Me and some friends studied many of their respective fights last night, and the general consensus was that...it's Nate's fight to lose, but...he COULD absolutely fail due to the fact that he's super more than likely to just stand and bang. I've been involved with sports and fighting for...ever, and I'm fucking telling you, if would TOTALLY behoove Nate to jab his way into a clinch with the purpose of initiating a jump-guard at the VERY BEGINNING of the 1st round. Conor has NOTHING for Nate on the ground, and contrary to popular belief on Sherdog, Conor absolutely CAN land something big that leads to following up with fight ending punches while Nate is buzzed... When Nate was on Conan he said that his mentality is one of...expecting to get knocked out... ...whereas he SHOULD be going into this particular fight knowing that it's fucking stupid to "JUST BLEED" with Conor, as that is EXACTLY what Conor wants and expects. In conclusion, I've made up my mind and the most I'm going to bet is $1,000 including props, which is a stark difference compared to what I initially thought about betting... So, if I was you, I would temper your betting process by using your head, not your heart.