Official UFN 80, TUF 22, and UFC 194 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets! (Part V)

[Oblivian]

Part I here: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2...fc-194-betting-thread-post-your-bets-3112701/

Part II here: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2...etting-thread-post-your-bets-part-ii-3117155/

Part III here: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2...tting-thread-post-your-bets-part-iii-3120657/

Part IV here: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2...etting-thread-post-your-bets-part-iv-3122085/

Same drill as always - post bets, discuss bets/matchups, and other sports in spoilers.

Spoiler

Singles
Aldo: $12.50 to win $17.50 Loss
Dunham: $11.25 to win $6.43 $17.68
Jim Miller: $10 to win $10 Loss
Jacare: $10 to win $5.88 Loss
Ryan Hall: $7.50 to win $13.50 $21
Rockhold: $7.50 to win $12.63 $20.13
Medeiros: $7.50 to win $12.63 $20.13
PVZ/Rose ITD: $6.25 to win $4.81 $11.06
Anderson: $5 to win $4.55 $9.55
Rogers: $5 to win $4 $9
Edgar: $5 to win $3.33 $8.33
PVZ: $5 to win $3.13 Loss
Santos (scorecards = no action): $3.75 to win $4.88 $3.75
Marcin: $3.75 to win $4.69 Loss
Howard: $2.50 to win $7 Loss
Edgar/Mendes under 4.5: $2.50 to win $4 $6.50
Barboza: $2.50 to win $3.63 Loss
Coy/Roberts over 2.5: $2.50 to win $3.13 Loss
Karkhanyan: $2.50 to win $2.88 Loss
Curran via decision: $2.50 to win $2.62 Loss
Herrera $2.50 to win $2.27 $4.77
Beck: $1.25 to win $8.44 Loss
Kevin Casey: $1.25 to win $3 $1.25
Thomson/Villaseca over 2.5: $1.25 to win $2.19 Loss
Morono: $1.25 to win $2.13 $3.38
Soto: $1.25 to win $2.10 Loss
Moraes: $1.25 to win $1.56 $2.81

Risk of $125 $139.34

Parlays
Northcutt + Lee + Faber: $10 to win $5.07 Loss
Field over Spieth (Hero World Tour) + McGee: $7.50 to win $7.13 $14.63
Tukhogov + Sterling + Field over Reed (Hero World Tour): $6.25 to win $4.83 $11.08
Kawijiri + Not Mendes Dec: $6.25 to win $3.98 $10.23
Gonz/Konstantin ITD + Pierce/Laflare over 2.5: $6.25 to win $3.65 Loss
Hall/Lobov ITD + Townsend: $5 to win $4.20 Loss
Mustafaev + Torres: $5 to win $3.91 $8.91
Faber + Aldo/McGreg ITD: $5 to win $3.08 $8.08
Lloveras/Greutzmacher over 2.5 + Aldo/McGregor ITD: $3.75 to win $3.81 $7.56
Sterling + Not Lauzon Dec + Not Holloway Rd 1: $3.75 to win $1.99 $5.74
Field over Watson (Hero World Tour) + Rogers/Zwicker ITD: $3.75 to win $3.20 Loss
Ponz + Rose/PVZ starts 2: $2.50 to win $1.96 $4.46
Alves (scorecards = no action) + Maia/Nelson Rd 1: $2.50 to win $2.26 $4.76

Risk of $67.50 $75.45

TOTAL RISK OF $192.50 $214.79

TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $203.63 Running Profit: $108.63 Approximate ROI for year 2.5595%)
TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2654.14 Total Profit = $2635.14 (Approximate ROI: 12.6159%)

 

[TimCoreCombat]

What is the consensus on Alves/Covington?

 

[null]

I cleaned up on the under 2½ rounds there.

Mustafaev Fastest KO has a chance! ---> Magomed Mustafaev wins Fastest KO (+900) $10.00 for $90.00

 

[SalvadorAllende]

ok.. I have Lee on a parlay. I think he is a future top 10. Top talent in the division.

 

[Tebowned]

That seemed about as expected.

 

[kenCs]

Lol called 1st round TKO/KO. Musta is a beast.

 

[Ukram]

I cleaned up on the under 2½ rounds there.

Mustafaev Fastest KO has a chance! ---> Magomed Mustafaev wins Fastest KO (+900) $10.00 for $90.00

Nice catch, think it hits

 

[wack3d]

santos next line too good not to try

 

[Ukram]

Think we got a 15 minute break ?

 

[Subli]

I'll fade the rusky next fight. Proctor simply couldn't survive the onslaught.

 

[UAK]

ok.. I have Lee on a parlay. I think he is a future top 10. Top talent in the division.

i also think highly of him but the odds are so shitty so no bet.

 

[wack3d]

adding tiny bet on santos sub +1425

 

[betterthanjones]

lol who the hell's colvington god I don't even follow enough MMA these days. But damn, I thought Alves was gonna be a better prospect than he is now coming into the UFC.

 

[cs02132]

Fuck I missed out on the over in the makdessi fight. Didn't know it was o1.5

 

[Sushi Mane]

anyone strongly disagree with any of:
Weidman, Souza, Gunnar? Those are my hunches. Also I would kind of lean McGregor but probably no bet.

 

[BrizzoBoi]

Anyone have strong opinion on the covington alves fight? i feel like alves should win but performs pretty inconsistently

 

[Tebowned]

lol who the hell's colvington god I don't even follow enough MMA these days. But damn, I thought Alves was gonna be a better prospect than he is now coming into the UFC.

Weidman-Lite

 

[TimCoreCombat]

anyone strongly disagree with any of:
Weidman, Souza, Gunnar? Those are my hunches. Also I would kind of lean McGregor but probably no bet.

The only one I agree with is Souza fwiw. That seems to be consistent itd as well.

 

[betterthanjones]

Weidman-Lite

So he's good?

 

[wack3d]

my bets for the maincard.. will keep it small on most of them and look out for some juicy livebets

aldo
rock
souza
maia (not sure yet)
torres dec
alves
santos