I think Rashad will have trouble with Lil Nog in the standup department. Evans better be going for the takedown early. I could see Lil Nog landing significantly in the opening moments and Rashad going into Michigan State mode.
Its a very interesting fight. Based on what he saw with Rogerio vs Bader and Davis, it makes sense to think that Rashad is the fav. Rashad is the better mma wrestler and striker then both.
Rogerio does have some great hands and solid power and that is something that is a big threat to Rashad who was downed by Silva and Rampage from strikes that didnt really seem that strong, so he is vulnerable.
I know for a fact that Rogerio is training hard and taking this fight very seriously. Aside from his usual training with his team and coaches in boxing and BJJ he is bringing in 2 Russian wrestlers, not sure who to work on that aspect of his game.
Both guys have great hands, Rashad has the wrestling, Rogerio the BJJ.
Part of my brain is saying this, I understand that. There is a part of me that has seen Lil Nog sprawl on guys early (Bader and Davis) and seen Rashad get rocked by guys in the standup (Silva and Rampage). I think Lil Nog is coming to fight and I think it can be competitive. I guess realistically, though, Rashad would win most of the time.