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This card will NOT beat UFC 182. But its not because interest in the card isnt high. THe main reason would be 3 big previous fight cards in the same month.
Jones-Cormier has been a fight thats has had major hype since August. That was supposed to be the big card of the fall, but the injury pushed the fight back. Many people who shelled $60 for that might not also do it for a significantly less intriguing (though still interesting) card.
UFC 182's main event will hurt. When the fight was announced I was thinking around 800k buys. Now I would guess 600-650k. Still big.
It doesnt help that Connor is fighting in Boston and then Gus in Sweden
And 150 bucks in two months is probably a lot so if a fan is paying for a PPV, why would you buy 183 when 184 is better?