Predict this summer's box office bombs

Discussion in 'Mayberry Lounge' started by kidcas, May 21, 2014.

  1. kidcas

    kidcas Blue Belt

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    Last summer you had Lone Ranger, After Earth and White House Down(which I liked). You could count RIPD too but I didnt consider that a major tentpole type release. So what will be the casualties of this summer?

    #1 Jupiter Ascending - Tatum isn't a draw as an action star as WHD last summer showed. GI Joe doesnt count cuz that has a built in fan base. The Wach brothers havent had much box office success outside of the matrix. Speed Racer, Cloud Atlas all under performed.

    #2 Edge of tomorrow - tom cruise is no longer a huge draw as an action star, unless its an established property like Mission Impossible. oblivion and jack reacher both underperformed and i think the trend will continue.

    After these it gets harder, August releases usually aren't tent poles with high expectations, so IDK about expendables 3 or TMNT.

    Guardians of the Galaxy and Hercules have my doubts about, but I'm not sure.
     
    Last edited: May 21, 2014
  2. Dragonlordxxxxx

    Dragonlordxxxxx Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    Edge of Tomorrow seems to be tracking very poorly.

    Regardless, it's still one of my most anticipated films this summer.


     
  3. Rob Battisti

    Rob Battisti HR for HR

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    I worry about Hercules but GOTG will destroy the Box Office
     
  4. Dragonlordxxxxx

    Dragonlordxxxxx Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    Well if you considered After Earth as a major tentpole release, then you should also include R.I.P.D. since both have the same $130 million production budget.

    R.I.P.D. ($78 million worldwide gross) was bigger flop than After Earth ($243 million worldwide) also.
     
  5. kidcas

    kidcas Blue Belt

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    good point, include RIPD in the list of bombs. I was thinking After Earth had higher expectations (it had will smith, mr. summer box office) but didnt consider the budgets.
     
  6. kidcas

    kidcas Blue Belt

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    Is the fan base for GOTG that big?
     
  7. Dreihkon

    Dreihkon The good kind of weird

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    The fan base is sizeable already and their PR has been really good so far.
     
  8. thebluerider

    thebluerider caelgender ftw

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    jkmtr will be the biggest bomb
     
  9. MC Paul Barman

    MC Paul Barman Gold Belt Platinum Member

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  10. MC Paul Barman

    MC Paul Barman Gold Belt Platinum Member

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    Weird.... it won't let me capitalize both the "I" and "D"
     
  11. MC Paul Barman

    MC Paul Barman Gold Belt Platinum Member

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    tha fuhhh??
     
  12. NAKMUAY18

    NAKMUAY18 Brown Belt

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    Jupiter Ascending. Who's going to watch it other than Sci-fi geeks. Everything after the first Matrix has killed the wach bros. It looks like a kids film that kids can't watch, and the previews look jumbled and confusing, as per everthing Wach.
     
  13. Rob Battisti

    Rob Battisti HR for HR

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    The fan base doesn't need to be big.

    1. Its Marvel
    2. Its being promoted masterfully
    3. Appeals to kids and adults alike
    4. Cross-promotion with merchandise is going to be unbelievable
    5. Decent star-power
    6. Quintessential Summer flick


    I only go out to theaters maybe 4 times a year. I'll definitely be seeing this one.
     
  14. The Mookster

    The Mookster Green Belt

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    Cant wait for the new X-men and The Edge of Tomorrow looks totally awesome..

    I think Jupiter Ascending may have success with the same demographic that watches Twilight and all those other teenage girl movies.

    As for Guardians of the Galaxy... I grew up reading Marvel Comic books and I had never heard of this franchise until they made a movie out of it... and the biggest star in the movie is Bautista from WWE. Not sure how well its going to do....
     
  15. Rob Battisti

    Rob Battisti HR for HR

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    You have to have at least 1 non-capital letter in a post to allow for caps
     
  16. Project 2501

    Project 2501 Brown Belt

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    I hope tmnt bombs horribly.
     
  17. Fatt Hughes

    Fatt Hughes Brown Belt

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    and GOTG is part of the MCU and will probably have a teaser for next years Avengers. So that should carry it pretty well. It's not going to be Capt 2 big though.

    Edge of Tomorrow should have been pushed to later August. It's going to get crushed, and no one is buying Tom Cruise as a badass action hero anymore. This considering i'm a Tom Cruise fan.

    Hercules will be a moderate success in the same category as Scorpion King. I don't think audiences were asking for an other Hercules flick. Take away The Rock, add in any other actor, and the movie bombs miserably.
     
  18. kidcas

    kidcas Blue Belt

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    channing tatum looks really out of place. i'm not sure even his female fans will come out for this. this would be two summer bombs for him in a row.
     
  19. kidcas

    kidcas Blue Belt

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    just curious, why? cuz its produced by michael bay? cuz its a reboot?
     
  20. LEWIS540

    LEWIS540 .

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    Chriss, Pratt, Vin Diesel, Bradley Cooper, Benicio del Toro, Glenn Close, Djimon Hounsou, John C Reily, Michael Rooker, Zoe Zaldana,................yeah Batista is the star.
     

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