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To be fair the Goes fight didn't go quite as people remember, Coleman didn't just blast him with knees but rather kept control after the stuffed takedown and worked him with hard GnP before switching to knees to finish. If Coleman was that clueless Goes should have been able to do something from that position. Elsewhere I wouldn't dismiss Don Frye's submission ability, that was how he was picking up a good amount of his wins and he couldn't do anything to Coleman. Pete Williams as well whilst he outlasted Coleman couldn't really do anything much on the ground but stall.
Again I think just how good Cormiers defence is would be questionable because it simply hasn't been tested very much, he spent awhile on the ground with Barnett but Josh isn't really known for a threat off of his back. Without knowing that the whole fight is a massive unknown for me.
I would say as well a potentially big issue is cardio as well, Fedor simply won't let someone fight at a slow pace against him, even if they have top control he'll be looking for escapes and forcing them to work. if DC has to work at that kind of pace for 10+ mins I suspect cardio will start to become an issue and if I picked a result it would be Fedor via GnP or RNC latter in the fight.
The point with Goes is that he never reached full guard and therefore wasn't afford an opportunity to work from the bottom. The subject we were talking about was Coleman's level of submission defence, which he didn't get to show in that fight.
As far as Don Frye goes, we must make the distinction between dominant position submissions and submissions from guard, which was largely lacking back then for HWs. You yourself point out that Barnett is a fantastic submission guy, but not off his back.
DC is great at dictating the pace of a fight and I don't see Fedor being able to pressure him without getting wrapped up and taken down.
You can't have it both ways: you can't point out DC's lack of proving submission defence and ignore the fact that Fedor really hasn't done shit off his back. I mean take Fedor in this hypothetical match up, that's fine with me, but when I start hearing about the submission prowess of guys like Don Frye and Igor Vov off their back, you're metaphorically taking your own argument and putting a bullet in it's head.