New study: Snowden’s disclosures about NSA spying had a scary effect on free speech

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New study: Snowden’s disclosures about NSA spying had a scary effect on free speech


By Jeff Guo April 27 at 9:13 AM



In June 2013, reporters at The Washington Post and the Guardian ran a series of stories about the U.S. government’s surveillance programs. According to documents leaked by Edward Snowden, the National Security Agency was harvesting huge swaths of online traffic — far beyond what had been disclosed — and was working directly with top Internet companies to spy on certain people.

Glenn Greenwald, one of the Guardian journalists who reported the disclosures and a surveillance skeptic, argued in a 2014 TED talk that privacy is a critical feature of open society. People act differently when they know they're being watched. “Essential to what it means to be a free and fulfilled human being is to have a place that we can go and be free of the judgmental eyes of other people,” he said.

Privacy advocates have argued that widespread government surveillance has had a “chilling effect” — it encourages meekness and conformity. If we think that authorities are watching our online actions, we might stop visiting certain websites or not say certain things just to avoid seeming suspicious.

The problem, though, is that it's difficult to judge the effect of government-spying programs. How do you collect all the utterances that people stopped themselves from saying? How do you count all the conversations that weren’t had?

A new study provides some insight into the repercussions of the Snowden revelations, arguing that they happened so swiftly and were so high-profile that they triggered a measurable shift in the way people used the Internet.

Jonathon Penney, a PhD candidate at Oxford, analyzed Wikipedia traffic in the months before and after the NSA’s spying became big news in 2013. Penney found a 20 percent decline in page views on Wikipedia articles related to terrorism, including those that mentioned “al-Qaeda,” “car bomb” or “Taliban.”

"You want to have informed citizens," Penney said. "If people are spooked or deterred from learning about important policy matters like terrorism and national security, this is a real threat to proper democratic debate."

Even though the NSA was supposed to target only foreigners, the immense scale of its operations caused many to worry that innocent Americans were getting caught in the dragnet. A Pew survey in 2015 showed that about 40 percent of Americans were “very” or “somewhat” concerned that the government was spying on their online activities.

The same survey showed that about 87 percent of American adults were aware of the Snowden news stories. Of those people, about a third said they had changed their Internet or phone habits as a result. For instance, 13 percent said they “avoided using certain terms” online; and 14 percent said they were having more conversations face to face instead of over the phone. The sudden, new knowledge about the surveillance programs had increased their concerns about their privacy.

Penney’s research, which is forthcoming in the Berkeley Technology Law Journal, echoes the results of a similar study conducted last year on Google Search data. Alex Marthews, a privacy activist, and Catherine Tucker, a professor at MIT’s business school, found that Google activity for certain keywords fell after the Snowden stories were splashed on every front page. Both in the United States and in other countries, people became reluctant to search for terrorism-related words such as “dirty bomb” or “pandemic.”

Penney focused on Wikipedia pages related to sensitive topics specifically flagged by the Department of Homeland Security. In a document provided to its analysts in 2011, the DHS listed 48 terrorism terms that they should use when “monitoring social media sites.” Penney collected traffic data on the English Wikipedia pages most closely related to those terms.

This chart from the paper shows how the number of views dropped after the June 2013 news articles. The amount of traffic immediately dropped and stayed low for the subsequent 14 months.


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To be clear, this traffic drop could have come from anywhere — Penney did not track the country of origin — but the United States accounts for 43 percent of English Wikipedia traffic, more than any other country.
Penney narrowed the list to the most suspicious-sounding articles, as judged by an online survey he administered. The results became even more dramatic.

Here, in black, are the combined monthly traffic totals for the Wikipedia pages related to the 31 top words on the DHS list. In the year and a half before the Snowden revelations, traffic to these pages was rising. After June 2013, traffic not only fell immediately, but continued to decline over the next dozen months.

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For comparison, the chart also shows the combined page views for 25 Wikipedia pages that are security-related but not terrorism-related. These are less provocative articles containing the words “Border patrol” or “Central Intelligence Agency.” There was a slight but statistically insignificant dip in traffic for these pages, which makes sense because people may not be as worried about visiting these kinds of pages.

The Wikipedia data suggest that the Snowden revelations had a noticeable impact on people’s Wikipedia behaviors, says Penney. “I expected to find an immediate drop-off in June, and then people would slowly realize that nobody is going to jail for viewing Wikipedia articles, and the traffic would go back up,” he said. “I was surprised to see what looks to be a longer-term impact from the revelations.”

Penney has provided evidence that spying programs, once the public knows about them, cause collateral damage. It’s unlikely, of course, that the patterns here were caused by actual terrorists changing their Internet habits.

Instead, the study suggests that the shift in Wikipedia traffic was the result of people who stifled their curious impulses because they didn’t want to seem like they were doing anything wrong. “This is measuring regular people who are being spooked by the idea of government surveillance online,” Penney said.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...nsa-spying-had-a-scary-effect-on-free-speech/

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I think we have all seen this effect here. Someone posts a link to some ISIS propaganda, or to a Wikileaks story, and people say "I won't click that, don't want to be on a watch list", or something to that effect.

The act of being observed is well sourced and documented to change people's behavoir.

So the next time you think to yourself, if you have nothing to hide, then why do you care.......The answer is that the act of being observed changes law abiding citizens behavoir.
 
In terms of mass surveillance, it works a lot better when people think they are being watched. This is sometimes referred to as a Panopticon

"The Panopticon is a type of institutional building designed by the English philosopher and social theorist Jeremy Bentham in the late 18th century. The concept of the design is to allow all (pan-) inmates of an institution to be observed (-opticon) by a single watchman without the inmates being able to tell whether or not they are being watched. Although it is physically impossible for the single watchman to observe all cells at once, the fact that the inmates cannot know when they are being watched means that all inmates must act as though they are watched at all times, effectively controlling their own behaviour constantly. The name is also a reference to Panoptes from Greek mythology; he was a giant with a hundred eyes and thus was known to be a very effective watchman."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panopticon



The point is to control populations. It isn't about Terrorism.

I suspect there is more to the celebrity status of Snowden.
 
I've felt the subtle effect personally (and I suspect all of us who are American have as well), so I'm inclined to believe this. When there's occasion to type "bomb" or "terrorist" or similar into google, if it's not related directly to a current news item, I feel that little shadow. I don't feel like I'm being watched, but I'm certainly aware that I could be tripping a wire somewhere. I have mixed feelings about that, because I want our spies to catch the bad guys, but I know that to some degree it crosses that line of liberty. It's somewhat surprising to me that our vast abuse of national spying has not met with some terrible unintended consequences. That tells me that the people running the show are probably the good guys. But only probably.

We'll have to see what happens with this FBI-NSA sharing program.
 
I definitely believe what the article is saying to be true.

I would argue this though

Jonathon Penney, a PhD candidate at Oxford, analyzed Wikipedia traffic in the months before and after the NSA’s spying became big news in 2013. Penney found a 20 percent decline in page views on Wikipedia articles related to terrorism, including those that mentioned “al-Qaeda,” “car bomb” or “Taliban.”

The reason for the decline could be because al-Qaeda was a tiny blip on the map in 2013, and the US was decreasing personnel in Afghanistan, so there wasn't much news being spread about the Taliban.

The premise of the article is awesome though.
 
In terms of mass surveillance, it works a lot better when people think they are being watched. This is sometimes referred to as a Panopticon

"The Panopticon is a type of institutional building designed by the English philosopher and social theorist Jeremy Bentham in the late 18th century. The concept of the design is to allow all (pan-) inmates of an institution to be observed (-opticon) by a single watchman without the inmates being able to tell whether or not they are being watched. Although it is physically impossible for the single watchman to observe all cells at once, the fact that the inmates cannot know when they are being watched means that all inmates must act as though they are watched at all times, effectively controlling their own behaviour constantly. The name is also a reference to Panoptes from Greek mythology; he was a giant with a hundred eyes and thus was known to be a very effective watchman."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panopticon



The point is to control populations. It isn't about Terrorism.

I suspect there is more to the celebrity status of Snowden.


I have seen you post this idea before. Here is my question for you, if this is the case, then why would he release the economic espionage information?

The release of the economic espionage info has caused tremendous damage to corporate America, and the Intelligence community.

If your theory is correct, why release the damaging information to the bottom line, and let Brazil's petro companies know that they don't have secure communication?
 
I've felt the subtle effect personally (and I suspect all of us who are American have as well), so I'm inclined to believe this. When there's occasion to type "bomb" or "terrorist" or similar into google, if it's not related directly to a current news item, I feel that little shadow. I don't feel like I'm being watched, but I'm certainly aware that I could be tripping a wire somewhere. I have mixed feelings about that, because I want our spies to catch the bad guys, but I know that to some degree it crosses that line of liberty. It's somewhat surprising to me that our vast abuse of national spying has not met with some terrible unintended consequences. That tells me that the people running the show are probably the good guys. But only probably.

We'll have to see what happens with this FBI-NSA sharing program.

It's not just Americans though. It is the beginnings of a global grid, not a national one.

There are five core members and many other nations that have signed on and/or have shown desire to

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Five_Eyes

Not to mention the technologies developed around pre-crime and other analytics will be of interest to all governments looking to implement their own systems if they aren't fully on board with linking together.

So we're all in this together!
 
I have seen you post this idea before. Here is my question for you, if this is the case, then why would he release the economic espionage information?

The release of the economic espionage info has caused tremendous damage to corporate America, and the Intelligence community.

If your theory is correct, why release the damaging information to the bottom line, and let Brazil's petro companies know that they don't have secure communication?

What are you referring to when you say economic espionage info?
 
Don't want NSA to sodomize your E-anus? Time to invest in VPN, firewalls and proxies.
 
Don't want NSA to sodomize your E-anus? Time to invest in VPN, firewalls and proxies.

That may offer protection for your I-anus, but your E-anus is quite a bit larger

Scope of surveillance
As a "virtual, centralized, grand database”,[18] the scope of surveillance includes, among others, credit card purchases, magazine subscriptions, web browsing histories, academic grades, bank deposits, passport applications, driver's licenses, toll records, judicial records, divorce records, etc.[10]

Health information collected by TIA include drug prescriptions,[10] medical records,[19] and individual DNA.[20]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_Information_Awareness#Scope_of_surveillance
 
What are you referring to when you say economic espionage info?


The U.S. National Security Agency is involved in industrial espionage and will grab any intelligence it can get its hands on regardless of its value to national security, former NSA contractor Edward Snowden told a German TV network.

In text released ahead of a lengthy interview to be broadcast on Sunday, ARD TV quoted Snowden saying the NSA does not limit its espionage to issues of national security and he cited German engineering firm, Siemens as one target.

"If there's information at Siemens that's beneficial to U.S. national interests - even if it doesn't have anything to do with national security - then they'll take that information nevertheless," Snowden said, according to ARD, which recorded the interview in Russia where he has claimed asylum.


TARGETS

Snowden's claim the NSA is engaged in industrial espionage follows a New York Times report earlier this month that the NSA put software in almost 100,000 computers around the world, allowing it to carry out surveillance on those devices and could provide a digital highway for cyberattacks.

The NSA planted most of the software after gaining access to computer networks, but has also used a secret technology that allows it entry even to computers not connected to the Internet, the newspaper said, citing U.S. officials, computer experts and documents leaked by Snowden.

The newspaper said the technology had been in use since at least 2008 and relied on a covert channel of radio waves transmitted from tiny circuit boards and USB cards secretly inserted in the computers.

Frequent targets of the programme, code-named Quantum, included units of the Chinese military and industrial targets.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-security-snowden-germany-idUSBREA0P0DE20140126


Most of the specific economic espionage info was about China, Germany, Brazil, and Mexico. Although there was other info that included S. Korea and Nordic nations.
 
The U.S. National Security Agency is involved in industrial espionage and will grab any intelligence it can get its hands on regardless of its value to national security, former NSA contractor Edward Snowden told a German TV network.

In text released ahead of a lengthy interview to be broadcast on Sunday, ARD TV quoted Snowden saying the NSA does not limit its espionage to issues of national security and he cited German engineering firm, Siemens as one target.

"If there's information at Siemens that's beneficial to U.S. national interests - even if it doesn't have anything to do with national security - then they'll take that information nevertheless," Snowden said, according to ARD, which recorded the interview in Russia where he has claimed asylum.


TARGETS

Snowden's claim the NSA is engaged in industrial espionage follows a New York Times report earlier this month that the NSA put software in almost 100,000 computers around the world, allowing it to carry out surveillance on those devices and could provide a digital highway for cyberattacks.

The NSA planted most of the software after gaining access to computer networks, but has also used a secret technology that allows it entry even to computers not connected to the Internet, the newspaper said, citing U.S. officials, computer experts and documents leaked by Snowden.

The newspaper said the technology had been in use since at least 2008 and relied on a covert channel of radio waves transmitted from tiny circuit boards and USB cards secretly inserted in the computers.

Frequent targets of the programme, code-named Quantum, included units of the Chinese military and industrial targets.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-security-snowden-germany-idUSBREA0P0DE20140126


Most of the specific economic espionage info was about China, Germany, Brazil, and Mexico. Although there was other info that included S. Korea and Nordic nations.

Well I don't think what he is saying is new information, at least not to the worlds intelligence services and other keen followers. The spy game has always gone on and it is reported that the NSA had backdoors built into Windows all the way back in Windows ME. I remember reading about embedded tracking devices in communications equipment well before Snowden came on the stage, and also of China doing this too.

So what he is doing is really popularizing it. Making it mainstream and in peoples faces. I think that is generally a good thing but I also think there is more going on. I don't think Snowden is the threat he is made out to be.

I think the NSA goes deeper than corporate espionage as well. It can also be used to control politicians (at home and abroad) by getting dirt/leverage on them and/or monitoring them to make sure they are in line. Rule from the shadow.

That said, some of what Snowden has revealed for sure is some information many players would prefer to keep on the down low and will likely cause some people to 'harden' their communications. That doesn't mean there are other units that do want this public for mass control purposes.
 
Well I don't think what he is saying is new information, at least not to the worlds intelligence services and other keen followers. The spy game has always gone on and it is reported that the NSA had backdoors built into Windows all the way back in Windows ME. I remember reading about embedded tracking devices in communications equipment well before Snowden came on the stage, and also of China doing this too.

So what he is doing is really popularizing it. Making it mainstream and in peoples faces. I think that is generally a good thing but I also think there is more going on. I don't think Snowden is the threat he is made out to be.

I think the NSA goes deeper than corporate espionage as well. It can also be used to control politicians (at home and abroad) by getting dirt/leverage on them and/or monitoring them to make sure they are in line. Rule from the shadow.

That said, some of what Snowden has revealed for sure is some information many players would prefer to keep on the down low. That doesn't mean there are other units that do want this public for mass control purposes.

I agree that it doesn't exclude it from being possible, but I also think it makes it highly unlikely.

Snowden deserves best actor of the century award, if he is complicit in any of this.
 
I agree that it doesn't exclude it from being possible, but I also think it makes it highly unlikely.

Snowden deserves best actor of the century award, if he is complicit in any of this.

He wouldn't necessarily have to be acting to be of use. It is common to feed people information and let them run with it, or he could still be an 'asset' but I wouldn't know. There are many possibilities.

There are also hands on the levers of marketing and publicity that can raise or lower someones profile without them knowing. Celebrities are create by many people behind the scenes. This is often how public perception is shaped.

All I know is that in order for a mass surveillance grid to be truly effective, people need to think they are being watched, which makes Snowden as a celebrity a little convenient.
 
He wouldn't necessarily have to be acting to be of use. It is common to feed people information and let them run with it, or he could still be an 'asset' but I wouldn't know. There are many possibilities.

There are also hands on the levers of marketing and publicity that can raise or lower someones profile without them knowing. This is often how public perception is shaped.


Fair enough, but FYI, Snowden got himself sent to Hawaii on purpose so that he could gather this info without being caught during the process. In any other facility the US has, he would have been caught due to electronic security protocols that are in place in every other facility, but Hawaii's.

The only reason Hawaii wasn't set up the same was because the underwater cables that feed Hawaii's system couldn't handle the upgrade.

If Snowden was herded or guided into what he did, god or flying Spaghetti monster help us all, because I am pretty sure that Snowden is a genius, or close to it.
 
Fair enough, but FYI, Snowden got himself sent to Hawaii on purpose so that he could gather this info without being caught during the process. In any other facility the US has, he would have been caught due to electronic security protocols that are in place in every other facility, but Hawaii's.

The only reason Hawaii wasn't set up the same was because the underwater cables that feed Hawaii's system couldn't handle the upgrade.

If Snowden was herded or guided into what he did, god or flying Spaghetti monster help us all, because I am pretty sure that Snowden is a genius, or close to it.

It's really the way that he is being raised in profile that makes it not sit right with me. He's an interesting character with an interesting story either way, and ultimately it doesn't make a great deal of difference if he is legit or not. The spy grid is common knowledge now which is the most important thing. It even was the main theme of the latest Mission Impossible film, and James Bond also. So popularized it is.

If you are interested, a piece was just written by a deep state, espionage researcher that makes a decent case on why the Snowden package is suspect

https://jaysanalysis.com/2014/06/02/the-theater-of-media-operations-snowden-analyzed/
 
Don't want NSA to sodomize your E-anus? Time to invest in VPN, firewalls and proxies.

I'm not any kind of tech guy, but from what I've read its almost impossible to avoid targeted surveillance. All these measures do is help against the generic blanket stuff.
 
It's really the way that he is being raised in profile that makes it not sit right with me. He's an interesting character with an interesting story either way, and ultimately it doesn't make a great deal of difference if he is legit or not. The spy grid is common knowledge now which is the most important thing. It even was the main theme of the latest Mission Impossible film, and James Bond also. So popularized it is.

If you are interested, a piece was just written by a deep state, espionage researcher that makes a decent case on why the Snowden package is suspect

https://jaysanalysis.com/2014/06/02/the-theater-of-media-operations-snowden-analyzed/

I didn't find the Snowden stuff very compelling, but I am definitely looking at Greenwald, and Poitras cross eyed from the Boiling frogs piece. I was wondering why the NSA stories stopped coming out.

Do you think the stuff Snowden told people about how to protect your info is bogus, such as PGP encryption, ect...?
 
I didn't find the Snowden stuff very compelling, but I am definitely looking at Greenwald, and Poitras cross eyed from the Boiling frogs piece. I was wondering why the NSA stories stopped coming out.

Do you think the stuff Snowden told people about how to protect your info is bogus, such as PGP encryption, ect...?

No I think a lot of it is legit and people can use the information to increase their privacy, and some of the stuff he's come out with does seem 'inconvenient' to the system me. Again it's not new, but it will lead more people to take steps on increasing their privacy. Not a large percentage of people, but some that otherwise wouldn't. For the vast majority of people, they are now consenting to being spied on though which means the concept of being spied on while become normal. This means that it can be pushed farther.

The NSA can probably bypass some security that people think they can't, but in general I think it's good and at the very least it makes people far more difficult to hack and/or monitor by low to mid level players and will likely stop dragnet monitoring even from the big players when setup properly.

Although.. If the backdoors are built into Windows which they are reported to be does it matter that you use encryption?
 
No I think a lot of it is legit and people can use the information to increase their privacy, and some of the stuff he's come out with does seem 'inconvenient' to the system me. Again it's not new, but it will lead more people to take steps on increasing their privacy. Not a large percentage of people, but some that otherwise wouldn't. For the vast majority of people, they are now consenting to being spied on though which means the concept of being spied on while become normal. This means that it can be pushed farther.

The NSA can probably bypass some security that people think they can't, but in general I think it's good and at the very least it makes people far more difficult to hack and/or monitor by low to mid level players and will likely stop dragnet monitoring even from the big players when setup properly.

Although.. If the backdoors are built into Windows which they are reported to be does it matter that you use encryption?

No it would not.
 
I'm not any kind of tech guy, but from what I've read its almost impossible to avoid targeted surveillance. All these measures do is help against the generic blanket stuff.
It's not. If they are out to get you, they will regardless. If you use a cellphone, you are literally carrying a tracking and listening device on you at all times. Anything data you sent on the internet is permanently stored in one of NSA's data centers.
 
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