- Joined
- Jun 15, 2014
- Messages
- 1,526
- Reaction score
- 0
Your point about jail also not being a fool-proof way to impede secondary offences is why I don't consider your arguments irrational. The only thing I can suggest is that at least while in prison, the perp can't rape the public at large, and I'm not sure what studies suggest, but I think fear of prison (or returning) have a greater effect than simply community service.
These are all just opinions, I have no real idea what I'm talking about.
I have no idea if fear of prison impacts original crime. I highly doubt it is big as it seems poverty''s high correlation with crime would at the very least neutralize it. I do, however, know that recidivism is astoudingly high in the US.
Anyway, decided to do some digging.
1. http://www.nij.gov/topics/corrections/recidivism/pages/welcome.aspx
2. http://www.smart.gov/SOMAPI/sec1/ch5_recidivism.html
I think the biggest question is does a system like sweden's, assuming this punishment is typical, reduce recidivism. Here's a quick list of reasons touted off for CMS. It's not the best site in the world, but it's the best I could do on short notice. All in all, these more or less align with what I learned. I imagine if you really want to, you'll research a bit more. It's UK based and I find the probation point to align with the experience of the person I knew.
http://rethinking.org.uk/facts/rethink/procons.html
Okay, I actually decided to search a bit more for probation because having lived with someone who went through it, I know it's not a cakewalk. Anyway, I haven't gone through it, but the highlights for the "Probation Review Implementation" are interesting at least. "One-year recidivism for probation completers declined to 20% in 2012, from 53% prior to implementation." and "Fewer youth entered the juvenile justice system, resulting in fewer youth on probation and a reduction in average probation caseload from 33 youth to probation officer in 2009 to 20 youth to probation officer by 2013." Not to mention the economic benefits as most ppl should by now know that a prison system is expensive.
So maybe probation acts as an effective deterrent. That makes me think that CMS would be just as effective for some of the more sever crimes. It sucks too. But ultimately, as I alluded to above, I think most are socioeconomic in nature as I've discussed in the past. Maybe in probation, CMS, and therapy for some.
http://www.modelsforchange.net/publications/516
Did some more digging. Also, didn't put much effort into looking through them as I'm about done for the day already. The first saw no negative effect on recidivism and a possible positive effect. The second saw a positive effect of CMS and a negative effect of prison. And the third also saw a positive effect. The big limitation of these studies is offense level, outside of one, unfortunately; one of the reasons that make a comparative study among countries interesting. Honestly, most of the data appears to be no to some positive effect meaning that it's at least more cost effective while not being harmful.
1. http://scholarship.law.berkeley.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2332&context=facpubs
2. http://crg.aic.gov.au/reports/33-96-7.pdf
3. http://www.researchgate.net/publica..._to_Traditional_Fines_for_Low-Level_Offenders
Would be very difficult. Practically impossible when you consider different jurisdictions continually redefine offences and how they are categorized.
Probably be better to look at the root causes of rape but thats a more sociological, psychological thing.
But recidivism rates are one aspect. Yes we need to reduce recidivism and take into account protecting the public but long term you need to look into the root causes of offences as then you are reducing the problem.
If rape wasn't a crime a society would have 0 rapes, if you get what I mean.
Again you run into a problem of comparative analysis in how rape is defined and how it is reported.
Its a broad problem not only in how particular societies define rape, but in the reporting of it and how the judicial system deals with it but that could be said of any crime.
I think I'm with you on the hard labour. Punishment and rehabilitation need not be separated, in fact they could be one and the same imo.
For sure. I imagine someone will come up with a crime index. There's already a section in the quality of life index for perceived threat. Sweden does well on pretty much all indices especially quality of life like most nordic countries. Would be interesting to see.
I don't understand either. It has me seriously questioning what exactly people think that rape does to women. Do they think they take a few weeks to heal physically, and poof, they are all better? Fuck man...
My issue has nothing to do with not thinking the crime is serious. i stated that in my very first post. However, recidivism is still an issue which can cause even more negative problems on society. Also, if you knew anything of my post history here, you'd know I'd be the first person to defend the negative effects on mental health caused by sex offense. Also, don't try to act as if you know my life and/or experiences when dealing with this type of issue.
The cucks in here defending community service for rape are delusional. Another motive instead of being delusional cucks is that they know the mass importation of 3rd world barbarians will lead to a increase in petty crimes to violent rapes. This will put great strain on their socialist governments and social welfare. A way to allow this system to continue a little longer is community service. No need to feed, house or build new prisons. Selfish or delusional.
This doesn't appear to be true at all. Sweden has a falling victimization rate that also falls in line with falling hospital assault data. It also has an overly exapansive reporting system that includes things like leering and cyber harassment as well as if one huy rapes one girl 5 times that's 5 reports instead of 1 like in other countries. You clearly missed the wiki link and red highlights I posted and would rather cling to your racist/xenophobic beliefs.
I haven't been on in a while, isn't Bork the one that post the blacks are discriminated against by the cops post in any police shooting thread.
After reading his shit in this thread of course he would take up for the criminals and blame police. He's the type to watch his girl get raped and then blame her for her white privilege.
Don't be angry because you can't understand socioecomics and get destroyed. Ferguson report, seattle report, nypd lawsuit, aclu and voting rights suppression, justice.govs's extensive list of discrimination against blacks, cicil rights only 50 yrs ago, blah, etc., blah, etc.
Also, no, I'm not in every police thread talking about discrimination against blacks. Wouldn't even have to bring it up most times if it wasn't for ignorant fools espousing racial epithets and not understanding basic statistics and probability let alone socioecomics.
Interestingly, they supposedly already revised their sentencing for violent crime in 2010.
Fascinating. I'm exhausted, but as far as I can tell, they are becoming more punitive with recidivist crimes (though no data is mentioned in the article). Seems to be the opposite of what is going on in CJ debates in the US with restorative justice. It's also interesting because when you google 'sweden recidivism' positive stuff comes that would make you think they don't need reformation; though, admittedly, I haven't made the effort to really read them.
According to their national data, they have a lower recidivism rate by about 20% compared to the US at least. They also have a dropping victimization rate like most all developing countries as well. I really wonder how the recidivism breaks down by offense. Maybe someone less exhausted will figure it out and post.
https://www.bra.se/bra/bra-in-english/home/crime-and-statistics/rape-and-sex-offences.html
IMO, it still looks like restorative justice is the way to go in regards to recidivism.
Anyway, I'm done for the weekend.
https://www.google.com/webhp?source...F-8#safe=off&q=recidivism+restorative+justice