UFC Fight Night - Santos vs Walker - Official bets

carolinagrapple

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@Orange
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It's quite simple, bets only in this thread.

Also F@%k Jon Jones
 
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O'Neill -205 $410
Holland -150 $300
Price -145 $145
Holland/Price/O'Neill +298 $100
Holland/Price/O'Neill/Solecki +655 $100
Misha ITD +220 $150
De Andrade sub +2000 $50
O'Neill ITD/Niko ITD/Misha ITD/Holland +3200 $50
Rosa/ME FDNGTD -190 $380
Rosa/ME FDNGTD/Misha ITD +389 $50


Least confident in Niko. I think Cowboy will be able to get him down with ease in round 1, but Niko has better cardio and should be able to get a late finish.

I'm pretty sure Holland will be close to -200 on Saturday, and O'Neill -250.

I'll be playing Niko's r3 prop, as Cowboy's cardio is simply not good. And I'll be big on O'Neill ITD + sub. Props aren't available on any book I use yet.

Best of luck gentlemen.

edit: added $150 on Misha ITD +220. Added dos santos sub and a long shot parlay as well.
 
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£200 Santos -143 to win £140
£100 Santos KO +138 to win £138
£50 Santos rd 1 +400 to win £200

£20 Daukaus sub +800 to win £160 (power play)

£25 Cirkunov sub rd 1 +800 to win £200

£50 O’Neil sub +400 to win £200

£200 Smith -143 to win £140

£200 Egger -107 to win £187.5

....
Debating whether to add a unit on Casey O'Neil ML -200

Added
£20 Santos KO +150 to win £30 (power play)
£25 Egger sub +600 to win £150
 
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I will update this more as i place more bets but this is what i got so far. I will do a nice round robin as well.

Thiago Santos

-155
Fight Winner
Thiago Santos vs Johnny Walker
10/2/21, 10:15 PM

Risk: 310
Win: 200

Fight Winner10/2/21
Kevin Holland (-155)Kevin Holland vs Kyle Daukaus

Risk: 310
Win: 200
 
Andrade 1,40 800$
Cirkunov 2,40 800$
Cirkunov ITD 3,10 100$
Cirkunov R1 5,50 50$
Solecki 1,72 700$
Solecki DEC 2,87 75$
Solecki/Gordon O 1,5 x Santos/Walker U 3,5 x Rosa 1,97 200$
Smith 1,66 100$
Santos/Walker U 1,5 2,00 100$
 
Egger 200 to win 200
Egger SUB 50 to win 300

Andrade + Main U3.5 625 to win 500

Rosa + Hernandez 500 to win 326
Breeden RD3 50 to win 1,650

Gordon 500 to win 650

Misha 500 to win 700
 
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young - dec +200
egger/young goes distance -200
silva 5 names -285. might add more if he stays under -300
d.smith -150 would take ITD but the line is too thin at +105 at the time.
will see how my CW bets and the early card goes before i start chalking on the rest of the card
 
All bets are 1U

Young +130
Pirello +225
Smith + Niko + Holland @ +280
O'Neil + Soleki @ +145
Circ +115
Walker +125
 
Holland $185 -185
Solecki $130 -130
Young $25 +125
 
Bet ⭐️ $210/$201.60
Alejandro Perez -250
Douglas Silva de Andrade -250

Sh $20/$250.43
Solecki -139
Douglas de Andrade -250
Santos -167
Daukaus by dec +225

Sh free $32/$224.26
Iowa -167 win
Chiefs -3.5
Daukas by dec +225

Sh free $25/$180.18
Alex Oliviera +105
Thiago Santos -177
Niners -143
Chargers -200

Sh free $100.85/$324.75
Thiago Santos -167
Rosa by dec -177
Niners -148

Sh free $10/$832.60
Santos-177
Circinov +135
Niners -148
Chiefs -5.5
Ravens +1.5
Vikings +3.5
Cards rams o 52
Chargers -200
 
Like always I've decided not to learn my lesson and mostly play props and a big dumb parlay.

1U = Walker KO @ 3.25
0.5 U = Walker KO r1 @ 8
1U = Walker/Santos u 2.5 @ 1.5
0.5U = Eggers sub @ 7
0.5U = Cirkunov sub r1 @ 9.0

0.5U free bet = Perez/Andrade/Solecki/Hernandez/Cirukunov/Price/Holland/Main event ITD @ 21.5
1U = Santos + Holland by KO @ 8.5
 
Perez/Eduardo FDNGTD -160 1.6
Perez sub +1200 0.25
DSDA -230 2.3
Shev +190 0.7
Brennan/Hernandez O1.5 -170 1.7
Misha +150 1

BOL as always, sherbros
 
UPdate before they start

Alexander Hernandez
-700
Stephanie Egger
-155
Casey O'Neill
-220
Alejandro Perez
-275
Douglas Silva De Andrade
-265
Misha Cirkunov
+105
Kevin Holland
-185
Thiago Santos
-155
 
$1000 - Karol Ros + Santos/Walker ITD.
 
$50 Price rd 2 +500
$50 Price rd 3 +900
$100 Santos/Walker U 2.5 -225
 
Egger 200 to win 200
Egger SUB 50 to win 300

Andrade + Main U3.5 625 to win 500

Rosa + Hernandez 500 to win 326
Breeden RD3 50 to win 1,650

Gordon 500 to win 650

Misha 500 to win 700

Added pre bet:

Jotko 600 to win 436

Added live:

Mullarkey 250 to win 575

+962 = 1.9u
Left quite a bit of money on the table today. But whatever profit is profit.
 

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£200 Santos -143 to win £140
£120 Santos KO +140 to win £168
£50 Santos rd 1 +400 to win £200

£20 Daukaus sub +800 to win £160 (power play) *VOID*

£25 Cirkunov sub rd 1 +800 to win £200

£50 O’Neil sub +400 to win £200

£200 Smith -143 to win £140

£200 Egger -107 to win £187.5
£25 Egger sub +600 to win £150
....................................................
Net Profit: -£142.5 (-0.7u)
 
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