TS: Solid analysis. Ignore the shertards with their monthly case of Menstrual Herpes.
I think you did fail a few points:
1. Jones fought vicious anti-wrestlers such as Machida and found other ways to win.
2. Jones has had to adapt to more situations mid-fight than DC.
3. Cormier hasn't fought the same murderer's row as Jones. It doesn't compare!
4. Jones cannot and will not beat DC the way he did Rashad, but that is the best outcome Jones can get from this one.
Too bad we never got Rashad vs DC, that would have been a fun fight to see. I think DC would take it, but Shad would make him adapt a few times. I hope DC wins because unlike Jones, DC is a real man, and a man's man.
Jones is a hero to prepubescent teenagers who laugh at potty jokes. "Hey Beavis, he said Meat..."
Jones had to adapt more in the Gus fight (just to survive) than DC has had to adapt to any fight in his entire career. I think Jones can take this by fighting smart and forcing DC to constantly adapt. If you make someone constantly adapt, you might open up a weakness somewhere. If DC is forced to adapt too much, he might get into trouble.
Will be a helluva fight. It has potential to end by TKO at any time (including the first).
A few more pointers...
1. Jones has never KO'd an ironchin like Bigfoot Silva which MUST count for something. Bigroid Silva, the guy that went to a "Draw" (which should be expunged to a loss) vs Mark Hunt.
2. DC has fought "guys like Jones" (heavyweights with big reach and height) his whole MMA career.
3. I wonder how Jones could do at HW. I am certain that DC could KO the reem, ben rothwell, mark hunt and could bring a good war to JDS.
I cannot say the same about Jones.