UFC 236 Holloway vs Poirier II Official Bets

Euro & decimal people should be forbidden to use the word "win" in their postings when it's actually the return!

Botelho ML $15 to return $24.37
Millender ML $10 to return $22
Taha ML $5 to return $10.50
Imadaev ML $10 to return $20
Pantoja/Jackson ML $10 to return $18.97
Frevola ML $5 to return $10.50
Krylov ML $7.50 to return $15.75
Jouban ML $8 to return $15.27
Anders ML $25 to return $40.62
Gastelum ML $40 to return $109.50
Jackson/Holloway ML $20 to return $36
Pantoja/Holloway ML $15 to return $30.99
Rory (Bellator)/Anders ML $50 to return $105.62

There should be clear now
 
Interesting to see some faith on Krylov. I kind of get the feeling he has a reputation as a guy who doesn't do well when pressured, who's prone to shitting the bed now and again. I think I might give him more credit than most, I'm very impressed by his heavyweight slaying and smashing of the ultra durable Newton...
 
Poirier- 549 to win 1186
Kelvin- 70.50 to win 120

Lets go Poirier, odds disrespect him.
 
Here is what I’m on so far:

Davis -150 1.5u
Jouban -115 1.3u
Muhammad -125 1.3u
Krylov +115 1.1u
Pantoja -150 2u
Anders -165 1.7u
Adesanya -165 2.2u
Poirier +225 1.5u

Good luck fellas!
 
K. Gastelum +180 3u
E. Anders -155 2u
W. Reis +165 1u
C. Millender +115 1u
 
5u Izzy -155

3.33u Belal -130

2u Anders -160

1.25u Botehlo -152

1u Jouban -110

1u Krylov +130 - Switched to OSP after full tape (1u OSP +105)
 
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Izzy 1500 to win 855

Botelho 240 to win 140

Reis 220 to win 385

Anders 500 to win 260
 
Holloway DEC +322 $200
Holloway/Poirier O2.5 -145 $500

Adesanya -180 $2000
Adesanya DEC +255 $100
Gastelum NSC -105 $525
Adesanya/Gastelum O3.5 -117 $160

Anders -145 $1600
Anders/Rountree O1.5 -117 $160
Anders/Rountree GTD +175 $100

Jouban +112 $900
Grant NSC -145 $360
Grant ITD +188 $200

Krylov/OSP U1.5 -106 $250

Frevola/Turner DNGTD -175 $525
Frevola ITD +253 $45

Reis +173 $400
Reis/Pantoja O2.5 -263 $300

Imadaev +120 $100
Imadaev DEC +600 $100

Salmon -127 $200

Muhammad -120 $800
Millender NSC +105 $100

Botelho -147 $250
Botelho KO +325 $45

Davis -114 $750


I'm about set. With so much time between the fights and when I taped them my confidence is waning. Reduced my risk on a couple fights and added some hedges. Interested in adding a bit to Zelim, Botelho, and maybe Salmon if odds significantly improve.
 
$100/$163
Montel Jackson -455
Eryk Anders -200
Max Halloway -228
 
Davis x 1.65 1000$ (costa round 1 x5.5 110$ hedge)
Anders x 1.67 700$
St preux x1.95 200$
Poirier holloway over 1.5 x 1.55 1000$
turner x 1.85 500$
 
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Porier ML 1u for 2.16u
Holloway r4,5 Dec 2u for 3.26u
Holloway/Poirier FOTN 1u for 2.1u

Adesanya ML 3u for 1.62u

Anders ML 3u for 2.01u
Anders/Rountree GTD 1u for 1.76u

Jouban ML 1u for .96u

Turner r1,2 1u for 1.87u

Reis ML 1u for 1.53u

Imadaev ML 2u for 1.92u

Salmon ML 1u for .72u

Muhammad Sub .5u for 3u

Davis ML 3u for 1.88u
Davis Sub .25u for 2u

Good luck everyone, am out of town hopefully can catch some of the show
 
Kelvin 1u +247
Dustin 3.5u +299
Imadaev 2u -188
 
Holloway DEC +322 $200
Holloway/Poirier O2.5 -145 $500

Adesanya -180 $2000
Adesanya DEC +255 $100
Gastelum NSC -105 $525
Adesanya/Gastelum O3.5 -117 $160

Anders -145 $1600
Anders/Rountree O1.5 -117 $160
Anders/Rountree GTD +175 $100

Jouban +112 $900
Grant NSC -145 $360
Grant ITD +188 $200

Krylov/OSP U1.5 -106 $250

Frevola/Turner DNGTD -175 $525
Frevola ITD +253 $45

Reis +173 $400
Reis/Pantoja O2.5 -263 $300

Imadaev +120 $100
Imadaev DEC +600 $100

Salmon -127 $200

Muhammad -120 $800
Millender NSC +105 $100

Botelho -147 $250
Botelho KO +325 $45

Davis -114 $750


I'm about set. With so much time between the fights and when I taped them my confidence is waning. Reduced my risk on a couple fights and added some hedges. Interested in adding a bit to Zelim, Botelho, and maybe Salmon if odds significantly improve.

How confident do you feel about Botelho KO...?
 
How confident do you feel about Botelho KO...?

I wouldn't play it lower than +3xx, but I think she has a decent shot at a body kick TKO. The majority of her shots are to the body, Mueller already has suspect cardio without body work, and Dobson had her hurt with a straight to the body.
 
I wouldn't play it lower than +3xx, but I think she has a decent shot at a body kick TKO. The majority of her shots are to the body, Mueller already has suspect cardio without body work, and Dobson had her hurt with a straight to the body.

Great stuff. Thanks, Sadistics.
 
4u Adesanya -179
*EDIT* 3u Max Griffin +101
2u OSP +100
2u Muhammad -135
1u OSP v Krylov O1.5 +103
1u Turner v Frevola O1.5 +105
1u Botelho -169
1u Boston Salmon -135

*added in plays on Max after realizing he’s at + odds now & reviewing tape / listening to breakdowns of Zelim. Likely adding units on Reis as well.
 
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Adesanya Risk 3.4 units to win 2 units
Anders Risk 2.43 units to win 1.5 units
Belal Risk 1.31 units to win 1 unit
Davis Risk 3.02 units to win 2 units
Bothelo Risk 1.52 units to win 1 unit
Griffin Risk 1 unit to win 1.01 units
 
I cannot wrap my head around all this Belal love... same guy that dropped a decision to Jouban and whom Neal almost just killed...?
 
I cannot wrap my head around all this Belal love... same guy that dropped a decision to Jouban and whom Neal almost just killed...?
Stop spamming these threads week after week. There's a seperate thread for discussion.
 
Holloway ML - 5.6u for 4.24u*
Holloway Round 4 - 0.2u for 1.65u
Holloway Round 5 - 0.2u for 2.6u
Over 2.5 Rounds - 2u for 1.33u

Adesanya ML - 7u for 4.52u*
Adesanya Decision - 1u for 2.25u
Gastelum O0.5 TD - $15.04 for $30.08

Anders ML - 4u for 3.58u*
Rountree Round 1 - 0.4u for 2u
Rountree Round 2 - 0.2u for 1.6u

Jouban ML - 2.5u for 2.09u
Jouban NSC - 1u for 1.78u
Grant NSC - 4u for 1.7u

Krylov ML - 1u for 0.88u
OSP Submission - 0.25u for 0.56u
OSP KO - 0.25u for 1.46u

Reis ML - 2.5u for 3.65u
Reis Submission - 0.25u for 3.75u

Frevola Decision - 0.5u for 2.55u
Frevola Round 3 - 0.25u for 3u

Imadaev ML - 2.5u for 2.37u

Salmon ML - 1u for 0.69u

Millender ML - 3u for 3.69u
Millender NSC - 2u for 1.67u
Millender KO - 0.25u for 0.92u
Draw - $5 for $325

Soukhamthath ML - 0.5u for 2.08u

Botelho ML - 2u for 1.59u*
Botelho KO - 0.25u for 0.6u

Davis ML - 3u for 1.93u
Davis Sub - 0.2u for 1.29u
Costa KO - 0.25u for 0.69u

Tampa Bay Lightning + Turner-Frevola DNGTD + Holloway-Poirier O1.5 - 1u for 1.23u

* - parlays

Big on Max and Iz. My unit size has increased starting next event but some of that has spilled over here too I suppose. For example, a 5u bet on this event will be equivalent to a 3.13u bet next. Will take me over 1% per unit as well. This is overdue, I've been a bit too conservative with the %. Working towards a 2% unit but small steps for now. OK, I digress...

Made a hot mess of the Grant NSC hedge when I realized 'oh yeah, Jouban could KO this dude...'. Idiot. Anyways, need Jouban to point fight. Imadaev and Soukhamthath because it's MMA and gambling, that's all. Looking to livebet Frevola-Turner if I can. Fully expect Davis to lose us all a bunch of money right off the bat.

OK, good luck everyone.

edit: late addons and units-to-win adjusted
 
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