UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley

I have a feeling this card's going to have a lot of finishes.
 
Petroski and Maverick only dogs i can see worth betting based on momentum.

maybe Rowe, buy not stoked how he usually gives up rounds.
 
Like Petroski here. Could be at risk of a KO because Edmen does carry power but feel like if he can avoid getting KOed the first round he can drown Edmen with his grappling and likely get a finish. Feel like it's an easy fight to cover too, probably be able to get Edmen R1 KO at +250/300.

Maybe Jourdain as an underdog, feel like he should be able to comfortably out strike Simon. Main concern is obviously the takedown threat, Ricky isn't an elite takedown artist and leaves enough opportunity for his opponents to get back up but I do worry consistent takedowns could probably see him losing a round or two if he spends enough time on his back fishing for sub attempts as I do think if it goes 15 minutes we'll see Jourdain on his back for a few minutes of the fight. His kickboxing should hopefully be enough to score rounds but the takedown threat is a big concern but as a decent underdog it's probably worth the risk.

I'm interested in Buckley by KO too depending on the odds. I don't think Usman will have much for him. Usman probably isn't as done as Colby but I think Buckley ends up breaking him down on the feet, landing cleanly often and will have enough about him to avoid the handful of takedowns that Usman will attempt, or be able to get back to his feet quite quickly if Usman does manage to get him down. Usman obviously has a lot more experience with 5 round fights compared to Buckley but I think where Usman is at age wise and some hard fights of late, I think if anyone starts to slow down here it'll be Usman and the extra rounds will just give Buckley longer to break Usman down. I don't think it'll be some big shot that puts Usman away, rather just hard rounds where Buckley is landing hard and consistently that chips away at Usman and eventually gets Buckley a TKO and then probably a fight or two away from a title shot.
 
Petroski and Maverick only dogs i can see worth betting based on momentum.

maybe Rowe, buy not stoked how he usually gives up rounds.
Petroski is weird because hes typically the guy who beats Edmen through grind but then again has had durability issues so in that sense hes very beatable. Going to wait for live movment but as of now Im thinking Petroski.
 
I'm thinking about the following, but not confident on anything yet except for Joaquin Buckley to close my parlay with Quillan Salkilld:
  • Maverick decision (small)
  • Chiesa ITD
  • Wellmaker KO/TKO in a parlay
  • Petroski +170
  • Barcelos -145
  • Simon ML after it gets better than -175
  • Buckley -260 is still good enough for a 2-team parlay
 
I like Buckley.
Nothing else really jumps out at me on this one though.
 
Petroski live bet territory like pretty much any Edmen opponent. He'll get tagged early and hurt, might get finished if not he wins. Pre-bet doesn't seem all that good aside from a sub prop since he's good there and Edmen does not have it in him to fight back once exhausted.
 
Petroski is weird because hes typically the guy who beats Edmen through grind but then again has had durability issues so in that sense hes very beatable. Going to wait for live movment but as of now Im thinking Petroski.
yeah , its durability vs style matchup advantage. it just depends on who shows up.
 
Petroski is not exactly a cardio machine. He gasses almost just as hard as Edmen after rd 1.
 
Petroski is not exactly a cardio machine. He gasses almost just as hard as Edmen after rd 1.
He still tends to win those fights despite gassing while Edmen becomes completely useless
 
Petroski is not exactly a cardio machine. He gasses almost just as hard as Edmen after rd 1.

Petroski seems to try to stand for a bit before takedowns which makes me nervous. He needs to try to wrestle asap here.
 
im locking in Rowe.

Height difference, and reach. Not a major skill gap in terms of skillsets.

both are mid level fighters with near identical records. should be pickem.
 
Bellato was -600 before he got herpes. Now he's -300 or so? I think he wins comfortably.
 
this is very basic logic for me but if we look at Edmen's record he's basically 1-5 against grapplers.

or 2-5 if you include Darren Stewart who shoots from time to time, and Jack is debatable, but he used grappling to win.
 
Buckly vs Usman and Craig vs Bellato look interesting. The rest, not so much.

A close friend is a big Thug Rose fan, he seems to be able to judge her psychological state correctly. So I'll get his opinion on this fight and write here
 
Jourdain/Simon was one of the more interesting fights for me. Bummer at the loss of that one.
 
Back
Top