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The War Room Bet Thread V6

Discussion in 'The War Room' started by Lead, Nov 7, 2020.

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Best bet(s) settled in the last bet thread (see closed bets section in post 3)

  1. Bet 55 Jack V Savage v. MMAisGod

    66.7%
  2. Bet 51 kpt018 v. HockeyBJJ

    66.7%
  3. Bet 26 HereticBD v. VivaRevolution

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. Bet 45 HockeyBJJ v. PolishHeadlock2

    33.3%
  5. Bet 52 Jack V Savage v. giusti825

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  6. Bet 41 Serenity Now v. Yorkist (ObamaPhoneLady)

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  7. Bet 34 VivaRevolution v. Rob Battisti

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  8. Bet 49 Prokofievian v. Richie Madano

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  9. Bet 56 Jack V Savage v. Tropodan

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  10. Bet 47 sickc0d3r v. HereticBD

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  11. Bet 50 Jack V Savage v. HereticBD

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. Andy Capp 2GM/c^2 belt Platinum Member

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    I'm good with that.
     
    Lead likes this.
  2. Lead /Led/ Platinum Member

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  3. JDragon Lawn and Order!

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    <{jackyeah}>nice one
     
    ShinkanPo likes this.
  4. Limbo Pete Real History Man

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    Was the Weekend At Bernie's thing about Biden dying or getting sick? If so, I can't bet on that because I agree. Dude could drop any day. But if we're talking about any other reason, then we have a bet.
     
  5. The ScorpioN "GET OVER HERE!" Double Yellow Card

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    Im talking any reason. My guess is his health will deteriorate very fast.
     
  6. Limbo Pete Real History Man

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    Gotcha. Well, we agree on his health being in the shitter, so that's a no go for me. But if you still think he fails to hold office for any other reason, then I'm down.
     
  7. The ScorpioN "GET OVER HERE!" Double Yellow Card

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    What would be other reason?
     
  8. Jack V Savage Secretary of Keepin' It Real/Nicest Guy on Sherdog

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    If you're betting that he won't last a year in office, I'll take that action if Pete won't.
     
  9. The ScorpioN "GET OVER HERE!" Double Yellow Card

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    Yes.
     
  10. Jack V Savage Secretary of Keepin' It Real/Nicest Guy on Sherdog

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    OK. Three-month sig? If Biden's out for any reason.
     
  11. Limbo Pete Real History Man

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    Yeah, have at it. I don't trust myself not to jinx Biden into a heart attack. Plus betting on someone's health just aint my jam.
     
    Turtle Up and Jack V Savage like this.
  12. The ScorpioN "GET OVER HERE!" Double Yellow Card

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    Yeah, let's do it.
     
    Jack V Savage likes this.
  13. Jack V Savage Secretary of Keepin' It Real/Nicest Guy on Sherdog

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    @Lead, is this recorded?
     
  14. Lead /Led/ Platinum Member

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    Same case as that other bet. There is a hold on any new bets that happen after the inauguration. I will update you as soon as they are available again so you can get those two booked here if you still want them.

    This isn’t to say you and TheScorpion haven’t reached an agreement at this point. It just isn’t currently being logged until further notice.
     
    Jack V Savage likes this.
  15. Jack V Savage Secretary of Keepin' It Real/Nicest Guy on Sherdog

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    @The ScorpioN, we're on if you want to do one last confirmation. And then we'll record it for the thread after the inauguration.

    @Limbo Pete, I don't believe in jinxes, but I also see this as a bet against dumb political propaganda, which is kind of my thing.
     
    Lead and Limbo Pete like this.
  16. Limbo Pete Real History Man

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    As an incredibly unlucky bettor my entire life, I just can't risk it.
     
    Jack V Savage likes this.
  17. Jack V Savage Secretary of Keepin' It Real/Nicest Guy on Sherdog

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    I've been lucky with these. I think seven of my 11 wins were basically guarantees. The bet with wai was one where I just trusted Silver's 75% estimate over wai's lock the other way estimate. I actually think Viva's point was correct but he overstated it. I had about a 90% chance against Heretic (remember, though with 11 bets, if all of them were that likely, I'd expect a loss). I think the bet with MMAisGod was a lock that I wouldn't lose, but I didn't even expect to win. I'd put Biden's chances at lasting a year at over 95%. We should have an annual prediction thread.
     
    Limbo Pete likes this.
  18. Limbo Pete Real History Man

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    Oh i'd put Biden's chances at more like 99.9%. But then again, I once rolled five 1s in a row playing Dungeons and Dragons, which is a breathtaking failure of the odds to help me.
     
  19. Jack V Savage Secretary of Keepin' It Real/Nicest Guy on Sherdog

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    I feel comfortable at over 95%, but I don't think *that much* over. And wow.
     
    Limbo Pete likes this.
  20. Limbo Pete Real History Man

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    My inability to ever succeed at anything involving dice, cards, or games of chance in general, is legendary in my family
     
    Jack V Savage and Sycho Sid like this.

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