These are the red flags on Santos and why I dont like her as a huge favorite.
1. The thing about Santos is her top game is suspect. She has had trouble keeping girls down, she loses the top control several times against Roxanne. The two girls she did keep down, Robertson and Molly where at a size disadvantage. Both Borella and Roxanne were the same size as Santos and they kept springing back on their feet, the difference between Joanna and those two is the gap between striking, she has 22 kick boxing matches to add to that experience .
2. Santos has a can stacked record. her first 13 fights had a combine record of 7-11 combine. And most of them went on to go 1-10 0-11
Compared to Joanna who was fighting fighters with wins and solid records from the beginning. Some people will say I'm just wiki posting, but truth is YOU ARE your record. Who you beat shows where your talents are, and not a single fighter on her resume have a solid striking skillset. Judos, bjj and older fighters. Joanna is a strong test, not a stepping stone. If you chop off her cans from the record, her real record is 4-1 ...
Just compare their resumes.
Taila Santos | MMA Fighter Page | Tapology
Joanne Wood ("JoJo") | MMA Fighter Page | Tapology
3. Santos is not a finisher. All of her kos where low rated opponents. She has never finished a single ufc fighter.Giving Joanna 15 minutes to regroup and strategies and comeback favors the season veteran more than it does the newbie.
4. Joanna is a grappler herself. She has 16 takedowns in the ufc alone, her clinch is strong and she has a good knees from the clinch that is a grapplers worst nightmare.
5. And last but not least is Joanna is ranked higher and had a split hair with the number two, she was inline for a title shot. She has a fun attitude when it comes to fighting because she is not a timid fighter, she is the type that doesn't get nervous and fights loose. That is why she criticized Lauren Murphy's performance against Valentina. So i dont think she has a weak midset, she just means that she likes to take chances and not fight scared or timid.
So I want to be clear, I'm not playing Joanna, she is inconsistent, loses to fighters she should not lose to. But Santos has the same curse when she lost to Borrella. While she may have improved and be very focused, I still haven't been showed enough evidence that she knows how to deal with adversity, we dont know if she is just another Phil Hawes who gets cracked and doesn't recover easily. I want to see how this fight works out, but there is too many red flags for me, so that is my two cents.