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UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Card, Nov 14, 2021.

  1. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Gall looked pretty pedestrian but not terrible imo. That version of Gall (though he obviously looked way better this last fight)...I could see Morono -160 to -180 as justified. Not over 2-1 though.
     
  2. Captain Chesapeake Brown Belt

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    Gall is the side at near +200
     
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  3. Bakayoko Orange Belt

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    I understand arguments for Gall but Morono himself has been improving and is peaking.He's a better boxer and a tough guy,there are better favorites on the card but there is litttle value in that line.
     
    Last edited: Nov 23, 2021
  4. Bakayoko Orange Belt

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    I'm gonna unload on this one.I Like a couple of favorites.Besides the ones I mentioned I like Santos,Muzarkanov and Barbarena.The dog I like is Pitolo.
     
  5. DonQ94 Green Belt

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    Can you really have any trust in Barbarena for that price?? He looked terrible in his last fight and has been declining for a while now. Also his one elite attribute, the chin, shows cracks as well. I've mentioned it before but that fight is a dog or pass if I ever seen one.
     
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  6. Captain Chesapeake Brown Belt

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    I would have to tape again but I thought his striking was regressing.
     
  7. Bakayoko Orange Belt

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    He's the least one that I like,not much to say,expect him to be better since he was returning after operation in the last one and Brown is old.
     
  8. Bakayoko Orange Belt

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    To me he looked better allround his last few fights,accept maybe the Pettis fight.
     
  9. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Morono is actually pretty competent on the ground. I'd be surprised to see a sub, but I could see Gall getting control time. Moreno does like to fish for guillotines, so I think he gives up takedowns hoping to snag those. If Gall works to the back though, it's irrelevant. I think Moreno wins, but I just have a hard time putting a confident % to it.
     
    Last edited: Nov 23, 2021
  10. Captain Chesapeake Brown Belt

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    Yea he and others were giving me crap because I thought gall at +180 was crazy against Williams


    Good times
     
  11. Doggo_Stat_Collector Blue Belt Platinum Member

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    Its not gonna work though, gall has solid sub defense, competed and won several bjj tournaments, he's got fast passes and solid grappling stamina(not counting the diago fight.)Alex uses butterfly guard a lot and attacks subs to scramble on his feet, but if gall gets him in a body triangle, i can see him stealing rounds even without the sub and get ground ctrl time like you said.
     
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  12. Guld The Last Chronomancer

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    The Tapology fan vote is 80% for Puelles, but the oddsmakers have Gruetzemacher as the favorite. That's probably the largest disparity I've seen between the two. Can anybody explain it for me?
     
  13. Captain Chesapeake Brown Belt

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    The line opened with gritz as the underdog

    square money from people like @BigSteve moved the lines to where they are now

    there are often large disparities between tapology and odds because people on tapology don’t bet. They’re just picking who they think will win.
     
  14. Guld The Last Chronomancer

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    I guess I get that, but it seems like the largest disparity that I've seen (I've only been monitoring this stuff for a short time mind you).
    I figured it was more a case of Puelles having some crazy fan support/steam behind him, and making the Tapology vote far higher than it should be.
     
  15. guesswhoseback Purple Belt

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    Na the over
     
  16. guesswhoseback Purple Belt

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    Tapoliogy is filled with idiots and thats saying alot when I am commenting on sherdog
     
  17. BigSteve Purple Belt

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    I have a bet on Gritz :eek:???
     
  18. BigSteve Purple Belt

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    Pitolo doesn't deserve anyones hard earned cash
     
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  19. Captain Chesapeake Brown Belt

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    I’m just messing with you bruh
     
  20. BigSteve Purple Belt

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    thats it, straight to the gulag with you.

    But na honestly Greutz at dog odds would be a good bet. I wanted to bet him at current odds but had bad gut feeling even though I think he wins. Might wait for live bet option like Garcia fight
     
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