Brunson definitely has a chance, he tends to get KOed by people with big power and Israel hasnt really displayed that yet. Obviously when you catch someone rushing in the counter shot requires less power to put somebody down but Romero, Whittaker and Jacare definitely have more power than Israel so him getting sparked by those 3 doesn't make me think Israel is for sure knocking him out.
Israel is a lot more technical though obviously. Think if Brunson loses its by getting outpointed so Israel Dec at 4.0 is a good shout, definitely more value than Israel KO @ 1.91 and I think a very similar percentage chance.
Israel is deffo closer to the Anderson Silva mould than Romero/Jacare and Brunson arguably win that fight.
That said I think that Tavares is a solid win at MW. Tavares is a fringe top 10 fighter and the definition of a gatekeeper (I mean that as a compliment), he only tends to lose to elite fighters and Israel handled him well.
Should be a good scrap, Brunson definitely has a path to victory but Israel Dec is a great prop for this fight I feel.