Official UFN 59 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets! (Part II)

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by Oblivian, Jan 16, 2015.

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  1. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Part I: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/official-ufn-59-betting-thread-post-your-bets-2904183/

    Same drill as always - post bets, discuss bets/matchups, and other sports in spoilers.

    Singles
    Soriano: $7.50 to win $7.88 Loss
    Karakhanyan: $7.50 to win $6.82 $14.32
    Tibau: $7.50 to win $6.25 $13.75
    Larkin: $7.50 to win $5.56 $13.06
    Bendo/Cerrone over 2.5: $7.50 to win $3.95
    Siver/McGregor starts 2: $5 to win $4.76
    Pendred: $3.75 to win $5.25 $9
    Zwicker: $3.75 to win $4.88 $8.63
    Straus: $2.50 to win $4.50 Loss
    Alvin Robinson: $1.25 to win $2.69 Loss
    Morales: $1.25 to win $2.75 Loss
    Chidi: $1.25 to win $1.88 $3.13
    Kornberger: $1.25 to win $2.50 Loss
    Matsuda: $1.25 to win $1.81 Loss
    Dickman: $1.25 to win $1.69 2.94

    Risk of $50.00

    Parlays
    Wade + Hall: $6.25 to win $3.21 7.90
    Field over Simpson (Sony) + Shields + McGregor points handicap: $6.25 to win $3.41
    Field over Bubba (Hyundai) + O'Connell: $5 to win $3.80 $8.80
    Wade + Holohan: $5 to win $3.53 $8.53
    Zaromskis + Siver/McGregor doesn't start 4: $3.75 to win $3.40 Loss
    Colts (over Bengals) + Hall + McGregor ITD: $3.75 to win $4.43
    Field over Henley (Hyundai) + Sanchez/Matsuda starts 3 + Van Burren/O'Connell ITD: $3.50 to win $3.50 $7
    Nunez + Not Hall Rd 1 + Colts (over Pats): $2.50 to win $10.83 Loss
    Not Hall Rd 1 + Pendred/Spencer starts 2 + Tibau/Parke starts 2: $2.50 to win $2.51
    Field over Johnson (Hyundai) + Frankie Perez: $1.50 to win $3.24 Loss
    Davis Jr. + Cerrone: $1.25 to win $3.77
    Field over Walker (Hyundai) + Cerrone: $1.25 to win $2.88
    Field over Walker (Sony) + Not Hall Rd 1: $1.25 to win $2.31 Loss
    Field over Walker (Sony) + Matsuda +3.5: $1.25 to win $3 Loss

    Risk of $45

    TOTAL RISK OF $95

    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $65.50, Running total is $65.99 Running Profit: $0.49 (Approximate ROI for year 0.75%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2556.87 Total Profit = $2527.87 (Approximate ROI: 13.995%)
     
    Last edited: Jan 18, 2015
  2. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    bellator 132 bets

    Bella 132 Risk: 1,030
    Freire -150: 300 for 200 / O4.5: 100 parlays / Straus
    Karakhanyan +115: 250 for 286.50 / O2.5: 100 parlays / Jenkins
    Zwicker -209: 100 for 47.74 / Alexander DEC: 30 for 108
    Gonzelez +125: 200 for 250 / Zaromskis
    parlays
    50 for 80.95 pitbull-straus O4.5 -150 & georgi-bubba O2.5 -175
    50 for 79.63 pitbull-straus O4.5 -150 & foster-shields O1.5 -180 (wsof 17)
    50 for 72.22 georgi-bubba O2.5 -175 & foster-shields O1.5 -180 (wsof 17)
     
    Last edited: Jan 16, 2015
  3. PuertoRican

    PuertoRican Silver Belt

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  4. Smoking TRT

    Smoking TRT Orange Belt

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    Huge if true
     
  5. PuertoRican

    PuertoRican Silver Belt

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    Nice TKO for Herrera. I almost took Bondole because he looks athletic.
     
  6. ninjadeathcult

    ninjadeathcult Black Belt

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    No worries maybe just chuck a small amount in to start with to get your head around the different markets and strategies and see how you go .

    It's a hard concept to get your head around at first but basically it is a betting exchange rather than a bookie. I am betting against other people on an outcome rather than against the bookie . Betfair are the exchange that allows me to connect with these people to gamble with. Betfair make (most) of their money by having small % fee's on some transactions.

    All bets are either "Back" or "Lay".

    "Back" means you are betting that it happens, "Lay" means betting that it does not happen.

    The interesting thing is that you can actually make money before an event even starts .

    I stupidly only chucked a tenner on Berdrych at odds of 110/1 (I did put more on him at different odds though) .

    But say just as an example say I only put that $10 on Berdrych at odds of 110 the change in the market means that I can "Lay" Berdrych right now at 40. Which breaks down $16/$17 up each way before the event even starts which I can cash in and walk away with that profit.

    [​IMG]

    Sorry for the long post I could go on and on about other strategies but you get the idea.

    The cashout option that I mentioned basically just hedges you out of whatever bet with the most amount of profit/Least amount of loss.
     
  7. PuertoRican

    PuertoRican Silver Belt

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    [​IMG]



    Fabian Gonzalez got cut over his eye like Raquel Pa'aluhi in her UFC debut. Coin slot status.

    It's not in a bad spot, but he's literally dripping blood at a fast rate.

    I wonder how much blood you can lose before you get tired or pass out.

    Edit - Fabian got submitted.
     
    Last edited: Jan 16, 2015
  8. PuertoRican

    PuertoRican Silver Belt

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    Yay for Derek Anderson~

    I think he was injured or something. He was gassed after round 1. In round 2, he hurt Navarro bad, but didn't turn up the heat to finish. He hurt Navarro bad in round 3, and kinda picked up the pace, but was still slow. Herb Dean had to stop the fight cuz Navarro kept wobbling and Dean felt sorry for him.
     
  9. Tebowned

    Tebowned Boise Dime.

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    The backup QB for the panthers?
     
  10. PuertoRican

    PuertoRican Silver Belt

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    Steve "Neo-Dennis Siver" Kozola with the TKO~
     
  11. chill doggie

    chill doggie Purple Belt

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    NBA

    Going huge Golden State Warriors -1.5
     
  12. Tebowned

    Tebowned Boise Dime.

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    EDIT

    Hey bro. I'll text you tonight. No homo.

    Tailing.

    Never mind missed it.

    Edit 2: Got them +1.5 @ -118. .25 unit for action.
     
    Last edited: Jan 16, 2015
  13. Subli

    Subli Black Belt

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    Bellator 132:

    Patricky decision 1u
    Bubba decision 1u
    Zwicker ITD 0.5u
    Whitemare 1u
     
  14. Subli

    Subli Black Belt

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    Kinda like Straus over Patricky but he only +180.. was expecting +300 or so.

    I think Pitbull fights safe here, may not go for an early finish.
     
  15. Sushi Mane

    Sushi Mane Green Belt

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    damn chill with that last minute shit haha
     
  16. PuertoRican

    PuertoRican Silver Belt

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    Everett Cummings's padded/fake record is showing in this fight. He better hope Jason Glaza gases out.

    Edit: lmao... Glaza gases out in the 2nd round after going for a crappy guillotine and then rolls over and gets RnC`ed. Cummings had no offense prior to the submission win.
     
  17. Tebowned

    Tebowned Boise Dime.

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    Wrong brother.
    If it was Patricky I'd go all in on STraus @ +180 haha.
     
  18. BluntTrauma21

    BluntTrauma21 Broner Brody / Pulev Posse

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    plays tonight

    Georgi
    Georgi itd
    Zwicker itd
    Straus


    GL boys.
     
  19. PuertoRican

    PuertoRican Silver Belt

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    Looks like Bookmaker removed all of the Bellator lines right at 6pm PST. They used to take away each fight one-by-one. Guess my original bets are final since I can't add anything else now.
     
  20. efalk1322

    efalk1322 Silver Belt

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    1.25u marius
     
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