cant see fiziev winning he is just giving up so much height here

The height is really the big question mark

 

[doozer]

For the dogs id go against Curtis. Its hw and maybe the ufc sees something in this guy

He is a somewhat high level person from outside the ufc. Lots of highish level fights.

 

[blunttruth]

I like what I have seen so far in Bahamondes, but I will take Fiziev at plus money.

 

[rollthedice]

I don't like any of their chances really, I'd go with Mohammad Usman via snoozefest decision

 

[Serge421]

Fiziev

 

[JoeRowe]

Musayev, Fiziev, Nauridiev, Usman

 

[Kowboy On Sherdog]

Prime Picks: UFC Baku ‘Hill vs. Rountree’

Sherdog’s Jay Pettry peers into his crystal ball and points bettors toward three Azerbaijan natives while suggesting a pair of stoppages to ensure the Ultimate Fighting Championship’s first visit to the Asian European country ends well.

www.sherdog.com

AN ACCUMULATION CONTEMPLATION
Fiziev (+112)
Tofiq Musayev (+135)
Nazim Sadykhov (-470)
Total Odds: +504

In one of the more lucrative parlays we have run since retooling the Prime Picks series, we go out on multiple limbs this time. While true that only a fraction of our parlays actually hit, for a sport as volatile as MMA, we expect a corresponding success rate despite our confidence in X, Y and Z result all playing out on fight night. We like to paint avenues for success, how any certain fighter with plus money at his name could pull off an upset, what would it look like. Has it happened before on the other end or are we suggesting something new like Court McGee getting submitted? Spoiler alert, he was not. Considering parlays are where the book makes the most money, your participation and enthusiasm may vary.

Having already given a full-throated endorsement in the skills of Fiziev, we can skip right past the most famous Azerbaijani fighter and link to two more. It is an accumulator with an angle, a parlay with a plan. In light of the organization traveling to its first new country in about three years, a certain pattern has emerged. The last three events in which the UFC has debuted in a different nation, all fighters born in the host country have prevailed. This even includes the five French fighters at the UFC card capped of by Ciryl Gane-Tai Tuivasa. It should be noted that the lines were generally more lopsided than one heavy favorite and two light underdogs, but until we see otherwise, the UFC appears to intentionally be making winnable fights for home countries—and for good reason. It gives the locals something to cheer about, rather than bombarding them with 17 fighters from neighboring countries where someone in Azerbaijan could take or leave.

It is about time that the UFC wrangled up Musayev. Word broke earlier today that the promotion also picked up a couple champs from KSW, so it is promising that the UFC is seeking the best again. With that said, the latest season of Dana White’s Contender Series will be revving up soon, which is scraping the barrel when the likes of Yuri Panferov and Ivan Gnizditskiy are a victory away from getting signed. Musayev and Sadykhov are of a similar mindset: Strike first, and think about it later. The latter has been involved in winning multiple thrillers since joining the promotion in 2023, and Musayev only falls to Top 20 talent this decade. It might be white-knuckling as the main card rolls on, but keep the faith for those from Azerbaijan and one could quintuple his stake.

 

[Kowboy On Sherdog]

@Dillydilly @helax @KDR by RNC @Neck&Neck


Nikolas Motta +310 dog
Seok Hyun Ko +350 dog
Azat Maksum +350 dog

3 Fight Parley

 

[FEDORFAN44]

Hill-gonna catch hell for this but Khalil is so inconsistent paired with the massive beating he took from Pereira who was also his only top 10 fight.its a super close fight but hill is a good striker and I could see him grounding khalil
Fiziev
Usman
Musayev is up in the air

 

[Deltron 6060]

I'll take the V's, Fiziev and Kuniev.

 

[GordoBarraBJJ]

Lot of dudes on this card whose last name ends with v

 

[El Fernas]

Fiziev & Kiniev, i dont have much faith in Blaydes and Fiziev vs Bahamondes is a 50-50 fight imo.

 

[Oz.Pride]

Fiziev / Seok Hyun Ko

 

[BEATDOWNS]

Virtually every card there is a fighter who beats the odds. Which fighter do you think is most likely to this card?

• MAIN CARD (ABC, 3 p.m. ET)
• Jamahal Hill -110 vs. Khalil Rountree Jr. -110
• Ignacio Bahamondes -148 vs. Rafael Fiziev +124 dog
• Curtis Blaydes -258 vs. Rizvan Kuniev +210 dog
• Tofiq Musayev +130 dog vs. Myktybek Orolbai -155
• Nikolas Motta +310 dog vs. Nazim Sadykhov -395
• MUHAMMADJON NAIMOV -265 vs. BOGDAN GRAD +215 dog

PRELIMINARY CARD (ESPN/ESPN+, noon ET)

• Oban Elliott -455 vs. Seok Hyun Ko +350 dog
• Ismail Naurdiev +160 dog vs. JunYong Park -192
• Melissa Mullins -238 vs. Daria Zhelezniakova +195 dog
• Irina Alekseeva -285 vs. Klaudia Sygula +230 dog
• Azat Maksum +350 dog vs. Tagir Ulanbekov -455
• Hamdy Abdelwahab -162 vs. Mohammed Usman +136 dog

Thank you Phil Rowe! Scary time for me, I thought for sure I was going to drop another one but he come through for me bringing my record to 9-11. This week I was looking at Hill and the Fiziev fight was a pick em, but now the Hill fight is a pick em and Fiziev is a slight dog. He was my second pick but I felt a lot more confident with Hill.

Note I previously said that any fighter that was less favoured I considered a dog. I’m now changing that to any fighter that can be found at plus money, because otherwise people can look around and find either as a dog depending on which website.

Shoutout to last weeks winners @FEDORFAN44 @Hymen Crusher @Deltron 6060 (not sure if you were posted your pick or applauding his win)

how are Jamahal and Khalil both -110?

 

[doozer]

@Dillydilly @helax @KDR by RNC @Neck&Neck


Nikolas Motta +310 dog
Seok Hyun Ko +350 dog
Azat Maksum +350 dog

3 Fight Parley

Bold! I’m not sure how they stack parleys but that’s got to be like 30:1.

 

[Kowboy On Sherdog]

Bold! I’m not sure how they stack parleys but that’s got to be like 30:1.

 

[doozer]

Hill-gonna catch hell for this but Khalil is so inconsistent paired with the massive beating he took from Pereira who was also his only top 10 fight.its a super close fight but hill is a good striker and I could see him grounding khalil
Fiziev
Usman
Musayev is up in the air

That’s interesting because what I’ve heard before this is that people know what they’re getting with Khalil and that hill is inconsistent. And man when Hill is on point he is a killer!