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- Feb 8, 2012
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This is laughable. You're arguing that Indy to win the east when 1. They have a shit record against the collective eastern conference teams but that doesn't seem to bother you 2. You discount teams like the raptors and celtics when theyre CLEARLY far superior to the pacers, and 3. You're creating this narrative of expecting this team to just continue to improve throughout the year into a juggernaut when it's HIGHLY unlikely and there's zero reason to believe it's possible. In fact, its probably more likely that they regresswell no shit they are a combined 4-10, if they were 8-10 and on pace to win 55 then the fuk all that i would be getting 100/1 to win the east
look at okc with proven all star vets george and carmelo, more or less a 500 team before their recent five game win streak, whereas they won 57 percent of their games last year. indy has three new starters, four if sabonis can slide to the four and thaddeus moves to the three, so its going to take time. like i said, all their starters shoot in the high 40s and 1-4 can all shoot the 3.
and the east sucks.
i like their current roster now but if they somehow can get kemba and howard...indys a +2000 to win the east
https://hoopshabit.com/2018/01/22/nba-trade-rumors-7-potential-kemba-walker-trades/6/
You bet on them to win the east, not to be a >.500 win or playoff team. if you sit there with your bet and the pacers dont make it out of the first round, do you think the bet is +EV? Hell, i wouldnt be that confident in them making the playoffs, honestly. Vegas seems to think they wont, as they have the 9th highest implied probability of winning the East as of right now even though they are currently in 6th place (regression coming into play, maybe?).
All things considered, unless they get the most ideal scenario in the playoffs, theyre gonna have to go through 2 of the elite eastern conference teams in order for you to cash your ticket. Both times, they'd prob gonna be something like +500 to +800 to win the series. Unless they somehow finish in the 4 seed, they're guaranteed to be an underdog in the first round, too. So idk what to tell you. The odds add up