Not a big lean obviously from you, but what’s your take?Simon -135 $150
Not a big lean obviously from you, but what’s your take?
2K on Lando in 2019 truly is Sadistic. Hopefully he pulls through bro!
Gastelum is so one dimensional and overrated. His MW success is pretty much unconvincing split decisions over Uriah Hall and Jacare (2 guys dominated by Whittaker) and then beating up a bunch of guys that needed to retire. He has a great chin though but Whittaker is a far better striker and after dealing with Romero Kelvins left hand shouldn't be much of a problem plus won't have his usual speed advantage to just bounce in and out with the same combinations like he normally does.
Whittaker Decision should be great but after Kelvin gassed so hard against Jacare in 3 rounds I'd be concerned he'll slow down and Whittaker will just swarm him for a Hollowayesque TKO. I also expect Whittaker to maybe take him down at some point given he should have a massive wrestling advantage and Kelvins TDD is pretty average at best, it also gives Whittaker a good option if he does get caught by any hard shots and he showed that vs Romero where he shot a single when badly hurt in order to recover. If he can make that work against a wrestler on the level of Romero then vs Gastelum it should be very effective. Don't like betting big favs but put 2.5u on Whittakers ML at -227, just don't see where Kelvin has an advantage except being able to take a hit.
Sounds fair. I have medium bet on Yahya and hope that he’ll get a sub or can impress the judges with bigger shots and some back control time even if he’d be on defensive most of the time because of Simon’s high work rate and his own still suspect cardio.I bet that pre tape thinking Simon could use his wrestling base to keep the fight upright and outstrike Yahya to a decision. Post-tape I won't be adding. Wrestling is a core part of Simon's game, the only performance he had that wasn't wrestling dominant was his 1 minute KO of Zani. His TDD is far from bulletproof and he has a habit of giving up his back when getting up.
Yahyas cardio was a factor pre tape as well but he's addressed that since the Soto fight. Saying that, Simon does set a hell of a pace so we could see Yahya fade if it goes late. Even if Simon can keep it upright it's not too farfetched to think that Yahya could keep it competitive or even win the stand up, he's a black belt in MT while Simon is pretty wild, though Yahya usually just sprints in with blitzes to disguise his TDs.
Unlike fighters like Do Bronx, it's not a death sentence if Yahya can get it to the mat, but I worry about what happens in prolonged exchanges if Simon engages in grappling. Yahya isn't much of a threat from his back with subs, but he has very good sweeps and a strong top game where he can work a large variety of unorthodox subs.
I'm letting the .3u ride but if I didn't already have action I'd pass.
I dont mean to be rude, but this feels like a contrived bs mixed with mma math nonsense we know is bs in mma.
When did the Uriah Hall fight occur? Jacare just beat the ever living shit outta Weidman and is a top 3 MW currently. Kelvin has a history of beating up guys he shouldve lost to, hell I thought he shouldve gotten the win against Woodley after fighting ill and missing weight. You could easily pull the same nonsense contrived bs against Whittiker. I hope this isnt how you bet normally.
You must just be record capping to say thisCan someone explain the de la rosa line? Seems like it should be an even odds fight at worst.
Raulian Paiva line is insane at +245.
I'm capping it based on:You must just be record capping to say this
I'm capping it based on:
1: de la rosa probably shouldn't be -255 over anyone with a pulse
2: it's a hometown fight for kassem
3: WMMA.
Agreed. The Yoel that fought Whittaker (twice) is one of the greatest fighters this planet has ever seen. And gastelum is not as good as the Yoel that Whittaker beat.Really high on Bobby and Bobby ITD here. Bobby is an animal, Kelvin is overrated. Aside from a great chin, what does he really bring into the octagon for Bobby to worry about? He will be undersized and won’t have his normal MW speed advantage here. His boxing is overrated anyway. If Bobby survived that beating fucking Yoel Romero laid on him, I don’t see anyone stopping him anytime soon, never mind Kelvin with the same one-two combination over and over again. If the fight does go to decision, I think it’s going to be Kelvin gassing halfway through round 3 and Bobby just picking him apart for 2 and a half rounds on his way to a unanimous 49-46 or even 50-45