The 2nd biggest favorite at UFC 266

[M.U.S.C.L.E.]

Valentina is a -1250 favorite vs Lauren Murphy
Next up is Matthew Semelsberger, a -475 favorite vs Martin Sano.

Who is on the Semelsberger train? He's 28, so clearly not a phenom. What is it about him that makes you a believer?

Is there a Semelsberger train? Or is Semelsberger a huge favorite only because Sano has not won a fight in 7 years and never fought in the UFC?

 

[Ares Black]

Semelsberger looks decent and has power. Sano is only on the card because he is a friend of Nick Diaz.

 

[TheGrouch]

Semelsberger looks decent and has power. Sano is only on the card because he is a friend of Nick Diaz.

This. Sano was pure cringe at the weigh-in too. I'd be surprised if he lasts more than 2 rounds.

 

[M.U.S.C.L.E.]

Semelsberger looks decent and has power. Sano is only on the card because he is a friend of Nick Diaz.

Agreed, Semelsberger is a good prospect.
But does Dana really do favors for the Diaz Brothers (or anybody other than himself)?
Albeit, I can't come up with another explanation for his presence on the card.

 

[M.U.S.C.L.E.]

This. Sano was pure cringe at the weigh-in too. I'd be surprised if he lasts more than 2 rounds.

Looks pretty normal to me. I must admit I'm not good at staredown/weigh-in analysis.
https://www.youtube.com/embed/EL5WQB_4sTw?start=487
Sorry, I can't figure out how to embed the timestamped video. It is at 8:07 of the video.