Official UFN 59 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets! (Part III)

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by Oblivian, Jan 18, 2015.

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  1. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Part I: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/official-ufn-59-betting-thread-post-your-bets-2904183/

    Part II: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/official-ufn-59-betting-thread-post-your-bets-part-ii-2914239/

    Same drill as always - post bets, discuss bets/matchups, and other sports in spoilers.

    Results in green. Green is win + risk. I bet a total of $95 and walked away with $143.91 for a profit of $48.91 (51.5%).

    Singles
    Soriano: $7.50 to win $7.88 Loss
    Karakhanyan: $7.50 to win $6.82 $14.32
    Tibau: $7.50 to win $6.25 $13.75
    Larkin: $7.50 to win $5.56 $13.06
    Bendo/Cerrone over 2.5: $7.50 to win $3.95 $11.45
    Siver/McGregor starts 2: $5 to win $4.76 $9.76
    Pendred: $3.75 to win $5.25 $9
    Zwicker: $3.75 to win $4.88 $8.63
    Straus: $2.50 to win $4.50 Loss
    Alvin Robinson: $1.25 to win $2.69 Loss
    Morales: $1.25 to win $2.75 Loss
    Chidi: $1.25 to win $1.88 $3.13
    Kornberger: $1.25 to win $2.50 Loss
    Matsuda: $1.25 to win $1.81 Loss
    Dickman: $1.25 to win $1.69 2.94

    Risk of $50.00 $86.04

    Parlays
    Wade + Hall: $6.25 to win $3.21 7.90
    Field over Simpson (Sony) + Shields + McGregor points handicap: $6.25 to win $3.41 $9.66
    Field over Bubba (Hyundai) + O'Connell: $5 to win $3.80 $8.80
    Wade + Holohan: $5 to win $3.53 $8.53
    Zaromskis + Siver/McGregor doesn't start 4: $3.75 to win $3.40 Loss
    Colts (over Bengals) + Hall + McGregor ITD: $3.75 to win $4.43 $6.83
    Field over Henley (Hyundai) + Sanchez/Matsuda starts 3 + Van Burren/O'Connell ITD: $3.50 to win $3.50 $7
    Nunez + Not Hall Rd 1 + Colts (over Pats): $2.50 to win $10.83 Loss
    Not Hall Rd 1 + Pendred/Spencer starts 2 + Tibau/Parke starts 2: $2.50 to win $2.51 Loss
    Field over Johnson (Hyundai) + Frankie Perez: $1.50 to win $3.24 Loss
    Davis Jr. + Cerrone: $1.25 to win $3.77 $5.02
    Field over Walker (Hyundai) + Cerrone: $1.25 to win $2.88 $4.13
    Field over Walker (Sony) + Not Hall Rd 1: $1.25 to win $2.31 Loss
    Field over Walker (Sony) + Matsuda +3.5: $1.25 to win $3 Loss

    Risk of $45 $57.87

    TOTAL RISK OF $95 $143.91

    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $144.40 Running Profit: $49.40 (Approximate ROI for year 30.78%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2605.78 Total Profit = $2576.78 (Approximate ROI: 14.191%)
     
    Last edited: Jan 19, 2015
  2. Minnja

    Minnja Touch-Butt white belt Platinum Member

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    Not placing any last minute bets, gonna just take my winnings for tonight

    [​IMG]
     
  3. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Case probably looked like one of the best bets for the night. He seemed in complete control. He looked huge out there.
     
  4. SalvadorAllende

    SalvadorAllende Paper belt

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    I am one hundred percent tonight but I have a lot of money on Conor via TKO... good night for now, I should keep it that way but could not help go heavy on GOAT.
     
  5. ivanilich

    ivanilich Green Belt

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    Hahaha Idk, man. Sure Rogan has been to many more figths in Vegas than me, but his eyebrow was literally falling over his eye. One could easily stick two fingers into that cut. I found the stoppage correct.
     
  6. 12thMan

    12thMan Green Belt

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    I wanted you to checkout my site because I thought you were a really nice guy and I really valued your opinion. Begging is a bit of a nasty word to use don't you think? I was trying to be nice to you. It looks like it got thrown back in my face.

    You're the one that's coming after me here mate. I have NEVER come after you. Why don't you check my post history and see about that for yourself?

    You can ban me all you want mate. I'll just keep signing up. You can't ban anyone from anything on the internet. It's impossible.

    I love this place, I love discussing fights and I feel like I add some value to this thread, but every now and again I get attacked and when that happens I'll always fight my corner.

    You started this dude, why can't you just leave me alone?

    You are seriously bagging on me for saying that Cathal Pendred was a terrible bet?

    There's just no need for it. I come here to discuss fights, not to get bullied. Go pick a fight with someone else.
     
  7. Subli

    Subli Black Belt

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    Hope Cowboy starts slow so i can LB him at good odds. +120 is just too low for a 15 days notice fight against a guy who beat you twice.
     
  8. Hughesjm1230

    Hughesjm1230 Purple Belt

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    Win 1/18/15 9:30pm Live In-Play Fighting 1402 Cathal Pendred +260* vs Sean Spencer 287937258-1 1/18/15 9:07pm Win 1/18/15 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Lorenz Larkin -185* vs John Howard

    287913910-11/18/15 7:59pm 2 Team Parlay
    Win 1/18/15 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1602 Chris Wade -600* vs Zhang Lipeng
    Win 1/18/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1702 Paddy Holohan -350* vs Shane Howell

    287909036-11/18/15 7:31pm Win 1/18/15 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 John Case -170* vs Frankie Perez

    287905891-1 1/18/15 7:16pm Loss 1/18/15 7:00pm Live In-Play Fighting 1901 Sean Soriano -260* vs Charles Rosa

    287864071-1 1/18/15 6:28pm 1/18/15 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1901 Sean Soriano +120* vs Charles Rosa

    287739969-1 1/18/15 3:01am Win 1/18/15 6:00pm UFC Fighting 2102 Joby Sanchez -175* vs Tateki Matsuda

    Bets so far tonight. Up about 500 going into the the last two fights. Will be up more if Connor wins ITD.
     
  9. Ukram

    Ukram Silver Belt

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    We Win and we Loose its the game

    Now lets see how cowboy and bendo does- If I see bendo getting take downs and grappling well may start lb him but cowboys killer instinct keeps me concerned.

    edit: dont see cowboy sweating as if he has done 1-2 rounds in the back like last time, this worked out well with cowboy since he is a slow or sluggish starter....
     
  10. Diet Otsuka

    Diet Otsuka Red Belt

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    Between Rosa, Tibau, Pendred, Joby I've been sweating seeing any of my money come back.

    The big burn was on Doomsday and a couple long shots I couldn't resist.

    Down a couple bucks, should have stayed more conservative, but cowboy should get the ship righted, hopefully.
     
  11. wack3d

    wack3d Silver Belt

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    lets go cowboy!!! man i will be so happy if cowboy gets this. he really deserve a crack at the title
     
  12. Sushi Mane

    Sushi Mane Green Belt

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    took bendo and bendo dec small. over pretty big
     
  13. Sushi Mane

    Sushi Mane Green Belt

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    Bendo being undervalued because people dont like him and love cowboy. he also came off of a loss im expecting a bounce back
     
  14. BluntTrauma21

    BluntTrauma21 Broner Brody / Pulev Posse

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    [​IMG]
     
  15. 12thMan

    12thMan Green Belt

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    I got 2 units on Cowboy and 1 unit on Cowboy inside the distance.

    Lets hope he can get this done!!!
     
  16. Tebowned

    Tebowned Boise Dime.

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    Only one underdog has won tonight and it was a hometown decision.
     
  17. Drop the Gloves

    Drop the Gloves White Belt

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    I'm having a good night betting (by my mid-level standards), so I went small on Cerrone.

    He's gotta win 1 out of 3 , doesn't he?
     
  18. Sushi Mane

    Sushi Mane Green Belt

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    not sure what you are inferring but you are correct
     
  19. Sushi Mane

    Sushi Mane Green Belt

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    rare to get a 2-0 guy in a trilogy at -135. couldnt pass.
     
  20. uppercutbus

    uppercutbus Red Belt

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    I've got 2 parlays:

    Tibau, Hall, Cerrone, Connor

    Tibau, Henderson, Connor

    Basically both cover any losses, with Henderson giving less so hopefully Cerrone wins. The only way I lose is if Siver beats Connor.
     
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