UFC FIGHT NIGHT 129

Lee vs Macedo is p4p one of the hottest UFC fights, damn.
 
Is anyone else on Lee SUB +459?
 
here are my easy money bets!!!!!!!! place them now ive posted my bets for 6 events im 4-2 overall follow them closely

Silva wins in rd 1+150
Barzola wins by dec+107
Bandenbay+142
Bothelo wins inside+249
Pantojay wins by dec+177
Prazzeres+145
Luque wins in rd 2+450
Lee wins inside+134
Rivas wins by dec+205
Reyes wins inside+112
Grasso+450
Usman wins by dec+217

11 fights end in dec+4450
4 fights go to a dec+1194
9 fightz go to a dec+636

6 fights end in ko+760
1 fight ends in ko+1344
7 fights end in ko+1818

0 fights end in sub+1013
5 fights end in sub+1423
6 fights end sub+4444

I placed 50$ on each bet including the fight ending props
 
here are my easy money bets!!!!!!!! place them now ive posted my bets for 6 events im 4-2 overall follow them closely

Silva wins in rd 1+150
Barzola wins by dec+107
Bandenbay+142
Bothelo wins inside+249
Pantojay wins by dec+177
Prazzeres+145
Luque wins in rd 2+450
Lee wins inside+134
Rivas wins by dec+205
Reyes wins inside+112
Grasso+450
Usman wins by dec+217

11 fights end in dec+4450
4 fights go to a dec+1194
9 fightz go to a dec+636

6 fights end in ko+760
1 fight ends in ko+1344
7 fights end in ko+1818

0 fights end in sub+1013
5 fights end in sub+1423
6 fights end sub+4444

I placed 50$ on each bet including the fight ending props
You think Prazeres ML is easy money?


Bless your heart.
 
jared-cannonier-dominick-reyes-ufc-fight-night-129-ceremonial-weigh-ins.jpg


Didn't recognize Cannonier at all with hair and a beard.
 
they put the unders/overs on dimes.
-105 u2.5 Cannonier/Reyes is my only play.
 
u2.5 @ +207 on Pantoja/Moreno feels like a great price. I think it's closer to a 50/50. Moreno's obviously a finish threat, and Pantoja finished him last time.
 
Placing 5 parlays, banking on Silva getting the KO :L

1 - Straight ML

1.18 - Usman
1.72 - Silva by KO
1.39 - Reyes
1.58 - Rivas
1.30 - Lee
1.45 - Luque
1.54 - Cummings

Total - 12.93

2 - Props

5.50 - Reyes by SUB
3.60 - Moreno v Pantoja ends in a SUB
1.72 - Silva by KO
1.45 - Luque
1.58 - Rivas

Total - 78.02

3 - Grasso Upset

6.05 - Grasso
1.54 - Cummings
1.39 - Reyes
1.18 - Usman
1.58 - Rivas
1.45 - Luque
1.72 - Silva by KO

Total - 60.21

4 - Cannonier Upset

3.03 - Cannonier
2.39 - Moreno v Pantoja wont go distance
1.72 - Silva by KO
1.54 - Cummings
1.18 - Usman
1.58 - Rivas
1.45 - Luque

Total - 51.85

5 - Maia Upset

6.50 - Maia by SUB
1.72 - Silva by KO
1.54 - Cummings
1.30 - Lee
1.39 - Reyes
1.13 - Suarez
1.45 - Luque

Total - 50.97
 
they put the unders/overs on dimes.
-105 u2.5 Cannonier/Reyes is my only play.
It's +100 on BM. Always makes me feel so much better about it when I see a + in front of the number even if it's only a five cent difference.
 
Haven't seen anyone mention Saenz as a leg? Briones is an sloppy brawler who consistently tires in the midst of fights, while Frankie has done well vs a murderers row..cap this closer to -500.

Davis-Barzola GTD -245. Hedged with Davis KO +925, really difficult to imagine another outcome.

All in all, Cummings/Saenz/Davis-Barzola GTD pays about 2-1, most reliable value in this event imo. Add in Benitez or Luque and you get +350.
 
So I’m headed to Vegas in the morning part business (Chile) and part pleasure for EDC —

I’ve mentioned before that now that I’m able to parlay o/u’s with ML’s, I have different options to play with.

First fight on the night, Felipe Silva to finish in the first round is +150 on 5dimes, while if I were to play Felipe ML with u1.5, it’s actually +167 with the flexibility of winning 2.5 minutes into the 2nd round.

Not that neither bet has great value to begin with, but goes to show, if you’re still betting that line at +150 you’re short changing yourself.

Prices matter.
 
Don’t think I’ve ever seen a line move as much as Suarez vs grasso, it opened at even money lol
 
Cannonier/Reyes under 2.5 +100 while fight does not go the distance is -175, don't see how anyone would not bet the under instead at that price

Also like Moreno/Pantoja under 2.5 a lot, and Benitez/Bandenay u2.5 and Suarez/Grasso goes the distance

Still only full props out on the main and co-main damn it
 
Haven't seen anyone mention Saenz as a leg? Briones is an sloppy brawler who consistently tires in the midst of fights, while Frankie has done well vs a murderers row..cap this closer to -500.
You think Saenz wins this fight 83,3% of the time? That's really funny.

While you're at it, throw Usman and Suarez on your parlays too :>
 
Going for props consistently is chasing I feel. Guaranteed losses over long term playing imo.
I like to only play the ML
 
Benitez/Bandenay u2.5
I’ve been thinking about over just based on wikicapping (possible southpole vs. southpole stalemate, Benitez has never attempted a takedown in UFC according Fightmetrics) but as FGTD keeps rising, I suppose there’s a catch.
 
Just 12 hours away from the start of the event and main card limits at Pinnacle are only $2500.

Step aside, Bookmaker is now the undisputed king.
 
u2.5 @ +207 on Pantoja/Moreno feels like a great price. I think it's closer to a 50/50. Moreno's obviously a finish threat, and Pantoja finished him last time.
Edit:Thought u had him confused w/ Bruno Moreno but they did fight
Great line :D
 
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