st pierre will obviously be the favorite vs any ww and rightly so but there are a few serious factors to consider
1 - I believe hendricks had the flu when he fought koscheck and was nowhere near 100%
2 - when gsp fought koscheck that 1st time no one thought of him as a wrestler and the idea of him beating koscheck with wrestling was ludicrous - koscheck didn't train his wrestling at all for that fight - he worked purely on stand up - the results are known by all - however, when the 2nd fight rolled around koscheck knew better and the results were dramatically different concerning the ground game - koscheck repeatedly stuffed st pierre's td attempts and was quickly back to his feet when he was taken down - st pierre attempted 9 td's and was only successful with 4 and as stated, he could not keep koscheck on the ground - st pierre's inability to land a TD or do anything with the few he made prompted him to simply give up on the ground game and just stick with the striking battle that he was winning anyway - for koscheck's part he really wanted the ko and therefore only attempted 4 and landed 1
3 - DO NOT expect st pierre to have any better luck with hendricks regarding the ground game - In fact, considering that 2nd fight with koscheck and Hendrick's condition against Koscheck - It might go slightly worse - Also, koscheck 2 happened before the knee - st pierre and his team did a remarkable job with that knee but it's still compromised - Medical science is simply not at that point where it can fashion or repair a joint that is equal to nature's own - the knee doesn't work as well hence neither does gsp - it's a true testament to the extreme rarity and ability of athlete's like gsp and adrian peterson doing what they've done after such extreme repairs but they're still human - there's a reason every nfl analyst is calling peterson a walking miracle and regardless, there's no way he hasn't lost a few years off his career as a result - and st pierre looked great against condit but condit is no wrestler which leads to 4
4 - the prospect of having to stand and trade with hendricks for 25 minutes is no joke - he only needs 1 - he's also a smarter stand up fighter than koscheck and keeping him at the end of that jab all night is a very daunting prospect
this fight is a lot closer, and hendrick's chances are a lot better, than people give him credit for
st pierre always says it but this time it's true: this is his most dangerous opponent to date
and i'm a big gsp fan