- Belfort was summarily destroyed by Silva. Bisping is well established to lose fights against marquee talent - Hendo, Wand, Shad, Sonnen... Belfort is in good company in beating him but thats how his entire career has played out. It's not title fight material if you've already lost to Silva. At least one more fight, perhaps two
- Lombard lost his first fight and is now 1-1 in the UFC, and the last guy he beat was coming off a fantastical stoppage loss of his own. So he lost his first fight, then beats a guy coming off a loss, who's never beaten a single person of consequence. C'mon son. He's 2 fights away minimum.
- Costa has a solid win, but prior to that he's fought no one meaningful and he lost his debut. Boetsch was a weird fight that had a big eye poke and head butt working in his favor... he's a minimum of two fights out, and will be a dog in his next big fight in Vegas against any top 5
- Jacare has fought exactly two meaningful people in his career and he's lost to them both. He looked to have a serious gas tank problem against Luke and Mousassi KO'd him full on unconscious with an up-kick of all things. No disrespect to Tim Kennedy by he isn't a meaningful win. A gang of people at WW and MW have destroyed Lawler, get real. Nobody takes that seriously.
Weidman is 5-0 in the UFC, undefeated in his career, looks to have power in his hands, excellent wrestling and a slick submission game. His last two wins were beating a ranked Maia on short notice and then absolutely destroying a top 5 Munoz in cold, calculated fashion.
He's the pack leader by a mile. He is the #1 contender with another win