Reyes is not winning a decision without at least 2 very dominant rounds, which is very unlikely. Most of the time judges already go for the champion in close rounds, but they are going to be especially biased towards a long time champion like Jones. Therefore, winning in terms of output is probably not the way to go.
This is the problem. Jones has a great chin, but he can get out-boxed, as Gustafsson showed in the first fight. Reyes' best chance of victory is a UD, in my opinion - basically keeping distance and utilising his kicks and boxing to out point him. Therein lies the problem - that requires great cardio and I don't think he has it.
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