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This is a tossup for me, Jacare lacks Smilin Sams KO power and killer instinct but I'd say their grappling is comparable. Hard to say who would take this fight.
Smilin Sam would have a high chance of winning that fight, especially based on his performance tonight
Honestly, even though Jacare has vastly improved I don't think his wrestling, ability to apply pressure, and striking arsenal is enough to beat Smilin' Sam. I'm leaning towards Alvey winning via KO inside two rounds, or he might even surprise us by submitting him.
Mark my words, Alvey wins this fight inside two rounds.