My UFC 165 Bets - Post Yours (Part IV)

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by Oblivian, Sep 21, 2013.

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  1. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Part I: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/my-ufc-165-bets-post-yours-2554981/

    Part II: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/my-ufc-165-bets-post-yours-part-ii-2559359/

    Part III: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/my-ufc-165-bets-post-yours-part-iii-2563221/

    Same drill as always - post bets, discuss bets/matchups, and other sports in spoilers

    Update in green. Green is win + risk. I bet a total of $160 and walked away with $206.94 for a profit of $46.94 (29.3% ROI).

    Singles
    Mitrione: $12.50 to win $9.62 Loss
    Lowe: $7.50 to win $10.13 Loss
    Gus/Jones over 2.5: $7.50 to win $8.25 $15.75
    Barao/Wineland over 2.5: $7.50 to win $8.25 Loss
    Arlovski: $7.50 to win $7.14 $14.64
    Mehmen: $5 to win $10 $15
    Gagnon: $5 to win $8.50 $13.50
    Odoms: $5 to win $8 $13
    War Machine/Anderson over 1.5: $5 to win $7.75 $12.75
    Reis: $5 to win $7.50 $12.50
    Wilcox: $5 to win $5.50 $10.50
    Alexander/Janitor over 1.5: $5 to win $4.55 $9.55
    Melo: $5 to win $3.70 Loss
    Ricci: $2.50 to win $7.50 Loss
    Carmont via decision: $2.50 to win $6.25 $8.75
    Saunders: $2.50 to win $6.25 Loss
    Mighty Mo: $2.50 to win $7.13 $9.63

    Total Risk of $92.50 $135.57

    Parlays
    Mayweather + Shlemenko + Warren: $10 to win $6.02 (adjusted) $16.02
    Khabib + Jones/Gus ITD: $10 to win $8.31 Loss
    Freire + Tamainglo: $7.50 to win $8.92 $16.42
    Hawn + Weedman + Jenkins + Field over Tiger (Tour Championship): $7.50 to win $6.51 Loss
    Thompson/Clements over 1.5 + Caceres over 1.5: $5 to win $6.60 Loss
    Not Ronson ITD + Colts +11.5: $5 to win $6.60 $11.60
    Guerreiro + Villefort/Branch over 2.5: $5 to win $5.75 $10.75
    Not Makdessi ITD + Omielanczuk ITD: $5 to win $5.21 Loss
    Garcia + Means: $5 to win $5.02 $10.02
    Marx + Efrain + Starks: $2.50 to win $4.06 $6.56

    Total Risk of $67.50 $71.37

    TOTAL RISK OF $160 $206.94

    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $561.48 Running Profit = $328.98 (Approximate ROI for year: 10.07%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2013: $29 into $2513.35 Total Profit = $2484.35 (Approximate ROI: 17.91%)
     
    Last edited: Sep 24, 2013
  2. Pere Noel

    Pere Noel Green Belt

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    first!
















    Go Carmont Dec!
     
  3. Wanna Bet

    Wanna Bet Brown Belt

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    Four threads. Is this a new record?
     
  4. ninjadeathcult

    ninjadeathcult Black Belt

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    Ok havent got my stake back yet I need
    Carmont SU
    Carmont Points
    Over2.5 rounds
     
  5. Mga223

    Mga223 Steel Belt

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    Need consta.

    I only have 2 bets on this card lol.
     
  6. YoungScholar

    YoungScholar Brown Belt

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    Yea, he has dat "heartio" like Big Country. Looks gassed but never stops working.
     
  7. Charlie Sheen

    Charlie Sheen Invisible Belt

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    My bets:

    [​IMG]
     
  8. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Could be. Shit's gettin real.
     
  9. Goreds1994

    Goreds1994 Silver Belt

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    Have this fight u 2.5 rounds, Carmont in rd 1 +1300 and Carmont by sub +800.
     
  10. hazak

    hazak Red Belt

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    Only got Fight Ends in a Decision prop for this one, can't really see it getting finished. Costa would have to land flush in a major way.
     
  11. Card

    Card Silver Belt

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    Can Carmont pull off another robbery....
     
  12. Pere Noel

    Pere Noel Green Belt

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    0-2 for tristar tonight.
     
  13. Wanna Bet

    Wanna Bet Brown Belt

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    Adding 2-fight parlay of Philippou-Carmont Goes The Distance/Barao ITD $100 to win $175
     
  14. Card

    Card Silver Belt

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    They are giving all their attention to GSP?
     
  15. doit1time

    doit1time Orange Belt

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    I'm on a $500 Thompson/ Jury/ Khabib/ Costa-Carmont over 2.5/ Barao/ Jones parlay to win $1500. Left it a bit late odds went way down and a bit of a spur of the moment bet, let's see how silly I was.
     
  16. Scythe

    Scythe Brown Belt

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    Money getting poured onto Mitrione. Schaub now at +130. Had become the favorite a few hours ago.
     
  17. Wanna Bet

    Wanna Bet Brown Belt

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    John Makdessi won... in glorious fashion... So did Wonderboy (although he was cornered by his dad; dunno if he was at TriStar this camp or not).
     
  18. YoungScholar

    YoungScholar Brown Belt

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    Ended up with a last min play on Costa, think his defensive wrestling is enough to keep it standing and he wins a boxing match.
     
  19. Hughesjm1230

    Hughesjm1230 Purple Belt

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    Tailed u Wanna Bet.
     
  20. hazak

    hazak Red Belt

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    Here's hoping for a boring fight like both of these guys have had lately :D
     
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