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Predict this summer's box office bombs

Discussion in 'Mayberry Lounge' started by kidcas, May 21, 2014.

  1. kidcas Blue Belt

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    Last summer you had Lone Ranger, After Earth and White House Down(which I liked). You could count RIPD too but I didnt consider that a major tentpole type release. So what will be the casualties of this summer?

    #1 Jupiter Ascending - Tatum isn't a draw as an action star as WHD last summer showed. GI Joe doesnt count cuz that has a built in fan base. The Wach brothers havent had much box office success outside of the matrix. Speed Racer, Cloud Atlas all under performed.

    #2 Edge of tomorrow - tom cruise is no longer a huge draw as an action star, unless its an established property like Mission Impossible. oblivion and jack reacher both underperformed and i think the trend will continue.

    After these it gets harder, August releases usually aren't tent poles with high expectations, so IDK about expendables 3 or TMNT.

    Guardians of the Galaxy and Hercules have my doubts about, but I'm not sure.
     
    Last edited: May 21, 2014
  2. Dragonlordxxxxx Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    Edge of Tomorrow seems to be tracking very poorly.

    Regardless, it's still one of my most anticipated films this summer.


     
  3. Rob Battisti HR for HR

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    I worry about Hercules but GOTG will destroy the Box Office
     
  4. Dragonlordxxxxx Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    Well if you considered After Earth as a major tentpole release, then you should also include R.I.P.D. since both have the same $130 million production budget.

    R.I.P.D. ($78 million worldwide gross) was bigger flop than After Earth ($243 million worldwide) also.
     
  5. kidcas Blue Belt

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    good point, include RIPD in the list of bombs. I was thinking After Earth had higher expectations (it had will smith, mr. summer box office) but didnt consider the budgets.
     
  6. kidcas Blue Belt

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    Is the fan base for GOTG that big?
     
  7. The fan base is sizeable already and their PR has been really good so far.
     
  8. thebluerider caelgender ftw

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    jkmtr will be the biggest bomb
     
  9. MC Paul Barman Gold Belt Platinum Member

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  10. MC Paul Barman Gold Belt Platinum Member

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    Weird.... it won't let me capitalize both the "I" and "D"
     
  11. MC Paul Barman Gold Belt Platinum Member

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    tha fuhhh??
     
  12. NAKMUAY18 Brown Belt

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    Jupiter Ascending. Who's going to watch it other than Sci-fi geeks. Everything after the first Matrix has killed the wach bros. It looks like a kids film that kids can't watch, and the previews look jumbled and confusing, as per everthing Wach.
     
  13. Rob Battisti HR for HR

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    The fan base doesn't need to be big.

    1. Its Marvel
    2. Its being promoted masterfully
    3. Appeals to kids and adults alike
    4. Cross-promotion with merchandise is going to be unbelievable
    5. Decent star-power
    6. Quintessential Summer flick


    I only go out to theaters maybe 4 times a year. I'll definitely be seeing this one.
     
  14. The Mookster Green Belt

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    Cant wait for the new X-men and The Edge of Tomorrow looks totally awesome..

    I think Jupiter Ascending may have success with the same demographic that watches Twilight and all those other teenage girl movies.

    As for Guardians of the Galaxy... I grew up reading Marvel Comic books and I had never heard of this franchise until they made a movie out of it... and the biggest star in the movie is Bautista from WWE. Not sure how well its going to do....
     
  15. Rob Battisti HR for HR

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    You have to have at least 1 non-capital letter in a post to allow for caps
     
  16. Project 2501 Brown Belt

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    I hope tmnt bombs horribly.
     
  17. Fatt Hughes Brown Belt

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    and GOTG is part of the MCU and will probably have a teaser for next years Avengers. So that should carry it pretty well. It's not going to be Capt 2 big though.

    Edge of Tomorrow should have been pushed to later August. It's going to get crushed, and no one is buying Tom Cruise as a badass action hero anymore. This considering i'm a Tom Cruise fan.

    Hercules will be a moderate success in the same category as Scorpion King. I don't think audiences were asking for an other Hercules flick. Take away The Rock, add in any other actor, and the movie bombs miserably.
     
  18. kidcas Blue Belt

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    channing tatum looks really out of place. i'm not sure even his female fans will come out for this. this would be two summer bombs for him in a row.
     
  19. kidcas Blue Belt

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    just curious, why? cuz its produced by michael bay? cuz its a reboot?
     
  20. LEWIS540 .

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    Chriss, Pratt, Vin Diesel, Bradley Cooper, Benicio del Toro, Glenn Close, Djimon Hounsou, John C Reily, Michael Rooker, Zoe Zaldana,................yeah Batista is the star.
     

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