Elections Trump Watch 2024: Seven Things Trump Says He Will Do

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How Many Promises Will Trump Keep?

  • 0

    Votes: 2 5.1%
  • 1-2

    Votes: 8 20.5%
  • 3-4

    Votes: 6 15.4%
  • 5-6

    Votes: 10 25.6%
  • ALL 7 BABY!

    Votes: 8 20.5%
  • I Voted Trump but Won't Be Holding Him to Account Now or Ever - I just LOVE TRUMP!!!!

    Votes: 5 12.8%

  • Total voters
    39
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1) Deport undocumented migrants​

While campaigning, Trump promised the biggest mass deportations of undocumented migrants in US history.
He also pledged to complete the building of a wall at the border with Mexico that was started during his first presidency.
The number of crossings at the US southern border hit record levels at the end of last year during the Biden-Harris administration, before falling in 2024.
Experts have told the BBC that deportations on the scale promised by Trump would face huge legal and logistical challenges - and could slow economic growth.
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2) Moves on economy, tax and tariffs​

Exit poll data has suggested the economy was a key issue for voters. Trump has promised to "end inflation" - which rose to high levels under President Joe Biden before falling again. But a president's power to directly influence prices is limited.
He has also promised sweeping tax cuts, extending his overhaul from 2017. He has proposed making tips tax-free, abolishing tax on social security payments and shaving corporation tax.
He has proposed new tariffs of at least 10% on most foreign goods, to cut the trade deficit. Imports from China could bear an additional 60% tariff, he has said. Some economists have warned that such moves could push up prices for ordinary people.

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3) Cut climate regulations​

During his first presidency, Trump rolled back hundreds of environmental protections and made America the first nation to withdraw from the Paris climate agreement.
This time, he has again vowed to cut regulations, particularly as a way to help the American car industry. He has constantly attacked electric vehicles, promising to overturn Biden's targets encouraging the switch to cleaner cars.
He has pledged to increase production of US fossil fuels - vowing to "drill, drill, drill" on day one in favour of renewable energy sources such as wind power.
He wants to open areas such as the Arctic wilderness to oil drilling, which he argues would lower energy costs - though analysts are sceptical.

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4) End Ukraine war​

Trump has criticised the tens of billions of dollars spent by the US on supporting Ukraine in its war with Russia - and has pledged to end the conflict "within 24 hours" through a negotiated deal.
He has not said what he thinks either side should give up. Democrats say the move would embolden President Vladimir Putin.
Trump wants the US to disentangle itself from foreign conflicts generally. Regarding the war in Gaza - Trump has positioned himself as a staunch supporter of Israel, but has urged the American ally to end its operation.
He has also pledged to end the related violence in Lebanon, but gave no detail on how.

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5) No abortion ban​

Against the wishes of some of his supporters, Trump said during the presidential debate with Kamala Harris that he would not sign into law a national abortion ban.
In 2022, the nationwide constitutional right to abortion was overturned by the Supreme Court, which had a majority of conservative judges following Trump's first presidency.
Reproductive rights became a key campaigning topic for Harris, and several states approved measures to protect or expand abortion rights on polling day.
Trump himself has regularly said states should be free to decide their own laws on abortion, but struggled to find a consistent message of his own.

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6) Pardon some Jan 6 rioters​

Trump has said he will "free" some of those convicted of offences during the riot in Washington DC on 6 January 2021, when his supporters stormed the Capitol building in an effort to thwart the 2020 election victory of Joe Biden.
Several deaths were blamed on the violence, which Trump was accused of inciting.
He has worked to downplay the riot's significance and recast the hundreds of supporters who were convicted as political prisoners.
He continues to say many of them are "wrongfully imprisoned", though has acknowledged that "a couple of them, probably they got out of control".

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7) Sack Special Counsel Jack Smith​

Trump has vowed to sack "within two seconds" of taking office the veteran prosecutor leading two criminal investigations against him.
Special Counsel Jack Smith has indicted Trump over alleged efforts to overturn the 2020 election, and over his alleged mishandling of classified documents.
Trump denies any wrongdoing, and managed to prevent either case coming to trial before the election. He says Mr Smith has subjected him to a "political witch hunt".
Trump will return to the White House as the first ever president with a criminal conviction, having been found guilty in New York of falsifying business records.

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Predictions on which of these 7 pre-election promises he's likely to keep?

Do you accept this BBC-compiled list? Are these his actual promises?

Got any others that I should add?

I will be revisiting this thread to see if Trump is an out-and-out populist whose words mean absolutely nothing, or if he is, in fact, a man of his word.
 
abortion is a state issue
you have a problem with it take it up with your state govt or move

Of the 7, as it's written, I think that's the easiest one to abide by.

I agree with you that it's very unlikely there will be a 'national abortion ban'.

So yeah, I think this is one promise he can keep pretty easily.
 
Oh, I think he can keep most of those.

Granted, he’ll “end the Ukraine war” by stopping finding to Ukraine and letting Russia steamroll them, thereby weakening NATO and emboldening Russia, both things Trump enjoys doing anyway.

But yeah, he’ll almost certainly pass boneheaded tariffs that cripple farmers and harm the working class like last time, there will FOR SURE be tax cuts for the wealthy, he’s absolutely sacking Jack “The GOAT” Smith—protecting himself from prosecution is the actual reason he was running, after all—and he slashed climate, air and water regulations last time and will do so again.

One he won’t keep is no abortion ban—whether it’s done by legislature or Project 2025 dictator style, they are going to make women’s lives hell.
 
Oh, I think he can keep most of those.

Granted, he’ll “end the Ukraine war” by stopping finding to Ukraine and letting Russia steamroll them, thereby weakening NATO and emboldening Russia, both things Trump enjoys doing anyway.

But yeah, he’ll almost certainly pass boneheaded tariffs that cripple farmers and harm the working class like last time, there will FOR SURE be tax cuts for the wealthy, he’s absolutely sacking Jack “The GOAT” Smith—protecting himself from prosecution is the actual reason he was running, after all—and he slashed climate, air and water regulations last time and will do so again.

One he won’t keep is no abortion ban—whether it’s done by legislature or Project 2025 dictator style, they are going to make women’s lives hell.

Wow, that's the one I had him easily keeping.

We might end up having to go the "Fact Check" route where some of the answers are "partially kept" depending on exactly what happens and how much direct involvement Trump has?
 
Granted, he’ll “end the Ukraine war” by stopping finding to Ukraine and letting Russia steamroll them, thereby weakening NATO and emboldening Russia, both things Trump enjoys doing anyway.
if the EU wants their buffer state they can start ponying up more money
the US did a lot of the heavy lifting for years I think we've earned the ability to say we helped and leave it at that
 
The tariffs are going to be interesting. I don't think he's stupid enough to implement 10% across the board but who knows, he may actually be that dumb. For the most part, he'll likely just use tariffs for negotiating purposes. The tariffs on China are basically a guarantee though.
 
if the EU wants their buffer state they can start ponying up more money
the US did a lot of the heavy lifting for years I think we've earned the ability to say we helped and leave it at that

Dumb idea to 'leave it at that'.

Europe is also a buffer zone for the US, ultimately.

Isolationist rhetoric ended up costing the US $4 trillion adjusted for inflation during WW2. The national debt more than doubled. This was a result of staying out of it.

Make no mistake, any country that foregoes democracy and then wields military might against another nation's attempt at democracy is an enemy.

Russia is an enemy of the United States (and Trump). China might be a bigger threat, but it's Russia that your buffer zone is dealing with, so it's Russia that it's in your interests to fend off.
 
Isolationist rhetoric ended up costing the US $4 trillion adjusted for inflation during WW2. The national debt more than doubled. This was a result of staying out of it.
Where are you getting that number from?
 
Where are you getting that number from?

Fair question, and feel free to interrogate the sources. Several sources quote this figure such as (but bear with me):



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But as far as I know it comes from this report from the Congressional Research Service report from 2010.


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This amounted to 37.5 % of GDP in "Peak Year of War".
 
Republicans should take this chance to push every tiny thing they have ever dreamed of. Show everyone how their policy really plays out. Go wild buds, America voted for it. Don't be scared homies.
 
Fair question, and feel free to interrogate the sources. Several sources quote this figure such as (but bear with me):



----

But as far as I know it comes from this report from the Congressional Research Service report from 2010.


YfpzeGO.png


This amounted to 37.5 % of GDP in "Peak Year of War".
that's the total cost of the war
not the opportunity cost of being isolationist vs being 'proactive'
I don't think a number of that nature is possible to produce, honestly
 
I think he'll do a little with most. Some illegals will be deported but he'll see that a mass deportation will be a logistical nightmare.

Jack Smith will resign before Trump takes office.

RIP Ukraine
 
  1. Problem is asylum seekers. Which is a clerical processing issue.
  2. Showed in his first term the inability to formulate trade agreements.
  3. Government regulation has led to greater efficiency in products. Reverting this isnt a good idea.
  4. Makes our treaties with other countries meaningless.
  5. He'll cave to the christian nationals if actually presented with the bill.
  6. Just one of the many upcoming new lows.
  7. This is why Nixon had to be criminally convicted, not pardoned.
 
2,3, and 7 are the only ones I see realistic based on his compentency. Firing a guy is easy. Placing a tax on things is easy. Reducing climate regulation is easy.
 
that's the total cost of the war
not the opportunity cost of being isolationist vs being 'proactive'
I don't think a number of that nature is possible to produce, honestly

I see what you're saying.

That's fair.

I didn't intend to make a comparison to a theoretical timeline, but can see how you interpreted it that way from what I said, perfectly valid.

I just meant more that the USA was isolationist, and this was the eventual price tag.

Eye watering shit.

I wouldn't go down that route again. Hands off didn't work then, and it won't work now. It's kicking the can down the road, and the receipt will come eventually, bigger than ever. That you can evidence by comparing to other conflicts the US proactively involved itself in.
 
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