I actually really like Spencer as a prospect, but he's a smallish welterweight. He's got to find a way to use his speed and kickboxing to win this fight. Ultimately though, Natal probably takes down the primary striker like he did against Kuiper, and uses his BJJ to win. Spencer's has solid TDD, but he's ceding a lot of size in this match, and he's kind of green when it comes to BJJ. He kept giving up his back against Evan Cutts, and his one loss is by triangle. Especially at this weight he doesn't have the one strike KO power to threaten Natal either, unlike Kuiper and Craig. He's a punches in bunches, lateral movement guy. Hopefully this probable loss doesn't ruin Spencer. He has a future at WW as at least a mid tier guy. He might even be upper mid to a contender at LW. If he was going in one direction, it should have been down. He's doing what it takes to get his foot in the UFC door. Hopefully it works out for him in the end.