Despite my two strongest leans winning as sizeable dogs I still managed to lose about 10 units last night.
I was down going into the main and wanted to reduce my merab action so I opted for under 4.5 at +170 because all other prices were bad.
that ate into my merab profits. Had I not been down I would’ve added to merab
played some line prediction plays during openers. Haven’t really been doing that lately. Beat clv by a good bit all accept for pleasure man because money came in on Petrino late. Didn’t really like any of the guys I was betting on except said but even at -180 it wasn’t value
pleasure man and petrino are both super durable. No quit in either guy. I had added fdngtd and had rd props plays. Underestimated their grit
Romanov and Volkov was just a bad beat. Would’ve been better off on strictly the under here.
not arbing on dumas was a big mistake. I knew that line was way wide but hey I got it at -155 right? What could go wrong?
Spann is just mentally not there yet. Should’ve just played the under instead of props
clv is pretty meaningless betting on crap fighters unless you’re arbing.
not profiting when you have two strong +2-300 dogs cashing big is frustrating. You can have great reads and still make bad bets, an old habit that keeps resurfacing.
I played Dumas, said and Romanov strictly because of where I thought the line would move. Really should be on a book that let’s me cash out bets or I should’ve just arbed for profit
I thought I was some mad scientist betting Turk and Petrino rd props, Turk late Petrino early, even though I thought Petrino was the better fighter and pushed through his cardio problems. That was the most damaging fight for me.
