Great. Now the 5% chance I thought Diaz had just went out the window.
Diaz's high volume low power style on 1/3rd of his usual gas tank will make for a short night for Nate.
Diaz's best chance is to take the fight to his opponent's weakness, go for the clinch and try to get a TD, then a sub with those lanky limbs. Nate is very good at catching guys in transitions, something that is very hard to train for if you are not high level BJJ.
FWIW, I honestly don't see Nate as very confident with this fight. He doesn't seem to really want to win, only just collect his paycheck, his new 4 fight deal, and call it a day.