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UFC 209 - Twood vs Wonderboy II - Vegas

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 19, 2017.

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  1. iGnP Silver Belt

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    That's up there on the list of worst tattoos in MMA
     
  2. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

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    Hunt just need to touch his chin. Heck even a jab would rock him badly. Overreem decision is the play I think though.
     
  3. trucido Blue Belt

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    Liking Reem DEC quite a bit here, only laying down 1u though because as HeDucking said, Hunt only needs to land one clean punch and the Reem will be dead
     
  4. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Reem DEC might not end up hitting but I think the odds are too good. Betting it now
     
  5. MidgardSerpent Black Belt

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    And the competition is quite stiff. I mean, seriously that tattoo is fucking mind-boggling, that genuinely makes me think less of him as a person. Not to mention he always looks like Jason Miller's younger brother with that goofy face.

    Edit : I'm sounding like a total hater :)
     
  6. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Haha it's definitely worthy of hate. If you're a friend or loved one, how can you not tell him that getting that tattoo is a bad idea
     
  7. t6p Brown Belt

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    For those looking at Reem decision, FGTD is +280. Just something to think about.
     
  8. t6p Brown Belt

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    I just hit Wonderboy UD at +600 and apparently it was +1240 at one point which is insane. I'm not sure if they got UD and split backwards or what but NOT Wonderboy split is -310. Sounds like great parlay fodder to me, but I'm worried it'll end up getting canceled.
     
  9. Chris Wang White Belt

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    Yeah I meant Allstars, sorry.
     
  10. AffectEffect Banned Banned

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    I think khabib can actually do more than hold Ferguson down. Ferg is very aggressive on the ground, and to a lot of people that looks good, but you can't be aggressive vs A+ level grapplers, it will just get you passed and subbed.

    After rewatching wonderboy twood with fresh eyes, damn wonderboy didn't really do much damage vs Woodley and Woodley almost killed his ass. I'm all over Woodley at + odds, and I expect him to win the 1st round again.

    Blah overeem hunt. Can't trust reem= little interest prefight for me.
     
  11. iGnP Silver Belt

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    That punch that Woodley landed (and the subsequent punches for the rest of the round) was one of the only times he landed something significant outside of shots on the ground in round 1. He was whiffing a lot in round 2, 3, and 5. The first punch that knocked WB down didn't seem like it hurt him too badly, either. The second one, as he was stalking WB against the cage after WB got back up, was the one that hurt WB
     
  12. AffectEffect Banned Banned

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    I think you are nitpicking a little, he dominated round 1, which already makes me want to take the +odds. and imo he landed big gnp in round 1 that shouldn't be dismissed. Go rewatch WB walk back to his stool after the 1st.

    In round 4 imo Woodley went for a strategically stupid guillotine, and next fight if he gets that close I think he gets a finish.

    To me the damage he did in rounds 1 and 4 outweigh the point fighting wb did in 2 3 5. That damage may have permanently fucked up WB too, not counting on it but maybe he breaks a little easier this time...
     
  13. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Can't look at MMA striking in a vacuum. GSP's striking fed off his threat of the TD and vice versa.
     
  14. iGnP Silver Belt

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    I'm not gonna argue that the damage was in Woodley's favor. No one would argue against that. But his low volume in the first fight allowed WB to win rounds via point fighting

    Nitpicking, sure. But look at the adjustments that WB was able to make after getting taken down in the first round (mainly, not throwing that kick). I think its more likely that we see rounds like 2, 3, and 5 as opposed to round 1, seeing as the distance was giving Woodley issues. Round 4, although extremely dominant for Woodley, is kind of hard to trust seeing as he probably missed a ton of punches prior to that. Not calling it a fluke punch or anything, I just think WB has easier adjustments to make
     
  15. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

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    Especially as he had the best wrestling and the best timed double in the game at the time. Maia vs GSP would be amazing from a grappling perspective.
     
  16. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

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    Only reason I wont be betting WB is that even if Woodley loses one or two rounds, he has the power and explosiveness to get a 10-8 round. Fight to go the distance might be a good play or the over maybe based on the odds.
     
  17. AffectEffect Banned Banned

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    The low volume thing is hard to explain, he seems like he gets lazy sometimes, it's a problem. But I disagree about WB having easier corrections to make. It's as simple as Woodley having a little more output in round 2, don't forget WB didn't really land anything big and had to struggle to get a draw. doesn't make sense he is the fave imho.
     
  18. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Not sure I agree, but you make valid points. I'm personally on WB by decision at +290. I think the chances of him winning by DEC are much more likely than him winning the fight via TKO so it's a must bet with the fight being a relatively 50/50 affair
     
  19. HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

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    Anyone feel like Lando's line is gonna be so inflated as hell. He has major defensive issues and Teymur could very well finish the guy. Big Lando fan but if Teymur reaches +200 or something crazy, Ill play him.
     
  20. OneWarrior1 Brown Belt

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    Wb gonna be exposed again as TMA
     
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