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UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Card, Oct 24, 2021.

  1. 2020Tracked Green Belt

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    Guarantee the atmosphere in Ireland for Bellator last night will be way better than MSG, American's just don't do it right
     
  2. guesswhoseback Purple Belt

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    Dam man you alright if u ever need any1 to talk to message me lol whats up brother
     
  3. guesswhoseback Purple Belt

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    what about -299?
     
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  4. guesswhoseback Purple Belt

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    Thats what I do also I call mine lotto tickets as well but I do 5-10$ 8 teamers and I pick my parlays random like legit random ill ask my gf or wife whoever is near me lol. Hey over or under this fighter or that fighter shit like that
     
  5. TrueAscension Brown Belt

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    Lol
    Gaethje is going to need to find a safe house or a relative to stay with or something because he’s probably going to be wanted for murder
     
  6. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I've never bet on a split decision in my life, but I'm betting on one here. I don't really see any value either way and it's worth the flyer.
     
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  7. JC615 White Belt

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    "My gf or wife" - <mma4>
     
  8. Doggo_Stat_Collector Blue Belt Platinum Member

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    I think Colby is set for an upset. Kamaru's knees are his Achilles heel.
     
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  9. TeamVamos Purple Belt

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    Any idea the referee assignments yet ?
     
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  10. SolarSeiko Brown Belt

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    I said this twice and the bastards knees haven't failed him yet
     
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  11. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I think the best value for dog hunters on this card is Quarantillo. I don't really understand Burgos at -200 here. I can see him as a slight favorite, but no way 2-1.

    Quarantillo threw up a clunker a couple fights ago vs Tucker, where the script was flipped and Billy faded while Gavin showed amazing cardio, pressure, and grappling. Everyone assumed it would be the opposite with Gavin starting strong and Billy taking over with his gas tank but it went the opposite. But that seems like just an "off night" for Quarantillo. He's a terrifc pressure fighter who doesn't stop coming. He's shown he can finish guys when they tire, both on the mat and standing. He seems to have a solid chin. He's a really good (not great, but very good) all around fighter.

    Burgos is a tough guy for me to figure out. He has stretches of technical brilliance, where he's slipping and countering like the best in the sport. But then he has lapses where he just abandons his defensive fundamentals and leaves himself open. The best example I can think of is round 3 vs Josh Emmett. He does good work to the body with both punches and kicks, he obviously has good power. And at his best, he's capable of looking like a world beater. But there's just too many times where he seems to make crucial mistakes for me to trust him as this big a favorite over a very capable guy like Quarantillo.

    I think Billy +165ish has value here.
     
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  12. sonhow Silver Belt

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    So one judge had Usman up 3-1, one had Colby up 3-1 and one had 2-2.
    Thing is has Colby improved anything or is he just milking his last 15 minutes of fame. He has one fight for past two years against Twood the rapper. This doesn't tell you anything. It would almost feel unfair if he found a way after doing jack shit after the first fight. Kinda like when Woodley won the belt after sitting and getting Robbie after a war with Condit.
    But the world is an unfair place so maybe he does leave the belt after Usman blows his knees or something.
     
  13. Martialbeef Silver Belt

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    Someone give me three fights that won't go the distance and I'll put 50 on a treble
     
  14. SherdogWasNeverMyFriend Blue Belt

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    1. CJ Vergara - Ode Osbourne
    2. Alex Pereira - Andreas Michailidis
    3. Justin Gaethje - Michael Chandler
     
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  15. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Vergara/Osbourne, Garry/Williams, Chandler/Gaethje

    **Edit: This does not constitute financial advice LOL**
     
  16. Guld The Last Chronomancer

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    Alright. This is my layout so far...
    -Pereria by stoppage.
    -Chandler/Gaethje does not go the distance (might put a small on Chandler by first round stoppage as well).
    -Vera/Edgar goes over 1.5 rds. I initially had Vera, but even Frankie at 42 (in NYC no less) is gonna go hard, so it's hard to bet against him. Either way, Frankie should retire after this.
    -Going to put a small on Rose initially, but if she doesn't get it done by the end of the 2nd I'm going heavy on WeiLi.
    -Covington over Usman. I'll probably live bet this one, but based on the way Usman is talking/walking I think he's shot and trying to cover it up. Covington on the other hand looks like he's excited to go and put a show on. Also gotta keep an eye open to see if Covington does have any staph marks. I heard a rumor of that, but didn't see anything myself during their initial staredown.
     
  17. Captain Chesapeake Brown Belt

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    +330 for Souza is very generous
     
  18. matthew55 Blue Belt

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    just 11 pages for a card like this sheesh..hey @Card great work as always with the weigh in pics and what not, do you have any other breakdowns, mainly the short notice fights?
     
  19. Doggo_Stat_Collector Blue Belt Platinum Member

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    i feel like his knees are due for a new surgery and he is talking about retirement. Saw him hold his knees when going up steps.

    Am i exaggerating ? maybe.
     
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  20. SolarSeiko Brown Belt

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    I just want the fight to end inside the distance, his knees or Colbys jaw
     

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