Official UFN 59 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets! (Part III)

[Oblivian]

Part I: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/official-ufn-59-betting-thread-post-your-bets-2904183/

Part II: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/official-ufn-59-betting-thread-post-your-bets-part-ii-2914239/

Same drill as always - post bets, discuss bets/matchups, and other sports in spoilers.

Spoiler

Results in green. Green is win + risk. I bet a total of $95 and walked away with $143.91 for a profit of $48.91 (51.5%).

Singles
Soriano: $7.50 to win $7.88 Loss
Karakhanyan: $7.50 to win $6.82 $14.32
Tibau: $7.50 to win $6.25 $13.75
Larkin: $7.50 to win $5.56 $13.06
Bendo/Cerrone over 2.5: $7.50 to win $3.95 $11.45
Siver/McGregor starts 2: $5 to win $4.76 $9.76
Pendred: $3.75 to win $5.25 $9
Zwicker: $3.75 to win $4.88 $8.63
Straus: $2.50 to win $4.50 Loss
Alvin Robinson: $1.25 to win $2.69 Loss
Morales: $1.25 to win $2.75 Loss
Chidi: $1.25 to win $1.88 $3.13
Kornberger: $1.25 to win $2.50 Loss
Matsuda: $1.25 to win $1.81 Loss
Dickman: $1.25 to win $1.69 2.94

Risk of $50.00 $86.04

Parlays
Wade + Hall: $6.25 to win $3.21 7.90
Field over Simpson (Sony) + Shields + McGregor points handicap: $6.25 to win $3.41 $9.66
Field over Bubba (Hyundai) + O'Connell: $5 to win $3.80 $8.80
Wade + Holohan: $5 to win $3.53 $8.53
Zaromskis + Siver/McGregor doesn't start 4: $3.75 to win $3.40 Loss
Colts (over Bengals) + Hall + McGregor ITD: $3.75 to win $4.43 $6.83
Field over Henley (Hyundai) + Sanchez/Matsuda starts 3 + Van Burren/O'Connell ITD: $3.50 to win $3.50 $7
Nunez + Not Hall Rd 1 + Colts (over Pats): $2.50 to win $10.83 Loss
Not Hall Rd 1 + Pendred/Spencer starts 2 + Tibau/Parke starts 2: $2.50 to win $2.51 Loss
Field over Johnson (Hyundai) + Frankie Perez: $1.50 to win $3.24 Loss
Davis Jr. + Cerrone: $1.25 to win $3.77 $5.02
Field over Walker (Hyundai) + Cerrone: $1.25 to win $2.88 $4.13
Field over Walker (Sony) + Not Hall Rd 1: $1.25 to win $2.31 Loss
Field over Walker (Sony) + Matsuda +3.5: $1.25 to win $3 Loss

Risk of $45 $57.87

TOTAL RISK OF $95 $143.91

TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $144.40 Running Profit: $49.40 (Approximate ROI for year 30.78%)
TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2605.78 Total Profit = $2576.78 (Approximate ROI: 14.191%)

 

[Minnja]

Not placing any last minute bets, gonna just take my winnings for tonight

 

[Oblivian]

Case probably looked like one of the best bets for the night. He seemed in complete control. He looked huge out there.

 

[SalvadorAllende]

I am one hundred percent tonight but I have a lot of money on Conor via TKO... good night for now, I should keep it that way but could not help go heavy on GOAT.

 

[ivanilich]

As Rogan or Goldie said, the cut wasn't so bad that they would have stopped the fight in Vegas.

In other words, Boston has shitty doctors & judges.

What a bunch of potato-fuckers the people of Boston are.

:icon_lol:

Hahaha Idk, man. Sure Rogan has been to many more figths in Vegas than me, but his eyebrow was literally falling over his eye. One could easily stick two fingers into that cut. I found the stoppage correct.

 

[12thMan]

Because you are full of shit. I like you you are saying all of this now, when just a few weeks ago you were begging me to review your site and give you pointers. In fact, you offered me free membership to do it.

The ironic thing is that a mod asked me about banning you since you get reported so often for spamming your site. I told him not to, but I'm regretting that now. Unlucky for you, I have a pretty good memory. We can go through your post history of your previous accounts and how often you said "I'm not spamming my site as I don't even charge". And sure enough, you stick here long enough so that you start charging and you are trying to become some betting guru.

Since you like to talk shit about betting results too, why don't you go ahead and calculate your ROI on your running profit on your site. You artificially inflate results by using a ridiculous unit size (betting 30+ units per event), which you hope makes 99 units in profit seem high. The fact is that your results are pretty shitty and absolutely laughable for someone who tries to charge money for it.

I wanted you to checkout my site because I thought you were a really nice guy and I really valued your opinion. Begging is a bit of a nasty word to use don't you think? I was trying to be nice to you. It looks like it got thrown back in my face.

You're the one that's coming after me here mate. I have NEVER come after you. Why don't you check my post history and see about that for yourself?

You can ban me all you want mate. I'll just keep signing up. You can't ban anyone from anything on the internet. It's impossible.

I love this place, I love discussing fights and I feel like I add some value to this thread, but every now and again I get attacked and when that happens I'll always fight my corner.

You started this dude, why can't you just leave me alone?

You are seriously bagging on me for saying that Cathal Pendred was a terrible bet?

There's just no need for it. I come here to discuss fights, not to get bullied. Go pick a fight with someone else.

 

[Subli]

Hope Cowboy starts slow so i can LB him at good odds. +120 is just too low for a 15 days notice fight against a guy who beat you twice.

 

[Hughesjm1230]

Win 1/18/15 9:30pm Live In-Play Fighting 1402 Cathal Pendred +260* vs Sean Spencer 287937258-1 1/18/15 9:07pm Win 1/18/15 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Lorenz Larkin -185* vs John Howard

287913910-11/18/15 7:59pm 2 Team Parlay
Win 1/18/15 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1602 Chris Wade -600* vs Zhang Lipeng
Win 1/18/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1702 Paddy Holohan -350* vs Shane Howell

287909036-11/18/15 7:31pm Win 1/18/15 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 John Case -170* vs Frankie Perez

287905891-1 1/18/15 7:16pm Loss 1/18/15 7:00pm Live In-Play Fighting 1901 Sean Soriano -260* vs Charles Rosa

287864071-1 1/18/15 6:28pm 1/18/15 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1901 Sean Soriano +120* vs Charles Rosa

287739969-1 1/18/15 3:01am Win 1/18/15 6:00pm UFC Fighting 2102 Joby Sanchez -175* vs Tateki Matsuda

Bets so far tonight. Up about 500 going into the the last two fights. Will be up more if Connor wins ITD.

 

[Ukram]

We Win and we Loose its the game

Now lets see how cowboy and bendo does- If I see bendo getting take downs and grappling well may start lb him but cowboys killer instinct keeps me concerned.

edit: dont see cowboy sweating as if he has done 1-2 rounds in the back like last time, this worked out well with cowboy since he is a slow or sluggish starter....

 

[Diet Otsuka]

Between Rosa, Tibau, Pendred, Joby I've been sweating seeing any of my money come back.

The big burn was on Doomsday and a couple long shots I couldn't resist.

Down a couple bucks, should have stayed more conservative, but cowboy should get the ship righted, hopefully.

 

[wack3d]

lets go cowboy!!! man i will be so happy if cowboy gets this. he really deserve a crack at the title

 

[Sushi Mane]

took bendo and bendo dec small. over pretty big

 

[Sushi Mane]

Bendo being undervalued because people dont like him and love cowboy. he also came off of a loss im expecting a bounce back

 

[BluntTrauma21]

Because you are full of shit. I like you you are saying all of this now, when just a few weeks ago you were begging me to review your site and give you pointers. In fact, you offered me free membership to do it.

The ironic thing is that a mod asked me about banning you since you get reported so often for spamming your site. I told him not to, but I'm regretting that now. Unlucky for you, I have a pretty good memory. We can go through your post history of your previous accounts and how often you said "I'm not spamming my site as I don't even charge". And sure enough, you stick here long enough so that you start charging and you are trying to become some betting guru.

Since you like to talk shit about betting results too, why don't you go ahead and calculate your ROI on your running profit on your site. You artificially inflate results by using a ridiculous unit size (betting 30+ units per event), which you hope makes 99 units in profit seem high. The fact is that your results are pretty shitty and absolutely laughable for someone who tries to charge money for it.

 

[12thMan]

I got 2 units on Cowboy and 1 unit on Cowboy inside the distance.

Lets hope he can get this done!!!

 

[Tebowned]

Only one underdog has won tonight and it was a hometown decision.

 

[Drop the Gloves]

I'm having a good night betting (by my mid-level standards), so I went small on Cerrone.

He's gotta win 1 out of 3 , doesn't he?

 

[Sushi Mane]

Only one underdog has won tonight and it was a hometown decision.

not sure what you are inferring but you are correct

 

[Sushi Mane]

rare to get a 2-0 guy in a trilogy at -135. couldnt pass.

 

[uppercutbus]

I've got 2 parlays:

Tibau, Hall, Cerrone, Connor

Tibau, Henderson, Connor

Basically both cover any losses, with Henderson giving less so hopefully Cerrone wins. The only way I lose is if Siver beats Connor.