I know its early but any thoughts on some of the womens fights on UFC 251?
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As for my prediction, I kind of think Paige is going to win. I definitely wouldn't be surprised if Ribas won, and I'm pretty cool with either winning from a fan standpoint. I just think Paige is the bigger, stronger, more athletic fighter who has faced stiffer competition and has a lot to prove. Her size and her pressure I think will be a lot for Ribas to handle.
Well I've seen quite a few ppl say stuff 'Paige is bigger so he has a chance', quite a few of them were at least semi-knowledgeable MMA fans too, still it surprised me how many ppl think she has a glimmer of a chance
Anyway you have a full house of seeing things the opposite way to me, it's funny how people can view reality completely the opposite to one another eh?
Here's what I see:
'Paige is bigger' - she fought most her career at 115, only the last 2 were at 125, about the time she got fake tits...
- 2 of Ribas's 3 UFC fights were: Whitmire (was on TUF 125), Dern (infamous weight issues...)
So, not big enough in a way to matter IMO.
-'Stronger, more athletic'
Paige is above average athletically but Amanda is mean and lean, a fighting machine, and was on the Brazil national judo team, Paige isn't on that level athletically IMO (more like 'best cheerleader in high school' level).
'faced stiffer competition' here I disagree STRONGLY! Well, I guess you could say Paige fought stiff competition like Torres, Rose, Waterson... but she was also completely, helplessly, destroyed by them.
Meanwhile, Randa Markos fought fighters like Gadelha, Esparza, Kowalkiewicz, Ansaroff, Rodriguez etc, etc, even when she lost she usually at least won a round or it was sort of 'close'. Nobody ever destroyed her. Ribas DESTROYED her. Even Drake Riggs had to give Ribas TWO 10-8 rounds in that fight (probably whilst sobbing uncontrollably).
Dern would also smoosh PVZ with great ease IMO.
So... even if PVZ did face tougher comp... she only showed she was nowhere near their league, while Ribas showed she was
far above perennial a top 10 gatekeeper (Markos) and onetime best female BJJer in the world (Dern). Paige could never get such results.
As for 'pressure'... yes Paige's pressure works OK when she's fighting bums but all that will do here is get Paige dumped on her head by Ribas's Judo.
I honestly can't envisage a win for Paige outside of:
(i) flying head kick a la the Bec fight; (ii) Ribas takes an awkward step and her frankenstein knee gives out and she loses via injury.
Those aren't very likely scenarios. Even at 1/10 odds Ribas is a free money offering, better than the stock market for investing right now lol
Other fights!
Rosa/Melo: Low level WMMA fight. Wait did I sound like a guy from the heavies there? Well.. it is though. Winner is looking to move into 'mid level WMMA fighter' status which is probably their ceiling. It should be a fun fight though. I'll go with the favorite (Rosa) but some upset potential perhaps.
Rose/Andrade: I think 3 rounds favours Rose, she only needs to dance around for 2 and not get planted on her head in the 3rd this time.
However apparently she isn't training with Whitman this time? That makes me much more doubtful of her chances.
I hope Rose does it anyway, Android is my least favorite WMMA fighter alongside Cyborg.