Trump Victory For the Nomination Assured, By March 15th.

[GearSolidMetal]

Everyone's talking about the debate, or Romney's public bashing of Trump, but very few are actually paying attention to the dozens of caucuses and primaries in the next week and a half.

And they're not looking good for anyone but Trump.

So far, the total delegates are laid out like this.

Trump - 318
Cruz - 226
Rubio - 110

Source -
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/republican_delegate_count.html

And here's what the polls are looking like for the next week and a half.

http://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-polls-leads-florida-michigan-ohio-2016-3

March 5th - Kansas, Kentucky, and Louisiana - 135 total delegates up for grabs (Split) - Trump is up by 12, 13, and 19 points.

March 8th - Michigan and Mississippi - 99 total delegates (Split) - Trump is up by 15 and 24 points.

March 15th - Illinois and North Carolina - 141 delegates (Split) - Trump is up by 15 and 10.

And also on March 15th, are going to solidify his nomination by winning Ohio and Florida, which are winner takes all. 165 total delegates.

Now the theory that Kasich and Rubio would win their home states, and start winning from there constantly to win the nomination, is each an impossibility, especially with Trump likely to have 500+ delegates by that time (all of the states before Florida and Ohio are split).

I previously said that Trump has a 99% chance of winning the nomination, and the ONLY thing that could blow that up is the announcement of a Cruz/Rubio ticket, and that's not going to happen, in all probability.

Trumpsters, you may start to celebrate.

 

[Sycho Sid]

The goal changed after Super Tuesday. They no longer are trying to beat him, but stall him. Make it so he cannot reach the required amount, and then try a brokered convention.

I do not think it is a good idea, but who knows.

 

[GearSolidMetal]

The goal changed after Super Tuesday. They no longer are trying to beat him, but stall him. Make it so he cannot reach the required amount, and then try a brokered convention.

I do not think it is a good idea, but who knows.

Its a desperate strategy guaranteed to lose.

Very few will vote in primaries in the hopes their non-Trump candidate will eventally be handed, not earn, the nomination.

 

[Byron Carter]

They're trying to undermine democracy.

 

[Sycho Sid]

Its a desperate strategy guaranteed to lose.

Very few will vote in primaries in the hopes their non-Trump candidate will eventally be handed, not earn, the nomination.

No disagreement, bu I think the GOP sees it as the only way to stop him now, even if it costs them the GE.

 

[sloppypie]

The goal changed after Super Tuesday. They no longer are trying to beat him, but stall him. Make it so he cannot reach the required amount, and then try a brokered convention.

I do not think it is a good idea, but who knows.

god i hope this happens. it'll be the most amazing thing to happen in politics since the howard dean win scream.

 

[Thurisaz]

It was assured the moment he entered the race.

 

[in the]

 

[Bloodworth]

Americans are taking their country back....people are shocked but forget what America is originally. The demographic almost changed
, and this may be the final push to take it back and only real amricans know that.

 

[StannisTheMannis]

I prefer a conman over 2 religious fanatics.

 

[machidafan99]

so glad the religious wannabe war mongers in the party are being pushed aside.

 

[therealdope]

The goal changed after Super Tuesday. They no longer are trying to beat him, but stall him. Make it so he cannot reach the required amount, and then try a brokered convention.

I do not think it is a good idea, but who knows.

What destroys the GOP: Trump winning the nomination, or Trump have the most delegates and votes, and nonetheless an establishment candidates being inserted as the candidate by the GOP establishment?

This is great, either way the GOP establishment implodes. Now we only need the establishment democrats to implode and then the US can move forward without the two party oligarchy.

 

[Diamond Jim]

Trump's nomination is a political death sentence to the GOP come November.

 

[Space]

 

[JadeOwl]

Trump's nomination is a political death sentence to the GOP come November.

They're damned if they do and damned if they don't. If they keep the nomination from him through a brokered convention Trump will most certainly run as an independent for the sole purpose of doing as much damage to the GOP out of sheer spite.

 

[Jack V Savage]

No disagreement, bu I think the GOP sees it as the only way to stop him now, even if it costs them the GE.

As we already saw at the end of the debate, all this anti-Trump stuff is just hot air. They won't do anything crazy to stop him from winning the nomination, and 99% of the people acting outraged by him now will end up supporting him in the general.

 

[DevilsLettuce]

Drumpf is a whore.

 

[DangDaGawd]

rip GOP

 

[DangDaGawd]

Americans are taking their country back....people are shocked but forget what America is originally. The demographic almost changed
, and this may be the final push to take it back and only real amricans know that.

Yeah, people forgot that when George Washington became President, he ran on a platform of expelling all the Irish, building a wall around Ellis Island, and advocated killing British soliders families.

#makeamericagreatagain

 

[Capt Lunatic]

I like that the GOP thinks "If he doesn't get the nomination, he'll go away."

I love that they have a plan to actively screw him over with the convention. I'm sure he won't make a big deal of it.