Nate is the betting underdog: Are you gonna to bet on him?

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by The Big Bang, Aug 1, 2016.

  1. The Big Bang

    The Big Bang Black Belt

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    Me and some friends studied many of their respective fights last night, and the general consensus was that...it's Nate's fight to lose, but...he COULD absolutely fail due to the fact that he's super more than likely to just stand and bang.

    I've been involved with sports and fighting for...ever, and I'm fucking telling you, if would TOTALLY behoove
    Nate to jab his way into a clinch with the purpose of initiating a jump-guard at the VERY BEGINNING of the 1st round.

    Conor has NOTHING for Nate on the ground, and contrary to popular belief on Sherdog, Conor absolutely CAN land something big that leads to following up with fight ending punches while Nate is buzzed...

    When Nate was on Conan he said that his mentality is one of...expecting to get knocked out...

    ...whereas he SHOULD be going into this particular fight knowing that it's fucking stupid to "JUST BLEED" with Conor, as that is EXACTLY what Conor wants and expects.

    In conclusion, I've made up my mind and the most I'm going to bet is $1,000 including props, which is a stark difference compared to what I initially thought about betting...

    So, if I was you, I would temper your betting process by using your head, not your heart.
     
    Roads55 likes this.
  2. CJohnny

    CJohnny Black Belt

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    People know the first fight was a fluke and never will happen again.

    You will be crying while watching the fight. Conor by finish or 5 round domination.
     
  3. BoosieBoo

    BoosieBoo Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    Naw, but I had him on a parlay on the first fight. The line is too close to bet a big sum of money. If he was anything above +250 I'd lay something on it.
     
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  4. Dark One

    Dark One Purple Belt

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    I think there's really nice value on Conor at -135
     
  5. Arm Barbarian

    Arm Barbarian Titanium Belt Platinum Member

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    I only bet if the odds are crazy. Other than that I don't throw my cheese away. lol
     
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  6. The Big Bang

    The Big Bang Black Belt

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    As I said, my expectations are tempered with the reality of Just Bleed Diaz.
     
  7. BOTTICELLI

    BOTTICELLI MMA Fanatical Sabbatical

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    post slips plz
     
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  8. The ScorpioN

    The ScorpioN "GET OVER HERE!"

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    I already did. Free money here.

    If more retards lay money on Conor and shift the line even more, I'll bet more.

    This time Nate isn't going to need a round to get his timing and rhythm set up, he'll be ready from the start. He'll be in shape, possibly heavier than before and more importantly with a camp with some serious sparring in. Conor picked the wrong dude twice.
     
  9. The Big Bang

    The Big Bang Black Belt

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    I hope you're right.
     
  10. Sjb1888

    Sjb1888 Silver Belt

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    The majority of Sherdoggers will be loaded, strange that the bookie's have these odds considering it's basically a gimmie fight for Nate according to so many.
     
  11. The ScorpioN

    The ScorpioN "GET OVER HERE!"

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    My guess is, lotsa casuals with Conor kits are putting money on him thinking the first fight was a fluke. That's why Conor is the favorite.

    Sherdog is probably a blip on the betting radar for most bookies.
     
  12. KONE

    KONE Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    All of your opinions are very bad
     
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  13. WalkenWouldOwn

    WalkenWouldOwn Steel Belt

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    Dat word

    [​IMG]
     
  14. The Big Bang

    The Big Bang Black Belt

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    I think Nate should be a 2 to 1 favorite, but I'm still worried about the fight.
     
    The ScorpioN likes this.
  15. cheat toes

    cheat toes raising hell

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    word on the street is nate will take a dive.. set up BIGGER payday
     
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  16. kahymo

    kahymo Blue Belt

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    parlay:: Nate + Anthony + Pennington
     
  17. The ScorpioN

    The ScorpioN "GET OVER HERE!"

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    Unless Nate is taking a dive, I don't see how Conor wins.

    He isn't stopping Nate, he had his chance with a 10 day Cabo Nate, and he couldn;'t even drop him. He isn't going to pressure wrestle him, Nate is bigger and much better on the mat. And certainly he isn't decisioning Nate. Conor slows down in the third round, his punches lose their pop, his footwork suffers, etc. Nate fights the same fight in round 1 and in round 5. Probably even turning it up as the fight goes on.
     
  18. NewJackCity

    NewJackCity White Belt

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    I hope this turns out to be accurate.
     
  19. LostMyBlackBelt

    LostMyBlackBelt Red Belt

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    I thought about it, then tin foil hat me thought that they might want to make it a trilogy.
     
  20. Sjb1888

    Sjb1888 Silver Belt

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    My guess is the bookies might just know their shit...

    I think the odds are basically bang on, I think Nate will be a slight favorite before the fight, not enough for it to be worth betting though.
     

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